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ECB's Liebscher `Not Concerned' About Euro's Slide vs Dollar
Bloomberg News
Apr 16 1999 7:10AM ET
ECB's Liebscher `Not Concerned' About Euro's Slide vs Dollar

Vienna, April 16 (Bloomberg) -- European Central Bank council member Klaus
Liebscher said he isn't concerned about the euro's fluctuating exchange rate
against the dollar, even as Europe's four-month-old single currency sinks to
its lowest level since its inception.

Though the euro sank to as low as $1.0622 in London trading today, the lowest
since it first began trading at $1.16675 on Jan. 4, Liebscher, the Austrian
National Bank governor, said ``psychological factors'' and concern about
``how economies are performing'' are commonplace in exchange rates between
two currencies.

``I'm not really concerned about the exchange rate because we more or less
have the same situation that the dollar-yen had last year,'' Liebscher said.
``We will watch it carefully, but one should not be too concerned about the
development in the exchange rate. It's not the goal of the ECB council.''

The euro slid to a new low against the dollar today, as hopes for an end to
the war over Kosovo faded after U.S. President Bill Clinton warned attacks on
Yugoslavia would intensify.

While ECB officials say the euro's development is no cause for concern,
analysts say the ongoing conflict will be costly to European governments and
could hurt Eastern European economies. Even so, some commentators point out
that a less valuable euro can encourage Western European growth by making
products less expensive for customers abroad.

``The lower exchange rate is an indirect sponsorship program for the European
economy,'' Johannes Farnleitner, the Austrian Minister for Economic Affairs,
said today.

ECB's Contribution

While Liebscher downplayed concerns about the European economy, he added the
ECB council did its part for the euro bloc's growth by cutting its benchmark
refinancing rate half a percentage point to 2.5 percent last week.

He said it's now up to each government to change economic policies in line
with the euro countries' so-called stability pact, which is intended to
reduce government deficits and debt.

``The prime goal for me is that policy makers really stick to the stability
pact...and reach balanced budgets or even surpluses,'' said Liebscher,
attending the launch of an education package to boost schoolchildren's
awareness of Europe's single currency.

Governments ``are forced to, and they should, speed up structural reforms
like deregulation, getting rid of bureaucracy, and creating new jobs in
respect of new enterprises,'' he said.

Liebscher highlighted the importance of tackling unemployment in the euro 11
countries, though said he was satisfied with Austria's own jobless rate.

Austria's Low Unemployment

``The Austrian situation itself is quite different because we have an
unemployment rate of 4.2 percent, which is, fortunately, one of the lowest
rates within the European Union,'' he said. ``But on the other side,
according to national standards, it's rather high.''

Austria's coalition government last month agreed on a 30 billion schilling
($2.4 billion) tax package aimed at boosting consumer spending, encouraging
companies to invest and creating more jobs.

``I'm convinced we've already seen certain improvements in the last two or
three months, so the situation here is improving,'' Liebscher said.

Austria, which with 3 percent of the euro bloc's output is the area's
seventh-largest economy, also announced plans at the start of the year to
continue posting budget deficits in a four- year deficit-limitation plans.

Reducing Speculation

Liebscher said last week's ECB interest rate reduction, the size of which
surprised many economists, was aimed at bolstering growth in the region and
stamping out speculation about further rate cuts in the future.

While the central bank's independent reputation may benefit from springing
``surprises'' on the market, he said, the decision was based wholly on
policy, since ``we are faced with a quite favorable outlook for price
stability on the one side. And this was, of course, our main basis for that
decision.''

The European Commission forecast last month that economic growth in the euro
11 may slow to 2.2 percent in 1999, from 3 percent last year.

``This is a realistic outlook but optimistic on the other hand because they
say it's more or less a temporary development and we will see the situation
recover next year,'' Liebscher said.

``I also share the feeling that we have seen a robust economy internationally
-- we have improvement in some of the Asian countries and a stabilizing
situation in Latin America. So I think the international environment is quite
favorable for the future,'' Liebescher said.

Liebescher is one of 17 members of the ECB Governing Council, which meets
twice a month to discuss monetary policy and interest rates for the 11
countries that adopted the euro common currency. The council next meets on
Thursday.

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