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http://www.wsws.org/articles/2003/feb2003/blix-f15.shtml


WSWS : News & Analysis : Middle East : Iraq

Bush administration stung by second report of Iraq inspectors

By Patrick Martin
15 February 2003

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The Bush administration reacted bitterly to the second report delivered
Friday by the chief weapons inspectors, Hans Blix and Mohamed ElBaradei,
in which they declared that no evidence had been found that Iraq
currently possesses nuclear, biological or chemical weapons.

US Secretary of State Colin Powell listened stone-faced as the reports of
Blix and ElBaradei explicitly contradicted the basic premises upon which
the Bush administration�s drive to war is based.

Their report was immediately cited by diplomats from France, Russia, China
and Germany as the basis for rejecting a US demand for the UN Security
Council to authorize military action against Iraq.

Blix cited improved cooperation on the part of Iraq in recent weeks,
including the first private interviews with Iraqi weapons scientists and
permission for the UN to operate U-2 spy plane flights across Iraq�s
territory. Iraq was continuing to give full access to UN inspectors to visit
whatever site in the country they chose, he said.

The Swedish diplomat explicitly rebutted several of the charges which
Powell made last week in his address to the Security Council.

Referring to satellite photos of an Iraqi ammunition depot, which Powell
had presented to the UN as evidence of Iraqi concealment of banned
weapons, Blix said, �The reported movement of munitions at the site could
just as easily have been a routine activity,� rather than an attempt to hide
materials from inspectors. �In no case have we seen convincing evidence
that the Iraqi side knew in advance that the inspectors were coming,� he
said, contradicting another Powell claim.

Blix said that a UN weapons panel had concluded that Iraq�s Al Samoud 2
missile was in violation of a Security Council ban on possession of missiles
with a range exceeding 150 kilometers in range (93 miles). The missiles
traveled 110 miles in a test firing, a relatively minor difference. More
significant was Blix�s admission that Iraq had voluntarily supplied the
information about the missile.

Iraq has not supplied all the information sought by inspectors about when
and how it destroyed previous stocks of chemical and biological weapons,
built up during the 1980s with assistance from the United States and
European countries, Blix said. It was impossible as yet to prove conclusively
that all these weapons had been destroyed.

�One must not jump to the conclusion that they exist,� Blix said.
�However, that possibility is also not excluded.� In a clear reference to
the unsupported character of allegations by the Bush administration, he
said, �Inspectors, for their part, must base their reports only on evidence,
which they can, themselves, examine and present publicly. Without
evidence, confidence cannot arise.�

ElBaradei�s report was even less favorable from the standpoint of the Bush
administration. �We have to date found no evidence of ongoing prohibited
nuclear or nuclear-related activities in Iraq,� he said.

ElBaradei, who heads the Vienna-based International Atomic Energy Agency
(IAEA), directly contradicted Bush administration claims that Iraq could
hide a nuclear program, adding, �The IAEA�s experience in nuclear
verification shows that it is possible, particularly with an intrusive
verification system, to assess the presence or absence of a nuclear
weapons program in a state even without the full cooperation of the
inspected state.�

Bluster from Colin Powell

Powell was clearly taken aback by the thrust of Blix�s report. The Bush
administration has been assuring the media for several days that Blix would
follow up his January 27 report with an even more critical assessment of
Iraqi cooperation, providing the basis for a Security Council resolution
authorizing the use of force against Baghdad.

Evidently unprepared to answer specific criticisms, Powell made no
response to Blix�s rebuttal of the alleged US �evidence� of Iraqi
concealment of weapons, or to his criticism of the US refusal to hand over
intelligence information to back its claims of Iraqi weapons stockpiles.

Instead he awkwardly combined praise for the inspectors� work in
Iraq�obviously drafted ahead of time in expectation of a different kind of
report�with bluster about the alleged threat of Iraqi weapons to the
United States.

�We cannot wait for one of these terrible weapons to show up in our
cities and wonder where it came from after it�s been detonated by Al
Qaeda or somebody else,� he said. �This is the time to go after this source
of this kind of weaponry.�

As his remarks assumed the form of an incoherent diatribe, Powell said
that Iraq�s cooperation with the inspectors�which he had praised as a
positive step�amounted to �tricks that are being played on us.� The
inspectors �are still being watched. They are still being bugged. They still
do not have the access they need in Iraq to do their job well,� he said.

