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CounterPunch
http://www.counterpunch.org/tomchick01302003.html
January 30, 2003

Bush's Smallpox Boondoggle

by MARIA TOMCHICK

The national smallpox vaccination plan rolled out with a whimper last
week. Part of the Bush administration's effort to stave off a bioterrorism
attack, the vaccination plan was to begin with a strong start in the state
of Connecticut by vaccinating 20 or more first-line medical responders who
would then fan out and vaccinate thousands of other doctors, nurses, and
emergency room personnel around the state. In the coming weeks, other
states will join in and inoculate 500,000 first-line medical personnel in all
major medical centers in the country against smallpox. Eventually 10 million
more healthcare workers, firefighters, police, and emergency medical
personnel will receive the vaccine.

But in Connecticut, only 4 people showed up to get the shot, and 3 of
those were administrative personnel--the state epidemiologist and 2
administrators at the University of Connecticut's Health Center. The
numbers willing to volunteer for the shots had been dwindling all week, as
hospital associations, nursing unions, and other professional groups balked
at the risk of the smallpox vaccine itself and raised important questions
about the true potential for a smallpox terrorist attack. At last count,
more than 80 hospitals around the nation, including major teaching
hospitals and medical centers in urban areas, have opted out of the
vaccination program.

What's going on here?

The smallpox vaccine is made from a live virus, vaccinia or cow pox, which
is a cousin of smallpox. It can cause illness in a significant number of
vaccine recipients. Experts estimate that about 1,000 out of every every 1
million who receive the vaccine will experience serious side effects, about
40 of those will be life-threatening illnesses, and 1 or 2 of those people will
die from it. So, of the 10 million expected to get the shots, 10,000 are
expected to get sick, 400 will be threatened with death, and 20 are
expected to die outright from the vaccine alone.

But, as critics have pointed out, this is a gross underestimate of the risks.
People who are vaccinated carry an open wound in their arm, which sheds
the live vaccinia virus for up to three weeks. Certain people who come in
close contact with them can become quite ill. At particular risk are infants
under a year old, pregnant women, elderly people, folks with eczema and
skin disorders (who can absorb the disease through breaks in their skin--an
estimated 7 to 20 percent of the general population has had such skin
disorders) and, most ominously, people with lowered immune system
response.

There are an estimated 60 million people in the U.S. today living with
weakened immune systems, and most of them are suffering from HIV/AIDS
or undergoing a medical treatment that didn't exist 35 years ago when
smallpox vaccinations were routine. People with AIDS, cancer patients
undergoing chemotherapy or radiation treatments, burn patients, and
organ donor recipients would all be put at an unacceptably high risk of
death if their nurses and doctors are vaccinated for smallpox.

It's a peculiar form of torture to ask a medical person who has dedicated
his or her life to saving other peoples' lives to risk killing patients because
of vague fears of a bioterrorist attack. Doctors and nurses, in particular,
have a good sense of the potential threat various diseases pose to their
patients. As William Schaffner, head of preventive medicine at Vanderbilt
University Medical Center in Nashville, said: "The thing that stops you from
doing this is the complexity of the smallpox vaccine, which is not a safe
vaccine. There's a real disease that kills people unnecessarily: the flu. Mr.
President, I would love to see you endorse a national flu vaccine campaign
with the same vigor." Medical centers around the country, however, have
had to deal with recent flu vaccine shortages. Smallpox is simply not high
on their list of concerns.

Some officials caution that a smallpox attack is a real possibility. All it
would take is one person to infect himself, travel to a major metropolitan
area, and hang out a nearby shopping mall, sports arena, or other crowded
public place to begin infecting people, they argue. There are many
problems with this scenario, including the fact that smallpox has
effectively been eradicated, with no new cases reported since 1977. The
only known laboratory stocks of the disease exist in highly quarantined
labs in the U.S. and Russia. And if smallpox cultures were smuggled out of
Russia or the U.S., it's not at all certain that terrorist groups could get
their hands on them or turn them into a usable weapon.

