-Caveat Lector-

February 8, 2003
http://www.counterpunch.org/levich02082003.html
New Iraq Report

Yes, Tony, There is a Conspiracy

by JACOB LEVICH

Here's the prewar zeitgeist in a nutshell: In a widely reported January 16
speech, Tony Blair proclaimed that the impending invasion of Iraq "has
nothing to do with oil, or any of the other conspiracy theories put
forward."

One week later, Sen. Richard Lugar, chairman of the Senate Foreign
Relations Committee, quietly passed word to Russia and France that their
countries will be frozen out of staggeringly lucrative postwar oil contracts
unless they roll over and endorse the US attack.

Yes, Tony, there is a conspiracy, in the dictionary sense of the term: an
agreement among people to perform a criminal or wrongful act. It consists,
not of a tiny cabal, but of the whole of the American power elite, from
politicians to business executives to journalists. It has everything to do
with oil. But it is not secret.

The conspirators know they can count on the uncritical support of the
mass media. Therefore knowledge of their cynical motives and thuggish
tactics can be made available in journals and other specialized fora, all but
invisible to most Americans but accessible to the few with sufficient time
and inclination to dig beneath the headlines.

Building on that knowledge, a Mumbai-based independent think tank has
now anatomized the conspiracy behind the coming war and issued a truly
comprehensive explanation of the current global crisis.

Behind the Invasion of Iraq, the startling new book- length report authored
by the Research Unit for Political Economy (RUPE), synthesizes the
seemingly disparate threads of the US war drive in what amounts to a
blistering indictment of American foreign policy. The report (available on
the Web at www.rupe-india.org) is lavishly documented and jargon-free;
the effect, especially for readers with limited understanding of global
commerce and finance, is of puzzle pieces clicking decisively into place.

The RUPE report wholly confirms the widely-held view of the coming war
as a massive oil grab, "on a scale not witnessed since the days of
colonialism." Further, the current debate about arms inspections and
alleged links to al-Qaeda is revealed as pure political theater, since the
decision to invade Iraq was made months ago.

But seizure of Iraq's multi-trillion-dollar petroleum reserves is only the
immediate goal, the report shows. RUPE's rigorous analysis of publicly
available sources -- including official documents, think-tank papers, and
press reports -- reveals that the US intends to use the invasion of Iraq as a
launching pad for a drastic reshaping of the Middle East, to be followed by
an unprecedented expansion of US power worldwide. The strategic trend
of US foreign policy now points unmistakably towards global empire.

To be sure, an imperial project on so ambitious a scale entails big
downside risks for the US, including staggering costs, military hazards, and
the disruption of global "stability" (i.e., the dearly-bought loyalty of US
allies and client states.) But the American Establishment seems prepared to
go for broke, and its enthusiastic consensus behind a naked war of
conquest cannot be explained solely by the "cowboy mentality" that some
detect in the White House.

What's really at stake -- and this will come as no surprise to leftists -- is US
control of global markets. The report reveals that the US economy is now
facing a nightmare scenario: A crisis of overproduction has crippled US
GDP, resulting in monstrous trade and budget deficits, even as a
potentially disastrous deflationary spiral appears to be under way
worldwide.

Meanwhile, superpower rivals Europe, Russia and China are mounting a
vigorous challenge to US economic preeminence, which is further
threatened by the euro's emergence as a credible alternative to the dollar
as global reserve currency. (All this is exhaustively detailed in the RUPE
report, which draws its most telling evidence from the mainstream financial
press.)

In this context, the US sees confiscation of the world's richest oil-
producing regions as a magic bullet. While securing its own access to
petroleum supplies for the foreseeable future, it can simultaneously
defend dollar hegemony and restructure Middle East markets for the
exclusive benefit of US-based corporations.

Which brings us to the crux: Direct American control of oil would render
any potential challengers for world or regional supremacy perpetually
dependent on US forbearance. In RUPE's words, "once it has seized the oil
wells of west Asia the US will determine not only which firms would bag
the deals, not only the currency in which oil trade would be denominated,
not
only the price of oil on the international market, but even the destination
of the oil."

RUPE's argument here is powerful but complex, and this summary is
necessarily an extreme oversimplification. But the overall thrust is quite
clear: The US invasion of Iraq needs to be understood not as an end in
itself but as the means to an end -- the foundation of a New American
Empire.

Needless to say, you won't catch Tony Blair owning up to the war's real
purpose as he flogs it to a skeptical public. But the truth, or something
pretty close to it, is now readily available to anyone who cares to look.

Jacob Levich (, a writer and editor based in Queens, N.Y., assisted RUPE in
researching Behind The Invasion of Iraq -- which is a fancy way of saying he
forwarded several hundred articles to an email address in Mumbai. He can
be reached at: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Forwarded for your information.  The text and intent of the article
have to stand on their own merits.
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
In accordance with Title 17 U.S.C. section 107, this material
is distributed without charge or profit to those who have
expressed a prior interest in receiving this type of information
for non-profit research and educational purposes only.
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
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the authority of teachers, elders or wise men.  Believe only after
careful observation and analysis, when you find that it agrees with
reason and is conducive to the good and benefit of one and all.
Then accept it and live up to it." The Buddha on Belief,
from the Kalama Sut

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