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Thirteen French Heavyweights Weigh in on the War
Le Monde | 15.02.03

The following is compilation of opinions concerning the prospects for war
by 13 of France's leading commentators.

"Going to War Now Would Be Stupid''
-- Pierre Gilles de Gennes

Is a new war against Iraq justified?

"Saddam Hussein is certainly a dictator of the worst sort and a repeat user
of chemical weapons. However the occupation of Iraq by the United
States will eventually create a pan-Arab insurrectionary incubator well
beyond anything that we know. The Middle East will be totally destabilized.
The countries now close to the West are at risk of swinging against us and
in every Arab country the moderates risk being reduced to silence. The
resurgence of the Kurds will push Turkey towards a formidable repression.
We in the West will find ourselves plunged into an immense, incoherent,
and enduring battle. Making war on Iraq today would be stupid."

Do you approve of the French position?

"I do not wish to respond to the question of whether I approve of France's
current position."



"One Should Distrust Crusades!"
-- Pierre Berge | AFP

Is a new war against Iraq justified?

"George W. Bush, barely elected, saw his popularity, up until then in
decline; improve after the attacks of September 11 2001. He believes that
there is only one step from Bin Laden to Saddam Hussein, a step he dreams
of taking. When France participated in the Gulf War, it was in order not to
be absent from the negotiating table. We know what happened: we
weren't invited to the negotiating table. Why shouldn't Mr. Bush declare
war? But he doesn't ask our opinion, even less our agreement, because
once again we will be left out of the room. One should distrust crusades:
with good intentions they can turn the world inside out. Oh yes, we
should be at ease if there weren't quite so much oil in Iraq, if Bush The
Valiant were to go after North Korea or Pakistan. However these countries
don't possess those famous reserves."



"War is the Worst of Solutions"
-- Jean d'Ormesson | AFP

Is a new war against Iraq justified?

"I don't know. However, I do believe it should not be waged. There are
preventative wars that could be justified. I have never ceased to regret
that France and England failed to attack Hitler's Germany in 1936, or better
yet, in 1935, or still better, 1934. In 1938 I despised the Munich signatories.
But it was already too late. The regime of Saddam Hussein is a disgrace.
That of North Korea and its ridiculous bloody dictators also. I have no
doubt about North Korea's capabilities for mass destruction. Nobody
attacks them. There is a doubt about Iraq. War is the worst of solutions
and all the others have their dangers."

Do you approve of the French position?

"Saddam Hussein must be delighted to see the divide that has been dug
between one part of Europe and the other. And Bin Laden also. What a
mess! Whatever my reservations with regard to George Bush's policies, I
prefer Bush to Saddam Hussein, to Bin Laden, and even, I admit it, to
Putin. I approve of the French policy to seek a peaceful solution, but I
hope the differences with Washington do not finish in a break. We differ
with regard to methods, not the essence. Nevertheless the Americans
should not slide too openly from a cult of democracy to the practice of an
Empire."



"The consequences of this war are incalculable"
-- Philippe Caub�re | AFP

Is a new war against Iraq justified?

"Even if I suffer a little from the banality of what I may think, I say no,
obviously no, a new war against Iraq is not justified. I was a partisan of the
Gulf War because I saw a dictator invade another country. It seemed
legitimate and logical to intervene. Afterward, I was sorry. Today, one can
no longer believe in a necessity justified by the fact Saddam is a dictator.
It is said that war is a continuation of politics. There it's no longer even
politics. It's petroleum. It is so obvious that war is willed for that reason!
The poverty of American arguments should make us suspicious.
Furthermore, the consequences of this war are incalculable. It risks killing
us, stuck in oil, and it arms the fundamentalists."

Do you approve of the French position?

"Yes, without reservation. I've heard it said that France will change
direction at the last moment. I hope it's not so. I wouldn't want to
discourage the ambassadors and the politicians who have staked out a hard
position and who begin to win. I don't forget the huge role of French
public opinion in this policy. That's what's decided the anti-war position."





"One Must Avoid Cartoon Judgments"
-- Thierry Desmarest | AFP

Is a new war against Iraq justified?

"The situation in which Iraq finds itself after ten years is very worrying;
there has been a real disruption of the social and economic fabric of the
country. This situation must end soon. The best is to try to organize
disarmament peacefully, but that demands a certain level of international
pressure. As long as there is no specific risk of the use of weapons of mass
destruction, recourse to war seems to me to create more risks that solve
problems."

Do you approve of the French position?