Even in the lone, kamikaze, infected terrorist scenario, the outbreak might
not be as bad as Bush administration advisors assume. Leading smallpox
experts say that nowadays we have conditions that are less conducive to
the massive outbreaks of the past, when people lived in extended families
in crowded rooms, with multiple family members sharing the same
bedrooms and the same beds. People wash their hands more and more
people travel alone in cars and live in less crowded conditions. We use
strong disinfectants more often, and air and water is filtered and treated
for contaminants. A realistic scenario of one person falling ill and then
going through his or her day--even visiting a shopping mall and going to
work--shows that only one or maybe two other people would be infected
with smallpox before the sick person was sent to a hospital. In that kind of
scenario, quarantine and area-specific vaccination would work well to
contain the disease.

Joining the critics of the Bush administration's smallpox vaccination plan is
Bill Foege, former chief of the Centers for Disease Control and consultant
to the National Academy of Sciences' Institute of Medicine panel on
bioterrorism preparedness. Foege is a global health adviser to the Bill and
Melinda Gates Foundation, which is spending hundreds of millions of dollars
on major vaccination initiatives in Africa and helping to fund the search for
an AIDS vaccine.

In other words, Foege is definitely not a foe of vaccination in general. In
the 1960s, when he worked for the CDC in Africa, Foege developed a
specific plan to vaccinate for smallpox that minimized the exposure to the
vaccine and yet helped to wipe out the disease in that part of the world.
His method, called "ring vaccination," relies on a special property of the
smallpox vaccine: it can protect people who've already been exposed to
the disease if they're given the vaccine within four days of exposure to the
disease.

Foege argues that ring vaccination should be used here in the United
States, and other medical administrators are beginning to agree with him.
Richard Wenzel, chairman of internal medicine at Virginia Medical College
at the University of Virginia, was faced with a crisis in the fall of 2001.
During the height of the anthrax attacks, he received word that a patient
with smallpox had been found and was being sent to his hospital. He
quickly formulated a plan that would quarantine the patient and assign
specific personnel to treat him who had been vaccinated as children.
Wenzel located some smallpox vaccine for his hospital staff. As it turned
out, the patient didn't have smallpox. But Wenzel now believes that it
would be safer and more cost-effective for hospitals to draw up quarantine
plans, stockpile smallpox vaccines, and use them only in the face of a real
outbreak. In the city where I live (Seattle), the major public hospital,
Harborview, is currently considering this approach.

Cost is also a major issue. The federal government is not providing funds to
hospitals to help them deal with staff shortages if and when their nurses
and doctors fall ill from the vaccinations. Some hospitals are worried about
lawsuits from patients' relatives if they're exposed to the live vaccine and
fall ill. And the cost to vaccinate alone is expected to be between $600
million and $1 billion, and cash-strapped state governments are expected
to pay that bill on their own.

In addition, Bill Foege is worried about public perception in the face of a
real threat. If large numbers of people are vaccinated now, when a threat
doesn't exist, and many fall ill or die, then the public may be resistant to
the vaccine when a real outbreak occurs. That could be disastrous.

The speed with which the Bush administration is pushing the vaccination
plan seems based on political necessity and not public health concerns.
There is currently a safer vaccine being developed and tested in Europe
that doesn't involve the use of live vaccinia. It will be about a year before
that vaccine is made available here in the U.S., but the Bush administration
is pushing ahead with the older, more dangerous vaccine anyway.

In part, it's to prove that the government is doing something about the
threat of terrorism. It's also in response to pressure from vaccine
manufacturers who want to sell their old stock before the new vaccine
hits the market. In either case, cynical political opportunism or a drive for
corporate profits, expediency should never trump sensible public health
policy. Too many lives are at stake.

Maria Tomchick is a co-editor and contributing writer for Eat The State!,
http://www.eatthestate.org/
a biweekly anti-authoritarian newspaper of political opinion, research and
humor, based in Seattle, Washington. She can be reached at:
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
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