-Caveat Lector-

The author was kind enough to include a poll that gives the kind of results
we expect!

The Infallible Opinion Poll
Sample of One, Zero Percent Margin of Error

by PAUL DEAN  (Counterpunch, February 26)
http://www.counterpunch.org/dean02262003.html

Many of us have never been polled by a national news organization.
Almost all of us have, however, over the years, read results of
hundreds, if not thousands, of opinion polls. It seems no one in
America can escape being bombarded by opinion polls, which are
presented to us as accurate representations of what "we" think.

I am almost always struck by how much the reported opinions of my
fellow Americans seem to diverge from my own perspective. In fact, I
can't recall a single poll which led me to conclude that my thinking
was consistent with what corporate media says Americans think about a
given issue.

I take it as self evident that this is because the primary function
of corporate media is not to report news, but is instead to influence
and direct public opinion and behavior to serve corporate interests.
The 'opinion poll' is arguably one of the most effective tools ever
devised for manipulation of public perception, and therefore, by
extension, controlling social behavior and setting political agenda.
Carefully contrived polls can plant thoughts and opinions in people's
minds that are contrary to their own interests, leaving them with the
impression that these implanted thoughts are their own opinions.

One recent poll, conducted by ABC News and the Washington Post,
concluded that a majority of Americans favor use of nuclear weapons
against Iraq. The article, as it appeared in the Washington Post, was
called "Most Favor Nuclear Option Against Iraq." The same article
appeared in my local Santa Rosa (California) Press Democrat, under
the title "Nuclear Retaliation on Iraq Favored."

The article, of course, did not explain that the poll was expressly
designed to create the false impression that Americans want to use
nukes against Iraq, but that much was obvious upon reading about it.
The exact questions which were asked were not reprinted. But it was
apparent from the article, that Americans would "favor" a first
strike using nuclear weapons only in "retaliation" after
Iraq "attacked" our troops, using chemical or biological agents.

Imagine, for a moment, that you don't like my Dad, and that I suspect
sometime, somewhere, you might be going to do something bad.
Furthermore, I know that someone who is known to hate you, and with
whom you do not associate, has already done something really bad. I
suspect that, despite your mutual animosity, the two of you may team
up and do something really, really bad. Therefore, I initiate a
confrontation with you by pre-emptively bashing you in the face with
a right hook. You respond with a left jab. Would it then be fair,
accurate and reasonable for me to describe my next blow as
a "retaliation" for your "attack?" Through this type of deliberate
manipulation of language, pollsters can redefine words to convey the
meaning of their polar opposites.

The first step for these particular pollsters, was to manipulate
language to obtain the conditional 'result' that they wanted. The
next step, was to announce the result in a headline that implied that
it was an absolute, and not a conditional result. Here is an analogy
to illustrate this. Imagine a poll which asks this question: "If you
came home to find your neighbor raping and attempting to murder your
wife, would you shoot your neighbor in the head, if that was the only
way to save your wife?" Seizing the inevitable result of a question
framed this way, we could then craft the headline "Most Americans
Favor Shooting Their Neighbors in the Head."

But beneath this analysis is an even more fundamental question. Good
scientists understand that the very act of trying to observe
something can radically alter the type and quality of data gathered.
This is why a scientist that wants to observe gorillas in the wild
might try to conceal herself, or to wear a really convincing gorilla
suit, when she is in the presence of gorillas that she wants to
observe. Otherwise, she will only be observing the way gorillas
behave in response to the presence of an intruder. This would
preclude any possibility of observing 'natural' gorilla behavior.

For the statement that "most Americans favor use of nuclear weapons
against Iraq" to be an accurate reflection of "our" opinion, it is
necessary that the idea itself must have arisen out of spontaneous
discussions and debates amongst our informed citizenry, as opposed to
its having been planted by pollsters and government officials who are
trying to manufacture consent to initiate violence. Otherwise, to
even ask the question is like forgetting to put on the gorilla suit.
For their purposes, the good folks at ABC News and the Washington
Post would like us to believe that the question of whether or not to
annihilate Iraq with nuclear weapons, is a major topic of discussion
in cafes, bars and truck stops throughout America.

