-Caveat Lector-

http://www.latimes.com/news/nationworld/world/la-war-
resist25mar25002419,1,1367161.story?coll=la%2Dheadlines%2Dworld
WAR WITH IRAQ / ON THE GROUND

Anger at the U.S. Simmers in Southern Iraq

Washington may have miscalculated the task of winning over the people
and underestimated the power of the regime and the nature of the
society.

By Mark Magnier and Sam Howe Verhovek
Times Staff Writers

March 25, 2003

MUWAILHA, Iraq -- Even as people in southern Iraq continued to show
support for the U.S.-led forces, shouting approval at the seemingly endless
columns of coalition supply trucks, jeeps, Humvees and troop carriers
heading north, a scratch below the surface found many angry at the
United States.

"This is an imperialist American attack on us," said Rahim Huntifad Alwan,
32, a farmer. "I have two houses burned. I've lost everything."

For months, the Bush administration told the world that Iraqis, particularly
those in the Shiite areas of the south, would rise in jubilation at their so-
called liberators. But there are growing signs in this village, as well as in
battle areas around Basra and Nasiriyah, that the United States
underestimated or seriously miscalculated the battle to win the hearts and
minds of ordinary Iraqis.

"The U.S. has a prepared package it figured out in Washington," said Ahmad
Lutfi with the Middle East Program of the International Institute for
Strategic Studies in London. "Obviously Iraq has a very different take."

Analysts say the Bush administration may be overlooking the closed nature
of Iraqi society, its tenuous understanding of democracy and the ability of
the ruling Baath Socialist Party to exploit age-old themes: infidels attacking
Islam and foreign powers with colonial ambitions.

"I am worried that this will be like Palestine, we will be occupied in exactly
the same way," said Basem Mohammed, a 25-year-old unemployed man. He
added that Americans would come to regret their invasion of Iraq.

"There are going to be martyrs here now," he said. "There are going to be
Iraqis who want to blow up the Americans."

Nearby, as a herd of sheep passed by, a large red cloth sign on an
abandoned police station proclaimed: "We will fight and defend Basra with
our last drop of blood."

Samil Hantoush, 32, an employee with the Iraqi state oil company,
predicted that American and British troops will face a tough task restoring
order.

"They are destroying this country," he said. "Iraqis will resist the Americans
and will fight. I know many families around here with people killed, people
injured. There's great anger."

Patrick Clawson, deputy director of the Washington Institute for Near East
Policy, ventured that many people in southern Iraq who were recently
released from the direct control of Saddam Hussein's party were waiting to
make sure that his power is really gone.

The fact that the U.S. stopped short of affecting a change in the regime
makes Iraqis wary of committing until they know they no longer face
reprisal, he said.

Others said Hussein has hammered away at two main themes in his
propaganda onslaught to some effect: the ideals of pan-Arabism and the
fear of foreign meddling. These arguments often fall on fertile ground
because most Iraqis have known nothing but Hussein's rule for most of
their lives, Lutfi said.

The mixed emotions Iraqis may feel on this point could be seen Monday
when two friends, soldier Mohammed Hashem and student Saad Aziz, both
19, sat talking on a bench on the main road to Baghdad.

Aziz expressed concern that Americans would try to wipe out or
undermine Iraq's Islamic culture. Hashem saw gains ahead with a new
government.

"No! No!," Hashem countered. "Saddam Hussein steals."

Times staff writer Tyler Marshall in Doha, Qatar, contributed to this
report.

If you want other stories on this topic, search the Archives at
latimes.com/archives.


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