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http://washingtontimes.com/world/20030131-27320419.htm

Bush Approves Nuclear Response
By Nicholas Kralev, THE WASHINGTON TIMES
January 31, 2003

A classified document signed by President Bush specifically allows for the use
of nuclear weapons in response to biological or chemical attacks, apparently
changing a decades-old U.S. policy of deliberate ambiguity, it was learned by
The Washington Times.

"The United States will continue to make clear that it reserves the right to
respond with overwhelming force � including potentially nuclear weapons � to
the use of [weapons of mass destruction] against the United States, our forces
abroad, and friends and allies," the document, National Security Presidential
Directive 17, set out on Sept. 14 last year.

A similar statement is included in the public version of the directive, which
was released Dec. 11 as the National Strategy to Combat Weapons of Mass
Destruction and closely parallels the classified document. However, instead of
the phrase "including potentially nuclear weapons," the public text says,
"including through resort to all of our options."

A White House spokesman declined to comment when asked about the document last
night and neither confirmed nor denied its existence.

A senior administration official said, however, that using the words "nuclear
weapons" in the classified text gives the military and other officials, who are
the document's intended audience, "a little more of an instruction to prepare
all sorts of options for the president," if need be.

The official, nonetheless, insisted that ambiguity remains "the heart and soul
of our nuclear policy."

In the classified version, nuclear forces are designated as the main part of
any U.S. deterrent, and conventional capabilities "complement" the nuclear
weapons.

"Nuclear forces alone ... cannot ensure deterrence against [weapons of mass
destruction] and missiles," the original paragraph says. "Complementing nuclear
force with an appropriate mix of conventional response and defense capabilities,
coupled with effective intelligence, surveillance, interdiction and domestic
law-enforcement capabilities, reinforces our overall deterrent posture against
[weapons of mass destruction] threats."

Before it released the text publicly, the White House changed that same
paragraph to: "In addition to our conventional and nuclear response and defense
capabilities, our overall deterrent posture against [weapons of mass destruction]
threats is reinforced by effective intelligence, surveillance, interdiction and
domestic law-enforcement capabilities."

The classified document, a copy of which was shown to The Washington Times,
is known better by its abbreviation NSPD 17, as well as Homeland Security
Presidential Directive 4.

The disclosure of the classified text follows newspaper reports that the
planning for a war with Iraq focuses on using nuclear arms not only to defend
U.S. forces but also to "pre-empt" deeply buried Iraqi facilities that could
withstand conventional explosives.

For decades, the U.S. government has maintained a deliberately vague nuclear
policy, expressed in such language as "all options open" and "not ruling
anything in or out." As recently as last weekend, Bush administration officials
used similar statements in public, consciously avoiding the word "nuclear."

"I'm not going to put anything on the table or off the table," White House
Chief of Staff Andrew H. Card Jr. said on NBC's "Meet the Press," adding that
the United States will use "whatever means necessary" to protect its citizens
and the world from a "holocaust."

But in the paragraphs marked "S" for "secret," the Sept. 14 directive clearly
states that nuclear weapons are part of the "overwhelming force" that
Washington might use in response to a chemical or biological attack.

Former U.S. officials and arms control experts with knowledge of policies of
the previous administrations declined to say whether such specific language
had been used before, for fear of divulging classified information. But they
conceded that differences exist.

"This shows that there is a somewhat greater willingness in this administration
to use a nuclear response to other [non-nuclear weapons of mass destruction]
attacks, although that's not a wholesale departure from previous
administrations," one former senior official said.

Even a slight change can make a big difference. Because it is now "official
policy, it means that the United States will actively consider the nuclear
option" in a military conflict, said Daryl Kimball, executive director of the
Arms Control Association.

"This document is far more explicit about the use of nuclear weapons to deter
and possibly defeat biological and chemical attacks," he said. "If someone
dismisses it, that would question the entire logic of the administration's
national security strategy against [weapons of mass destruction]."

Mr. Kimball said U.S. nuclear weapons "should only be used to deter nuclear
attacks by others."

A senior official who served in the Clinton administration said there would
still have to be a new evaluation before any decision was made on the use of
nuclear weapons.

"What this document means is that they have thought through the consequences,
including in the abstract, but it doesn't necessarily prejudge any specific
case."

Baker Spring, a national security fellow at the Heritage Foundation, said the
classified language "does not undermine the basic posture of the deterrent and
does not commit the United States to a nuclear response in hypothetical
circumstances. In a classified document, you are willing to be more specific
what the policy is, because people in the administration have to understand it
for planning purposes."

Both former officials and arms control analysts say that making the classified
text public might raise concerns among Washington's allies but has little
military significance. On the other hand, they note, the nuclear deterrent has
little value if a potential adversary does not know what it can expect.

They agree that there must have been "good reasons" for the White House to have
"cleaned up" the document before releasing it. They speculated on at least three:

Although responding to a non-nuclear attack by nuclear weapons is not banned by
international law, existing arms-control treaties call for a "proportionate
response" to biological and chemical attacks. The question is, one former
official said, whether any nuclear response is proportionate to any non-nuclear
attack.

Second, naming nuclear weapons specifically flies in the face of the "negative
security assurances" that U.S. administrations have given for 25 years. Those
statements, while somewhat modified under different presidents, essentially
have said the United States will not use nuclear weapons against a non-nuclear
state unless that state attacks it together with a nuclear ally.

Finally, publicly and explicitly articulating a policy of nuclear response can
hurt the international nonproliferation regime, which the United States firmly
supports. That sets a bad example for countries such as India and Pakistan and
gives rogue states an incentive to develop their own nuclear capabilities.

William M. Arkin, a military analyst, wrote in the Los Angeles Times earlier
this week that the Bush administration's war planning "moves nuclear weapons
out of their long-established special category and lumps them in with all the
other military options."

Mr. Arkin quoted "multiple sources" close to the preparations for a war in Iraq
as saying that the focus is on "two possible roles for nuclear weapons:
attacking Iraqi facilities located so deep underground that they might be
impervious to conventional explosives; and thwarting Iraq's use of weapons of
mass destruction."

He cited a Dec. 11 memorandum from Defense Secretary Donald H. Rumsfeld to
Mr. Bush, asking for authority to place Adm. James O. Ellis Jr., chief of the
U.S. Strategic Command, in charge of the full range of "strategic" warfare
options.

NSPD 17 appears to have upgraded nuclear weapons beyond the traditional
function as a nuclear deterrent.

"This is an interesting distinction," Mr. Spring said. "There is an
acknowledgment up front that under the post-Cold War circumstances, deterrence
in the sense we applied it during the Cold War is not as reliable. I think it's
accurate."

http://washingtontimes.com/world/20030131-27320419.htm

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