-Caveat Lector-

>>>The subject is the motto of most if not all great militarians.  The
problem that Shrub and Blairberry are running into is having all those
people prepared for battle but the tide is not going the warpimps' way.
To have everyone sitting around and waiting for the word to go creates a
strain on morale and resolve.  This is the probelm that Ikenhower had
before D-Day back in '44 when the invasion forces were kept on alert
for an almost too long time.  Talk about waiting time in an airport?!?  Try
existing on adrenalin for a few weeks into months and then having to
ramp it up a bit more when the call comes.  This makes for sloppiness
and recklessness and wreckfulness.  A<:>E<:>R <<<


http://www.guardian.co.uk/Iraq/Story/0,2763,879663,00.html
Blair stand puts strain on coalition

France leads threat to veto move to war

Patrick Wintour, Julian Borger in Washington and John Henley in Paris
Wednesday January 22, 2003
The Guardian

George Bush and Tony Blair were yesterday in danger of fracturing the
international coalition on Iraq when they declared that Saddam Hussein
was not cooperating with the UN weapons inspectors, and time was
running out for him.

In a significant hardening of the US and UK position, both Mr Blair and
Mr Bush claimed that a pattern of non-cooperation will represent a
breach of the UN resolutions and justification for military action.

With Mr Blair admitting that his task of holding the coalition together was
becoming tougher, the French, Russians and Chinese all insisted the UN
weapons inspectors needed more time to do their job. All three security
council members said that next Monday's report to the UN by the
weapons inspectors chief, Hans Blix, must not be taken as a trigger
point for war.

For the first time the French foreign minister, Dominique de Villepin,
talked openly of wielding the French veto if necessary. "We believe that
nothing today justifies envisaging military action," he said.

Revealing the behind-the-scenes diplomatic battle over the timing of
any war, Mr Bush said: "Surely our friends have learned lessons about
the past. Surely we have learned how this man [Saddam Hussein]
deceives and delays. He's given people the runaround and time is
running out.

"He's been told to disarm for 11 long years. He is not disarming. This
business about more time. How much more time do we need to see
clearly he's not disarming? This looks like a rerun of a bad movie and
I'm not interested in watching."

The US deputy secretary of state, Richard Armitage, was equally
decisive. "There is not one sign that the regime has any intent to comply
fully with the terms of resolution 1441," he said. The options for Iraq
"are just about exhausted at this point. This regime has very little time
left to undo the legacy of 12 years".

The British are privately confident the harsher Washington rhetoric does
not imply that the US will demand the UN backs war next Monday. The
foreign secretary, Jack Straw, will today meet Colin Powell, the US
secretary of state and leading dove, to urge the US to show restraint and
instead amass further damaging evidence that will make a war more
acceptable to a sceptical world.

Mr Blair, quizzed on Iraq by the Commons liaison committee for two and
a half hours, also insisted that Saddam was not cooperating with the
weapons inspectors, saying that no one seriously believed the 12,000-
page dossier submitted by the Iraqis on its weapons. He said bluntly: "I
simply point out that at the moment the inspectors are saying that the
Iraqis have not been cooperating properly."

He stressed that at some point the security council might have to accept
that the Iraqi non-cooperation in itself represented a material breach.

There were two different sets of circumstances which could amount to a
material breach of resolution 1441, Mr Blair said. "There is a set of
circumstances in which you find the conclusive proof, and there is a set
of circumstances in which a pattern of behaviour develops of non-
cooperation.

"The first is easy to describe as a category. The second requires a more
considered judgment ... It isn't a game of hide and seek. It is not a
game where the inspectors are supposed to go in and if they find the
stuff they win, and if Saddam conceals the stuff he wins. They are not a
detective agency.

"The judgment that you need to make, and it is a matter of judgment
itself as to the time at which you need to make this, is: is he co-
operating?"

He repeatedly insisted that Britain will be willing to go to war without UN
support, but added it was highly desirable to have that backing. He also
expressed confidence that the UN would back a war if clear evidence of
a breach was put in front of it.

Throughout, he gave the impression of a man completing the final
details of preparing for war, including preparations for possible
chemical attacks on British troops.

In the only glimmer of hope for peace, he suggested that President
Saddam's regime was under growing internal strain. He claimed the
regime was crumbling, rattled and fracturing badly, as shown by the
increasing amount of intelligence pouring from Baghdad.

He also bluntly warned that an attempted attack on Britain by terrorists
was inevitable, despite the arrest of 3,000 terrorists worldwide since
September 11, and he tried to underline the scale of the new threat
facing the modern world.

He said: "Do we really doubt that if these terrorists could get hold of
these weapons of mass destruction that they would not use them? The
most frightening thing is the coming together of fanaticism and the
technology capable of delivering mass destruction and mass death."

Guardian Unlimited � Guardian Newspapers Limited 2003

Forwarded for your information.  The text and intent of the article
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