-Caveat Lector-

Date: Wed 23 Jul 2003
From: ProMED-mail <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
Source: Zwire.co, United Press International (via COMTEX), Tue 22 Jul 2003
[edited]
<http://www.zwire.com/site/news.cfm?newsid=9882702&BRD=1713&PAG=740&dept_id=
226965&rfi=6>


USA: Concern that CJD Screening May Miss Thousands of Cases
-----------------------------------------------------------
[The original version of this report frequently confuses variant CJD
(associated with transmission of the BSE agent to humans), with the
sporadic, iatrogenic, and genetic forms of CJD. I have edited the text to
eliminate some of this confusion. There are precise diagnostic criteria for
variant CJD, which can be viewed at the UK Department of Health website:
<http://www.doh.gov.uk/cjd/cjd_stat.htm>.

The UK Department of Health website maintains the only comprehensive source
of comparative data on the incidence of the various forms of CJD in any
population. The UK Department of Health monthly reports are reproduced in
ProMED-mail close to the beginning of each month (see references below).  -
Mod.CP]

The federal government's monitoring system for cases of Creutzfeldt-Jakob
disease (CJD), a fatal human brain illness, could be missing tens of
thousands of victims, scientists and consumer advocates have told United
Press International.

Variant CJD [abbreviated as CJD (new var.) or vCJD in ProMED-mail] can be
[contracted] by eating beef [from cattle] with mad cow disease (bovine
spongiform encephalopathy - abbreviated as BSE), but the critics assert
that, without a better tracking system, it might be impossible to determine
whether any [cases of sporadic CJD] are [cases of vCJD] or to obtain an
accurate picture of the prevalence of the disorder in the United States.

Beginning in the late 1990s, more than 100 people contracted vCJD in the
United Kingdom and several European countries after eating beef infected
with BSE. [The mode of transmission of the BSE agent to humans has
not  been established conclusively, but is presumed on circumstantial
grounds to be a consequence of consumption of contaminated meat. - Mod.CP]

No case of [BSE] has ever been detected in U.S. cattle, and the monitoring
system of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) has never
detected a case of vCJD . Nevertheless, critics say, the CDC's system [may]
miss many cases of the disease, which currently is not treatable and is
always fatal.

The first symptoms of CJD typically include memory loss and difficulty
keeping balance and walking. As the disease destroys the brain, patients
rapidly progress in a matter of months to difficulty with movement, an
inability to talk and swallow and, finally, death. Spontaneously-occurring
or sporadic CJD is a rare disorder. Only about 300 cases appear nationwide
each year, but several studies have suggested that the disorder might be
more common than thought and that as many as tens of thousands of cases
might be going unrecognized. Clusters of [sporadic] CJD have been reported
in various areas of the United States -- Pennsylvania in 1993, Florida in
1994, Oregon in 1996, New York in 1999-2000, and Texas in 1996. In
addition, several people in New Jersey developed CJD in recent years,
including a 56-year-old woman who died on 31 May 2003. Although in some
instances, a [BSE] link was suspected, all of the cases ultimately were
classified as sporadic CJD.

People who develop CJD [presumably as a result of] eating BSE-contaminated
beef have been thought to develop the specific form of the disorder called
variant CJD. But new research, released in December 2002 [see ProMED-mail
post archived as: CJD (new var.) - UK: update 2003 (03) 20030204.0299],
[suggests] that the [BSE] pathogen [may] cause both sporadic CJD and the
variant form. "Now people are beginning to realize that because something
looks like sporadic CJD they can't necessarily conclude that it is not
linked to [BSE]," said Laura Manuelidis, section chief of surgery in the
neuropathology department at Yale University, who conducted a 1989 study
that found 13 percent of Alzheimer's patients actually had CJD.

