-Caveat Lector-

http://www.newamericancentury.org/iraqclintonletter.htm

January 26, 1998

The Honorable William J. Clinton
President of the United States
Washington, DC

Dear Mr. President:

We are writing you because we are convinced that current American
policy toward Iraq is not succeeding, and that we may soon face a threat
in the Middle East more serious than any we have known since the end of
the Cold War. In your upcoming State of the Union Address, you have an
opportunity to chart a clear and determined course for meeting this
threat. We urge you to seize that opportunity, and to enunciate a new
strategy that would secure the interests of the U.S. and our friends and
allies around the world. That strategy should aim, above all, at the removal
of Saddam Hussein’s regime from power. We stand ready to offer our full
support in this difficult but necessary endeavor.

The policy of “containment” of Saddam Hussein has been steadily eroding
over the past several months. As recent events have demonstrated, we can
no longer depend on our partners in the Gulf War coalition to continue to
uphold the sanctions or to punish Saddam when he blocks or evades UN
inspections. Our ability to ensure that Saddam Hussein is not producing
weapons of mass destruction, therefore, has substantially diminished. Even
if full inspections were eventually to resume, which now seems highly
unlikely, experience has shown that it is difficult if not impossible to
monitor Iraq’s chemical and biological weapons production. The lengthy
period during which the inspectors will have been unable to enter many
Iraqi facilities has made it even less likely that they will be able to uncover
all of Saddam’s secrets. As a result, in the not-too-distant future we will be
unable to determine with any reasonable level of confidence whether Iraq
does or does not possess such weapons.

Such uncertainty will, by itself, have a seriously destabilizing effect on the
entire Middle East. It hardly needs to be added that if Saddam does
acquire the capability to deliver weapons of mass destruction, as he is
almost certain to do if we continue along the present course, the safety
of American troops in the region, of our friends and allies like Israel and
the moderate Arab states, and a significant portion of the world’s supply
of oil will all be put at hazard. As you have rightly declared, Mr. President,
the security of the world in the first part of the 21st century will be
determined largely by how we handle this threat.

Given the magnitude of the threat, the current policy, which depends for
its success upon the steadfastness of our coalition partners and upon the
cooperation of Saddam Hussein, is dangerously inadequate. The only
acceptable strategy is one that eliminates the possibility that Iraq will be
able to use or threaten to use weapons of mass destruction. In the near
term, this means a willingness to undertake military action as diplomacy is
clearly failing. In the long term, it means removing Saddam Hussein and his
regime from power. That now needs to become the aim of American
foreign policy.

We urge you to articulate this aim, and to turn your Administration's
attention to implementing a strategy for removing Saddam's regime from
power. This will require a full complement of diplomatic, political and
military efforts. Although we are fully aware of the dangers and difficulties
in implementing this policy, we believe the dangers of failing to do so are
far greater. We believe the U.S. has the authority under existing UN
resolutions to take the necessary steps, including military steps, to
protect our vital interests in the Gulf. In any case, American policy cannot
continue to be crippled by a misguided insistence on unanimity in the UN
Security Council.

We urge you to act decisively. If you act now to end the threat of
weapons of mass destruction against the U.S. or its allies, you will be
acting in the most fundamental national security interests of the country.
If we accept a course of weakness and drift, we put our interests and our
future at risk.

Sincerely,

Elliott Abrams   Richard L. Armitage   William J. Bennett

Jeffrey Bergner   John Bolton   Paula Dobriansky

Francis Fukuyama   Robert Kagan   Zalmay Khalilzad

William Kristol   Richard Perle   Peter W. Rodman

Donald Rumsfeld   William Schneider, Jr.   Vin Weber

Paul Wolfowitz   R. James Woolsey   Robert B. Zoellick
Forwarded for your information.  The text and intent of the article
have to stand on their own merits.
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Then accept it and live up to it." The Buddha on Belief,
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