�We cannot allow this process to be endlessly strung out,� Powell
concluded. The overall impression left by Powell was that the Bush
administration is deeply embittered and frustrated by the opposition that
its drive to war has encountered.

The European powers

The representatives of France, Germany, Russia and China all cited the
reports of Blix and ElBaradei as proof that inspections should continue
indefinitely. French Foreign Minister Dominique de Villepin was applauded
by other diplomats and by the audience in the public gallery after he
called for �an alternative to war,� an unusual event for the UN and a clear
indication of the widespread international concern over the implications
of the US war drive. There was no applause for Powell.

Villepin proposed the Security Council hold another ministerial meeting on
March 14�a clear attempt to block a US military strike, widely believed to
be timed for the first week of March, when the new moon provides the
best conditions for stealth bomber attacks on Iraqi targets.

This underscores the intensifying conflict between American imperialism
and its major rivals, especially in Europe. While the Bush administration has
sought to utilize the UN to provide an international rubber stamp for its
policy of aggression, the European powers, militarily weaker, seek to use
the UN structure to set limits on the use of American military power.

The outcome of the diplomatic conflict is still uncertain. There are only
three sure votes for a proposed British resolution backing military action
against Iraq: the US, Britain and Spain. Four big powers remain opposed:
Germany, France, Russia and China, three of them with a veto.

The remaining countries represented on the Security Council include
Syria, Pakistan, Guinea, Angola, Mexico, Chile, Bulgaria and Cameroon. The
votes of the smaller countries, in keeping with the usual practice of
imperialist diplomacy, will be for sale to the highest bidder. This is likely to
be the Bush administration, which is increasingly desperate to push ahead
with its war plans. As one US official told the Washington Post, describing
another reluctant US ally, Turkey, �They want money, as much as they can
get.�

Crisis of US imperialism

Should the US government fail to win support of a majority of the Security
Council, as well as the support or abstention by France, Russia and China,
the Bush administration seems determined to launch a war unilaterally,
taking with it whatever governments it can browbeat or bribe into assisting
in this criminal enterprise.

The prospect of open defiance of international law has caused trepidation
even among sections of the US ruling elite who have long supported the
project of war against Iraq. Such reservations were expressed by a number
of public figures and media commentators on the eve of the Blix report.

Republican Senator Chuck Hagel of Nebraska, a member of the Foreign
Relations Committee, criticized Bush�s denigration of the UN in a speech
to a Navy audience in Florida. �We need to deal not just with North Korea
and Iraq but Afghanistan and the Middle East and beyond,� he said. �Sure,
if we want to bolt from the UN structure and attack Iraq, there is little
question that we would win. But at what cost?�

Former national security adviser Zbigniew Brzezinski worried that if �we
rush to war on our own for the sake of removing Saddam from power ... we
will find ourselves much more isolated. The aftermath of the war will be
exclusively our burden.�

The two principal diplomatic columnists for the Washington Post, both
fervent supporters of war against Iraq, voiced fears that the Bush
administration was going too far in alienating Europe. �These arguments
and defiance are not only about Iraq and North Korea. They are now
about the scope and nature of American leadership in global affairs,�
wrote Jim Hoagland. He criticized the tendency of the White House to
rely �on overwhelming strength� rather than diplomacy and strategy.

Columnist David Ignatius said the Bush administration�s obsession with
Saddam Hussein was coming to resemble Ahab�s pursuit of Moby Dick, and
might end in a similar shipwreck. �Over the past few weeks, the hunt for
Saddam Hussein has become so intense that it has seemed almost self-
destructive,� he wrote. �The administration appears willing to sacrifice
almost anything�America�s alliances, its prosperity, even the security of its
citizens�in its determination to oust the Iraqi leader from power.�

Despite such reservations, however, there is no section of the American
ruling elite which dares to openly oppose the Bush administration�s war
drive or to say what is: this government is embarked on a course of
reckless aggression around the world, preparing wars of plunder and
seeking to establish worldwide US domination.

War is not merely an instrument of US policy, it has become the policy.
The Bush administration has used the threat of terrorism and the prospect
of war, first in Afghanistan and now Iraq, to deflect public attention from
the deepening economic crisis of American capitalism and to divert
opposition to its reactionary social policies. The trajectory of American
imperialism leads inexorably to war, not only in the Middle East, but
ultimately on a world scale.







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