"I believe that the French government has done well to emphasize that war
in Iraq could have destabilizing effects on many other countries of the
Middle East, already shaken by the fact that so many of the actors in the
September 11 attacks were their citizens, and shaken still more by the
impasse of the Israeli-Palestinian conflict. But one can also fear
repercussions in the Islamic world in general, in South-East Asia, in North
Africa, and in Western countries. We must try to share this sense of the
risks of destabilization as widely as possible. Among other things, we should
avoid cartoon judgments on the positions taken on both sides of the
Atlantic. But I know that's easier said than done."



"No One Can Want a War"
-- Georges Kiejman | AFP

Is a new war against Iraq justified?

"No one can want a war. Should we make an exception for Iraq? No.
However, I am not convinced by any of the reasons adduced by those who
express this refusal. There are other dictators besides Saddam Hussein. Is
that a reason to accommodate his regime? The Iraqi people would be the
first victim. Today who does what for the Iraqi people? The nuisance
capability of Saddam has been insufficiently demonstrated. What do the
Iranians, the Kurds, the Iraqis themselves think of that? An intervention
against Iraq will upset the structures of the Arab world. Do they deserve
to be maintained as they are? I hope the menace of a war is sufficiently
credible to convince Saddam Hussein to prefer to save his skin rather than
lose it in a bunker. No to the war. Yes to the possibility that it take place."

Do you approve of the French position?

"I don't approve of French policy any more than I did when it was more
nuanced. I approve of it all the less because I am convinced that France
will never veto American intervention. In the meantime, we will be
distanced from the United States, which will be an historical ingratitude
and a misapprehension of reality: whatever its mistakes, the United States
remains the only guarantor of an imperfect, but perfectible and livable
world. Unless one believes in the end of history, which I do not."



"The Furious Obstinacy of the United states is Not Justified"
-- Daniel Costantini | AFP

Is a new war against Iraq justified?

"As the proverb says, "When a man wants to kill his dog, he says it has
rabies''. The furious obstinacy of the United States against Iraq is not
justified by the situation. Unless it hides the desire of a country in the
grip of economic difficulty to relaunch its petroleum activities in the Gulf
region. How could a country put to fire and bloodied by the Gulf War,
which suffers the embargo, possibly succeed in hiding the military arsenal
it is accused of possessing by the United States? The first war against Iraq
had the impact only of destroying the Iraqi people. Not only did it not
prevent the development of terrorism and fundamentalism, but perhaps
the events of September 11 actually developed from the ruins of Baghdad."

Do you approve of the French position?

"France's position is composed of compromise and conviction. President
Chirac tries to play the supplest diplomatic game possible by humoring our
historic allies the Americans and by maintaining refusal of war with the
Germans. It's a good tack now, but it must be held in all tides and storms.
If a conflict erupts, we have to express a minimal solidarity with the
Americans. But for now, France and Germany must pursue their efforts to
avoid it..."



"We Must Know How to Resist"
-- Juliette Greco | AFP

Is a new war against Iraq justified?

"I cannot favor this war. In the first place because I have no certainty, no
proof substantiating the arguments advanced by the Americans to unleash
it. And, even if one should prove that Saddam Hussein possesses weapons
of mass destruction, I remain perplexed before the necessity of
immediately killing thousands of people- notably Americans and Iraqis- with
those same weapons. I am not persuaded in spite of what one reads in the
American press against the French position and that of other countries
hostile to war, that the majority of the American people approve of this
hypothetical "preventative war.'' Meanwhile such a war, should it take
place, risks having dramatic consequences for the American people- even
more than the Gulf War, with its veterans handicapped for life, whom we
have recently witnessed- and should not be decided by the President of
the United States against the opinion of a huge part of the American
people."

Do you approve of the French position?

"I approve of the French position. We must know how to resist. To resist
the American will, which is first of all that of a President who cares most
about his own image and who is anxious to demonstrate and prove his
power to himself, to his family, to Americans and the whole world."



"War Only Kills the Poor"
-- Isabelle Autissier | AFP

Is a new war against Iraq justified?

"The last time war was declared on Iraq, we took the stick in the third
stage of a worldwide relay race. We were in an atmosphere of solidarity
between the runners of more than ten different nationalities. The war,
even at a distance, cracked that view of the world a little. We know that
that conflict only encouraged terrorism. People always have limited
perspective. Saddam, bloody dictator, is a pitiable excuse for a unilateral
vision of the world. One hides poorly the oil calculations, or worse, the
idea that the planet can be restructured according to one's own design.
Those who declare war today brought down Allende's Chili in a blood bath,
armed the Taliban against Massoud. As for the UN resolutions, they are
applied when convenient  ask Sharon!"

Do you approve of the French position?

