-Caveat Lector-

Friday � February 14 � 2003
http://www.nationalpost.com/home/story.html?id={B1C45323-E31C-4B37-
A6F5-E2999A91E20B}

Triple crisis fuels alarm in U.S.

  Jan Cienski

National Post, with files from news services


Thursday, February 13, 2003



WASHINGTON - The three international crises facing the United States
seemed to converge on Washington yesterday, raising public alarm to a
level not seen since the Cuban missile crisis of 1962.

Administration officials simultaneously warned of the imminent danger of
war with Iraq, the possibility of a terrorist attack and the ability of North
Korea to launch nuclear weapons at the U.S.

"You are dealing with ... three layers of people that are very difficult and
of great concern to the American intelligence community," George Tenet,
the director of the Central Intelligence Agency, told a Senate committee.

Across the country, Americans crowded stores to stock up on plastic
sheeting, duct tape and other supplies to guard against chemical or
biological attack.

"The mood of the nation is grim," said Robert Byrd, a West Virginia
Democrat who has been a U.S. Senator since 1958.

Bush administration officials scurried from hearing to hearing on Capitol
Hill, pausing to issue updated warnings of the threat to the nation and
advising Americans to prepare for the worst.

The Federal Emergency Management Agency urged families to prepare a
disaster kit, identify places to gather in case of an attack and to keep
important documents in a watertight container able to survive a
cataclysmic event.

"People are going to be on their own for the first 24 or 48 hours," said
David Paulison, the U.S. fire administrator and a defence planner for the
new Department of Homeland Security, established in the wake of the
Sept. 11 terrorist attacks.

People quickly heeded the advice, jamming hardware stores to stock up
on necessities in case of a calamity: food, water, and materials to build
temporary chemical and biological warfare shelters.

"The plastic and the tape sold out yesterday, sold out again this morning,
sold out this afternoon, and we have another shipment coming in now and
we expect to sell out tonight," said Natalie Green, a manager at
Strosneider's Hardware in Montgomery County, just north of the U.S.
capital. "Some people are in a panic."

At a Home Depot in Alexandria, Va., shoppers spent the day debating the
protective merits of thin plastic film over thick tarps, and wondering
exactly how much of their home would need to be sealed off and for how
long.

"How am I going to keep my kids sealed up in one room? And what about
the bathroom? We won't all fit in the bathroom if we try to stay there,"
one shopper said.

Authorities added to the mood of foreboding by visibly beefing up security
around the capital, deploying heat-seeking Stinger anti-aircraft missiles
mounted on Humvee vehicles at important sites, including the Pentagon,
which was hit by a hijacked airplane during the Sept. 11 attacks.

Overhead, Black Hawk helicopters and F-16 jet fighters were placed on 24-
hour alert in Washington and at other U.S. cities, including New York and
Boston.

Police stepped up their patrols on the streets and in subway tunnels,
where electronic signs that normally alert commuters to arriving trains and
broken elevators instead flashed "Security Alert" messages asking
commuters to report anything suspicious.

The extent of the preparations was questioned by some critics of the
government, who accused the administration of encouraging a sense of
panic to boost support for its war plans in Iraq.

"People are warned of imminent terrorist attacks with little guidance as to
when or where such attacks might occur," Mr. Byrd said. "Family members
are being called to active military duty, with no idea of the duration of
their stay or what horrors they may face. Communities are being left with
less than adequate police and fire protection."

But the administration maintained the precautions were justified.
Appearing before a House committee, Colin Powell, the Secretary of State,
made clear the United States is more determined than ever to proceed
against Iraq, with or without approval from the United Nations.

"We are reaching a moment of truth as to whether or not this matter will
be resolved peacefully or will be resolved by military conflict," he said.

While Americans have become resigned to the inevitability of war with Iraq,
the threat to the United States itself has seemed distant and unreal.

The administration is working to change that. On the weekend it raised
the U.S. threat level to orange, the second-highest level, based on
intelligence indicating Osama bin Laden's al-Qaeda terrorist network is
planning a new round of attacks.

After months of downplaying the danger of a nuclear attack by North
Korea, Mr. Tenet said yesterday the communist state has the potential to
hit the West Coast of North America with an experimental long-range
missile.

"I think the declassified answer is yes, they can do that," Mr. Tenet told
the Senate armed services committee.

North Korea has issued numerous threats of war since the United States
cut off oil supplies last year and has restarted a mothballed nuclear
program.

Yesterday, the International Atomic Energy Agency voted unanimously to
refer the confrontation to the UN Security Council, which could impose
sanctions, a step the North has warned will be treated as a declaration of
war.

Mr. Tenet also told the committee the threats issued by bin Laden in his
latest audio tape mean real danger for Americans.

"What he's said is often followed by attack," the CIA director said, adding
that intelligence pointed to possible attacks against the United States and
against targets on the Arabian Peninsula.

"Al-Qaeda is also developing or refining new means of attack, including the
use of surface-to-air missiles, poisons and air and surface and underwater
methods to attack maritime targets," he said.

Another danger to the United States is Iraq's unmanned aerial vehicle
program, which Mr. Tenet said could be used to distribute chemical or
biological poisons and which, if launched from a ship, could threaten the
United States, a contention challenged by some analysts.

If attacked, Saddam is likely to use whatever weapons of mass destruction
he still has, warned Vice- Admiral Lowell Jacoby, director of the Defence
Intelligence Agency.

"The assessment is that he will employ them when he makes the decision
that his regime is in jeopardy," he said.

Finally, Mr. Tenet said the CIA has intelligence that Iraq has provided
training in poisons and gases to two al-Qaeda associates.

That buttresses the White House contention there are ties between al-
Qaeda and Iraq. Ari Fleischer, the White House spokesman, said the charge
is further proved by the audio tape, released on Tuesday, in which bin
Laden exhorts Muslims to resist the coming U.S. invasion.

"If that is not an unholy partnership, I have not heard of one," said Mr.
Fleischer, dismissing bin Laden's criticism of Iraq's government as "infidels"
as unimportant.

"This is the nightmare that people have warned about, the linking up of
Iraq with al-Qaeda."

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