-Caveat Lector-

http://www.thescotsman.co.uk/international.cfm?id=299882003
Wed 12 Mar 2003


Australian intelligence expert quits over 'dumb' policy on Iraq

FOREIGN STAFF

A SENIOR intelligence adviser to the Australian prime minister, John

Howard, resigned yesterday in a protest against the country’s likely
involvement in a war with Iraq.

Andrew Wilkie, an analyst with the Office of National Assessments (ONA)
said the Australian government’s backing of war to disarm Iraq, if
necessary, was "dumb and not worth the risk".

"Going to war against Iraq, invading Iraq, is exactly the course of action
most likely to cause Saddam to lash out recklessly, to use weapons of mass
destruction, and maybe even play the terrorism card," he told Channel
Nine television in an interview. "It’s bad policy, dumb policy, if only
because all of the other options have not yet been exhausted," he said.

The ONA, an intelligence assessment agency attached to the prime
minister’s office, confirmed that Wilkie had resigned but said he did not
deal with Iraq issues. "The views he has expressed are not the views of the
Office of National Assessments," ONA chief Kim Jones told reporters. "It is
not our role to give policy advice, we are an assessment agency."

However, Mr Wilkie said he was on stand-by to join an ONA team to focus
on Iraq if war broke out.

The resignation will be embarrassing for Mr Howard, one of the most vocal
supporters of United States’ President George Bush’s tough stance against
Saddam Hussein.

Mr Howard has sent 2,000 troops to the Gulf and is trying to convince
Australians, the majority of whom do not back action against Iraq without
United Nations support, that Iraq must now be forced to disarm with or
without the UN.

Mr Wilkie, a former army lieutenant colonel, said he believed Iraq’s military
was weak, poorly trained and equipped, and its weapons of mass
destruction programme disjointed and limited.

"Iraq does not pose a serious enough security threat to the US or the UK
or Australia or any other country," he said.

He told the Bulletin news magazine he was troubled that Australia’s stance
on Iraq was based on incomplete US intelligence. "We do not have
unrestricted access to all US information on this matter," he told the
magazine in an article obtained ahead of publication today. "There were
certain things in [US Secretary of State] Colin Powell’s address to the UN
Security Council a few weeks ago that surprised [me] at ONA."

Mr Howard has said no decision has yet been made to join any military
action against Iraq, whether UN-backed or US-led. But he has said Australia
is a member of the "coalition of the willing" along with Britain and the US.

Mr Wilkie, who produced a report three months ago on the humanitarian
implications of a war with Iraq, said his main concern was that Saddam, if
attacked, could use chemical or biological weapons to create a
humanitarian disaster to overwhelm invading forces with civilian casualties
and refugees.


This article:

  http://www.thescotsman.co.uk/international.cfm?id=299882003

War with Iraq?:

  http://www.news.scotsman.com/topics.cfm?tid=518

Websites:

  UNMOVIC
  http://www.un.org/Depts/unmovic/

  FCO - Policy towards Iraq
  http://www.fco.gov.uk/servlet/Front?pagename=OpenMarket/Xcelerate/
ShowPage&c=Page&cid=1007029394374

  UN News Centre
  http://www.un.org/News/

  UN - Office of the Iraq Programme
  http://www.un.org/Depts/oip/

  US Dept of State - Iraq Update
  http://usinfo.state.gov/regional/nea/iraq/

  Iraqi Presidency
  http://www.uruklink.net/iraq/

  Iraq Watch
  http://www.iraqwatch.org
Forwarded for your information.  The text and intent of the article
have to stand on their own merits.
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