"France today takes the only reasonable position, even if one fears we may
finish by giving in to the War Sirens to save our piece of the cake. Disarm a
dangerous dictator, yes! One could ask how one separates the dangerous
dictators from those who aren't, see North Korea or Pakistan  It would be
an honor for "the old Europe'' to prove that other ways are possible and
that it has the youth of heart and the imagination of spirit to invent them.
War only kills the poor. It calls for revenge. It would be a calamity for
everyone."



"Bush is a Friend who Wants to Make a Stupid Mistake."
-- Luc Montagnier | AFP

Is a new war against Iraq justified?

"Who would profit from such a conflict? All those who would have a direct
interest in a military escalation, in the multiplication of terrorist attacks. If
bombs are launched at Iraq, the likelihood is that others will be launched
elsewhere. Our international scientific community is unable to provide
objective proof of the reality of Iraq's possession of biological or chemical
weapons of mass destruction. Such weapons are easily hidden. Do smallpox
virus stocks exist on Iraqi soil? We, virologists, are unable to reply, even if
it is well established that before the �80s exchanges of virological stocks
which could retain all their virulence today could have taken place."

Do you approve of the French position?

"We must see the United States as an outpost of Europe. We have the
same values; we are philosophically and culturally on the same side. I
consider it indispensable that the French diplomatic line not lose sight of
the fact that George Bush is, for us, a friend, a friend who wants to make
a stupid mistake, a friend to whom we must speak the truth precisely to
prevent that mistake. The world is divided more and more into big
geopolitical spheres: the West, China, the Arab world. But only one
civilization maintains universal values, those of the rights of man: our own."



"The Americans are Caught in Their Own Trap"
-- David Douillet | AFP

Is a new war against Iraq justified?

"Unfortunately, I have the impression- given the forces which America has
deployed- that it would be ridiculous to imagine that war is not inevitable.
I say "unfortunately'' because I am against such an intervention. The United
States give the impression of wanting to show that, even after September
11 2001, they remain the strongest. In judo, when one adopts a stance
that consists of flexing the muscles, one is likely to be struck again. Today,
the Americans can no longer go backwards: this war, they have to pursue
it, without which they lose all credibility. They are caught in their own
trap."

Do you approve of the French position?

"I am of the same opinion as the majority of the French and of our
politicians: we must use all means to avoid the war. First pursue the
investigations of the UN experts. To bring down a dictator, they will hit his
people. Aren't there other solutions, other ways of incapacitating this
man? The problem with the French position is its ambiguity. As an ally of
the United States, France has obligations. However, in the case of a
conflict, France will have to decide whether to go in or not. To affirm
France's grandeur, I think we must decide not to go there. "



"War Cannot Be Justified"
-- Axel Kahn | AFP

Is a new war against Iraq justified?

"The war is not justified. Saddam Hussein is an abominable dictator, but he
clearly is not the only one. There are other abominable dictators, but
they are not all the head of a state which possesses a strategic product
for the United States of America. In these conditions, the war cannot be
justified."

Do you approve of the French position?

"I approve totally of the French and German position, knowing very well
that it is extremely dangerous, particularly on the economic level.
Essentially the world economy functions under American rules. By their
political and economic weight, the United States possess altogether
considerable pressure powers and are capable of anything in a their
economic war. It may be that revenge measures will be taken against
countries that don't state their fidelity to the American position. The
terrible character of economic interdependence makes it costly also for
political independence. Apart from the temptation of planting themselves
durably in the Middle East, the United States may try, given this crisis, to
destroy the dynamic of Europe. Were that to occur, it would permit the
United States to protect themselves from the emergence of an economic
and strategic competitor."



"There's a Sort of Infantilization of Politics"
-- Claude Lanzmann | AFP

Is a new war against Iraq justified?

"I am against this war. Saddam Hussein is a massacrer; what he inflicted on
the Kurds is an atrocity. However, I can hardly believe today that the Iraqi
dictator represents a real threat for the world. There is a sort of
infantilization of politics. The United States behaves like a planetary
policeman, handing out punishments- slaps, they say- to countries as
though it were a question of children that have to be disciplined. And, of
course, they never take on the powerful, those who razed Groznyy, for
example. In spite of the precision of bombing, there will be thousands of
"collateral'' deaths: it bothers me that to get rid of a dictator, we have to
wreck a country. After the Shoah, it was said: "never again". The concept
of humanitarian interference was born from that, with all the perverse
effects that the mix of humanitarianism and war must bring forth. Even
Israel, which during the Gulf War ( I was there, it was through CNN that we
learned a Scud had fallen several kilometers away- I formulated it this way:
the place of the event is never the place where the event takes place)
stayed fully armed, does not want this conflict. And besides, I don't like
the movements of Bush's chin and this war announced like the execution
of those who await the inevitable in the death row cells of American
prisons."

Do you approve of the French position?

"I find that overall France's government is right."

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