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http://greenvilleonline.com/news/2003/02/24/200302241864.htm

West: Bush's war plan 'absolute disaster'

Posted Monday, February 24, 2003 - 2:09 am


By Dan Hoover
STAFF WRITER
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Former


ambassador to Saudi Arabia John West said this weekend that the Bush
administration's plans for a pre- emptive strike against Iraq are "an absolute
disaster."

West said the administration risks inflaming the Islamic world and would
further destabilize the volatile region with its go-it-alone policy without
affecting the root problem there.

Military analysts said Friday that the opening attacks by U.S. and British
forces could begin in mid- March. Defense Secretary Donald Rumsfeld said
there are now enough troops and equipment in place to launch an
invasion.

"The evidence does not persuade me" that Iraq and its dictator, Saddam
Hussein, are a clear and present danger to the United States," West told
The Greenville News. Instead, he would pursue a policy of containment, as
is being utilized with another prospective nuclear club member, North
Korea.

West, 80, of Hilton Head, was South Carolina's governor from 1971 to 1975
and was envoy to Saudi Arabia under President Jimmy Carter from 1977 to
1981. He has maintained contact with Saudi friends and officials and others
in the region since returning to his private law practice. He is a Democrat.

He said Bush and his advisers don't fully understand the complexities of the
Middle East, although "Carter understood it very well, that you'll never
have a stable Middle East peace until you resolve the Palestinian-Israeli
problem," the root cause of terrorism today.

"If we go into Iraq, particularly without United Nations approval, we're
going to create what, in my judgment, will be a chaotic situation. We'll be
an occupying power with a tremendous nation-building obligation, and
that's where the problem comes," West said.

Acknowledging that secret plans and intelligence reports he hasn't seen
could put a different light on the postwar situation, West said, "I do know
certain demographic situations" that could work against Washington's goals.

He cited the 61 percent of Iraqis who are Shiite Muslims and the Shiite
mullahs who run Iran.

"As one of my Arab friends said, 'You Americans go in, you can take Saddam
out with some casualties, but you're going to have to occupy it for a time,
maybe a couple of years. Then you'll have to have democratic elections
(reflecting) your system. Then the Shiites will take control of the
government and certainly have a relationship with their Islamic brothers in
Iran.'"

All that, West said, will make for a difficult occupation and complicate the
restoration of a government in Iraq.

Without unified support going in, Washington faces postwar troubles
without help from Turkey, which has problems with its Kurdish minority,
and from Saudi Arabia, which has a large Palestinian population and strong
grass-roots opposition with ties to terrorist groups.

"I hope I'm wrong."

But Republican Sen. Lindsey Graham, a staunch supporter of the
administration's policy on Iraq, said West failed to consider the changes
brought about by the Sept. 11 terror attacks.

"It has fundamentally changed us as a people," Graham said. "We have now
been shown, in the most dramatic way in the history of our nation, that
terrorism unchecked is lethal to Americans and a free people."

He cited "direct, substantial and unequivocal evidence that (Saddam) is
supporting the al-Qaida murderers who plotted the 9/11 attacks and who
recently killed an American (diplomat) in Jordan."

"The Bush Doctrine, that if you 'harbor, aid or assist a terrorist,' you're just
as guilty as they are, is the appropriate doctrine post- 9/11," Graham said,
adding that Iraq has aligned itself "with the forces of evil, and this is a
battle of the forces of good and evil."

"Saddam is an imminent threat because he has the ability to empower
terrorists beyond their own capabilities," Graham said.

He acknowledged a mixed reaction from the Saudis.

"Secretly, they want to get rid of Saddam; at the same time, they have a
substantial religious right, the Osama bin Laden crowd," Graham said.

Dan Hoover covers politics and can be reached at 298-4883.

Tuesday, February 25








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