This is an implication that pollsters who create such tripe, must
really hope that we will not examine. I can imagine two "regular
guys" in Americas' mythical heartland, (we'll call them Lester and
Homer) engaged in a serious debate on this issue:

Lester: "Homer, our President is proposing that we violate
international law with a pre-emptive military strike against Iraq
that is not sanctioned or approved by the U.N. If Saddam still has
viable chemical weapons that US corporations, fronted by Donald
Rumsfeld, sold them in the 80s, and if Iraq responds to our
aggression by using those weapons, do you think we should unleash a
first strike nuclear attack in order to incinerate Iraq and send the
nations of the world the message that Americans are completely
insane?"

Homer: "Geez Lester, you said a mouthful. I'll tell you what- you and
I both know that detonation of a nuclear device means that plutonium
and strontium 90, two of the most deadly radioisotopes known to
humanity, would be released in prodigious quantities. Therefore, in
addition to the probability that hundreds of thousands of Iraqi
civilians, including women and children, would be instantly
incinerated, our troops will be exposed to dangerous or even deadly
levels of radioactivity. We also know without question, that a
radioactive cloud would then enter the stratosphere and travel around
the globe. The resulting fallout will poison everyone in its' path,
causing cancer and birth defects worldwide, including right here in
America. And of course, there is the fact that there is no military
necessity whatsoever to even warrant consideration of the use of
nuclear weapons, so I don't know"

Lester: "Right you are, Homer. And if you add to that equation that
doing this could destabilize the entire Middle East, possibly
resulting in a nuclear conflagration when nations like Pakistan and
India, or North Korea, react, it is clear that we had better think
this through."

Homer: "I'm with you Lester. Did you know Saddam gassed his own
people?"

Lester: "Yep, Homer, I sure did hear that. And that is the primary
reason why I'm inclined to support a vicious attack against everyone
in Iraq, using nuclear weapons on a first strike basis. Saddam is a
really, really bad man."

Homer: "Then we're agreed. Let's nuke 'em."

For months now, corporate media, basing their claims on the 'latest
poll results,' has been telling us that a majority of Americans
support war. This 'result' is always announced first, before it is
revealed that Americans actually don't support war at all if the U.N.
cannot be manipulated into appearing to support it. Since it now
seems unlikely that the Bush administration will be able to convince
the entire world to bow to US imperialism, and since millions of
people here and abroad are demonstrating against this war, I think it
might be time for American media to simply admit that a majority of
Americans do not want war with Iraq. But I am not holding my breath
in the hope that ABC, Washington Post, FOX, New York Times, etc. will
reveal that the latest poll confirms this fact.

I am not content, however, to hide my head in the sand, and ignore
the threat that a manipulative corporate media poses to my security,
and to the security of the world. I cannot afford to wait for
corporate pollsters to craft questions which bear on real issues.
Therefore, I have created my own pre-emptive poll to counter this
threat. The poll is manipulative, it displays flagrant bias, and its'
questions were carefully crafted to obtain a specific result that
supports a political agenda. In these respects, it is identical to
most polls conducted by corporate media in America.

This poll was conducted on February 20, 2003. It had a sample of one,
and a zero percent margin of error, because I already knew what I was
thinking when I created it. All respondents are best described as
white males, and musicians. However, all respondents were born in
Mississippi, grew up in the south, and spent years banging nails into
lumber for a living, alongside guys that drove Chevy and Ford pickup
trucks and drank Budweiser beer. In addition, all respondents have a
wife, an ex-wife, a mother, a sister in law, and two children,
including a teenage daughter, and all of these women agree with the
political views of the respondent. So don't even think for a minute
that the poll results don't accurately represent the views of level
headed, 'family values' middle Americans from the mythical heartland.

To confirm the absolutely unquestionable integrity and validity of
poll results, all questions and possible responses are reprinted,
along with the instructions that accompanied the original poll. In
some cases, responses have been subjected to editorial analysis, in
order that readers may get a more accurate sense of the meaning I
want them to derive from the results.