Several studies, including the Manuelidis study, have found that autopsies
reveal 3 to 13 percent of patients diagnosed with Alzheimer's or dementia
actually suffered from CJD. Those numbers might sound low, but there are 4
million Alzheimer's cases and hundreds of thousands of dementia cases in
the United States. A small percentage of those cases could add up to 120
000 or more CJD victims going undetected and not included in official
statistics.

Experiences in [the UK] and Switzerland -- both countries that discovered
mad cow disease in their cattle -- have heightened concerns about the
possibility that some cases of sporadic CJD are due to consuming
mad-cow-tainted beef. Both countries have reported increases in sporadic
CJD since BSE was first detected in British herds in 1986. Switzerland
discovered in 2002 that its CJD rate was twice that of any other country in
the world. Switzerland had been seeing 8 to 11 cases per year from 1997 to
2000. Then the incidence more than doubled, to 19 cases in 2001 and 18
cases in 2002.

The CDC says the annual rate of CJD in the United States is one case per
million people, but the above studies suggest the true prevalence of CJD is
not known, Manuelidis told UPI. Diagnosing CJD or Alzheimer's is difficult
because no test exists that can identify either disease in a living patient
with certainty. So physicians must rely on the patient's symptoms to
determine which illness might be present. Sometimes, however, the symptoms
of one disease can appear similar to the other. The only way to determine
the disease conclusively is to perform an autopsy on the brain after death.
Unfortunately, although autopsies once were performed on approximately half
of all corpses, the frequency has dropped to 15 percent or less in the
United States. The National Center for Health Statistics (NCHS) -- a branch

of the CDC -- stopped collecting autopsy data in 1995. "If we don't do
autopsies and we don't look at people's brains ... we have no idea about
the general prevalence of these kinds of infections and (whether) it is
changing," Manuelidis said.

While autopsies have been declining, the number of deaths attributed to
Alzheimer's has increased more than 50-fold since 1979, going from 857
deaths then to nearly 50 000 in 2000. Though it is unlikely the dramatic
increase in Alzheimer's is due entirely to misdiagnosed CJD cases, it
"could explain some of the increase we've seen," Manuelidis said.

"Neurodegenerative disease and Alzheimer's disease have become a
waste-basket" for mental illness in the elderly that is difficult to
diagnose conclusively, she said. "In other words, what people call
Alzheimer's now is [broader] than what people used to call it, and that has
the possibility of encompassing more diseases -- including CJD." The
autopsy studies that found undiagnosed CJD cases raise the question of
whether the United States "already has an undetected epidemic here," Jeff
Nelson, director of Vegsource.com, a vegetarian advocacy web-site, told
UPI. "What's the source of that?" Nelson asked. "Could it be the same
source of encephalopathy we saw in minks?"

Nelson referred to an outbreak of a [transmissible spongiform
encephalopathy] in minks in Wisconsin in the 1980s. The origin was traced
back to the animals' diet, which included parts of so-called downer cattle
-- sick cows that are unable to stand, which often indicates a neurological
disease, including mad cow. The mink disease raised concerns about whether
U.S. cattle were carrying a mad-cow-like pathogen even prior to the U.K.
epidemic that began in 1986.

Andrew Monjan, chief of the neuropsychology of aging program at the
National Institute of Aging (part of the National Institutes of Health in
Bethesda, Maryland), acknowledged there has been an increase in U.S.
Alzheimer's cases. However, he told UPI, this probably is due to the aging
of the population -- as people grow older, they develop a higher risk of
developing Alzheimer's. "There's been no change in the number of CJD cases
in the country, and there has been clearly a tracking of the unusual cases
of CJD" that could be due to mad cow disease, Monjan said.

However, Terry Singletary, coordinator of CJD Watch -- an organization
founded to track CJD cases -- says efforts to track the disease have been
close to nonexistent. For example, only 12 states require such reports.
Therefore, many cases might be going undetected, unreported, or
misdiagnosed. If more states made CJD a reportable illness, there would be
more clusters detected across the United States, said Singletary, who
became involved with CJD advocacy after his mother died from a form of CJD
known as Heidenhain variant.