Instructions: Read each question carefully and select the letter next
to the answer that best reflects the political agenda that I want to
promote. (After each question, the poll results are noted, and
percentages posted reflect the range of response)


Question 1. Since it is now apparent to America and the world that
Bush and his entire Administration are thoroughly corrupt, have
seized power illegitimately, and are responsive only to the desires
of the richest Americans and to corporate interests, to the detriment
of average Americans in the mythical heartland, what is to be done
about it?

A. Impeach Bush

B. Impeach Bush, and his entire administration

C. Impeach Bush, and his entire administration, and throw them into
federal prison.

D. Impeach Bush, and his entire administration, and throw them into
federal prison only after pretending to give them a fair trial like
the one that convicted Ed Rosenthal.

E. Impeach Bush, and his entire administration, and throw them into
tiny cells in the hot sun at Guantanamo, deny them access to counsel,
declare them enemy combatants, subject them to military tribunal,
strip them of their citizenship, and deport them to Afghanistan.

Result-100% of respondents chose option D. (Editors note: Unanimous
selection of option D proves that Americans really are a peace loving
people, and that even when offered a retaliatory and vindictive
option, they will choose what appears to be justice, over revenge.)


Question 2. Do you think public policy should be determined in secret
solely through consultation with self-interested corporate thieves,
as oilman Dick Cheney did with his absurd 'energy task force?' Do you
further believe that average Americans should have no right to
influence national energy policy, or even to know which corporate
thieves formulated it?

A. No way. Do you think the American people are idiots? This is what
is called a 'no brainer.' The only question here is why no pollsters
have asked this question before now.

Result: 100% of respondents selected option A. (Editors note: It was
the obvious choice.)


Question 3. Do you support a continued and ever-increasing reliance
on computerized voting machines that use proprietary software, which
means that the accuracy vote counts cannot be independently verified?
Do you support use of public funds to purchase voting machines which
are manufactured in Nebraska by a corporation with close ties to the
Republican Party, where Nebraska Republican Senator Chuck Hagel
supposedly 'won' the last election with 83% of the vote? Do you think
it appropriate that Hagel did not bother to disclose his own
financial ties to the company which counted the votes in his own
election?

A. Yes

B. No, and I further believe that these allegations should be
investigated. All election results should be independently
verifiable. Otherwise we will have a repeat of the election scam in
Florida that disgraced all of America, handed the reigns of power in
this country over to war mongering psychopaths, and eviscerated
democracy itself.

Result: 100% of respondents selected option B.


Question 4. Do you think corporations should be immediately barred
from exerting any influence whatsoever on public policy or elections,
thereby negating their terminally corrupting influence on our
democracy?

A. Absolutely

B. Without question

C. Definitely, and as soon as possible

D. Yeah, otherwise they will always find new and clever ways to screw
us

Result: 100% of respondents selected options A, B, C, and D.


Question 5. How did you react to all those independently produced
homemade posters at the Feb.16th anti-war demonstration in San
Francisco, depicting Bush with a Hitler moustache, and wearing
swastika patches on his sleeve?

A. As a proud American who is determined to maintain an uncritical
respect for authority figures, I was appalled.

B. As a Christian, I was stunned. I am willing to accept any and all
violations of Christian doctrine, including violation of Rule No. 1-
 "Thou Shalt Not Kill," provided the President claims to be a
Christian. I am not bothered in the least by the fact that Hitler
also claimed to be a good Christian.

C. Given the nature and scope of Bush's crimes, his fear mongering,
his extensive use of ultra-nationalist rhetoric, his racist assault
on the rights of foreign born citizens, and his manipulative control
of a compliant media to consolidate his power and frighten citizens
into conformity and acceptance of his bizarre agenda, I thought
comparing him to Hitler was entirely appropriate.

Result: 100% of respondents chose option C. (Editors note: This
unequivocal response verifies the appropriateness of this proposed
headline, which would announce the results of the poll: "Overwhelming
Majority of Americans Think Bush is a Goose-Stepping Fascist Maniac.")


[Paul Dean is an activist and bass player with the band Blusion. He
lives in Sebastopol, CA. Email: [EMAIL PROTECTED] This article
first appeared in Dissident Voice.]

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