In the 18-year period between 1979 and 1996, he noted, the country saw a
jump from one case of sporadic CJD in people under the age of 30 -- a
warning sign for a link to [BSE], because nearly all of the U.K. victims
were 30 years of age or younger, to 5 cases in 5 years between 1997 and
2001. "That represents a substantial blip," he told UPI. Singletary also
said there have been increases in sporadic CJD in France, Germany, and
Italy, all of which have detected mad cow disease in their cattle.

So far, the CDC has refused to impose a national requirement that
physicians and hospitals report cases of the disease. The agency has not
chosen to make CJD a reportable disease because "making it reportable is
not necessarily directly helpful in surveillance, because in some states
where it's reportable you may not get the physician to report it," said Dr.
Ermias Belay, CDC's medical epidemiologist working on CJD. Instead, the
agency relies on other methods, including death certificates and urging
physicians to send suspicious cases to the National Prion Disease Pathology
Surveillance Center (NPDPSC) at Case Western Reserve University in
Cleveland, which is funded by the CDC.

However, because autopsies generally are not done, if a CJD case is
misdiagnosed as Alzheimer's or dementia, a correct diagnosis might never be
made, and therefore the cause of death listed on a death certificate might
be inaccurate. Belay told UPI he discounted this possibility. It is
unlikely to happen, he said, because it is easy to distinguish CJD from
Alzheimer's -- the 2 conditions display different symptoms.

Manuelidis disagreed. It can be quite difficult to determine accurately
whether a patient has CJD, as evidenced by her study, in which respected
and competent neurologists and psychiatrists at Yale originally diagnosed
patients with Alzheimer's, yet were wrong at least 13 percent of the time.
Another study conducted at the University of Pennsylvania, which found 6
percent of dementia patients actually were suffering from CJD, supports the
difficulty in distinguishing the illnesses correctly. The U. Penn.
researchers concluded that: "These results show that in patients with a
clinical diagnosis of dementia, the etiology cannot be accurately predicted
during life."

In addition, the NPDPSC sees less than half of all the CJD cases each year,
so the CDC's investigational system not only is missing many of the
misdiagnosed CJD cases, it also is not conducting autopsies on most of the
detected cases. Belay said that the CDC follows up on all cases of CJD that
occur in people under age 55, as these could be linked to variant
(BSE-related) CJD. But so far, all have turned out to be sporadic forms of
the disease. About 30 cases of the disorder occur each year in the United
States in this age group, while the remaining 270 or so are older.

The case of a Philadelphia woman who developed a brain disorder that
appeared to be CJD and died from it in 2000 at the age of 29 -- illustrates
just how difficult it can be to diagnose the disease. Her physician, Dr.
Peter Crinos of the University of Pennsylvania Medical Center, ruled out
other disorders and felt certain the young woman had died of CJD, a concern
that raised the possibility of a link to mad cow disease because of her
young age. When neuropathologist Nicholas Gonatas, who had seen CJD before,
examined the woman's brain after her death, he, likewise, was confident he
detected the microscopic, sponge-like holes caused by the disease. But when
he sent brain samples to the NPDPSC, the results came back negative.
Gonatas, convinced the surveillance center's finding was erroneous, sent
off 2 more samples, only to have them both come back negative. Subsequent
research, however, has shown the test used by the surveillance center
cannot rule out CJD, said Crinos, an assistant professor of neurology.
"There's no question that the young woman had a spongiform encephalopathy,"
Crinos said, but added although it appeared to be CJD, it is difficult if
not impossible to say whether it was due to mad cow disease.

Crinos told UPI until the CDC implements a better tracking system, a lot of
questions will remain about CJD and cases like the young Philadelphia
woman's. One central question: Why are cases of what is presumed to be a
rare disease popping up in clusters in certain areas of the country? Crinos
said the clustering suggests an environmental or food-borne cause, but so
far, "No one knows the answer to that."

[Byline: Steve Mitchell]S

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