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-Caveat Lector-

Poll Shows Drop in Confidence on Bush Skill in
Handling Crises
================

By Todd S.Purdum and Janet Elder

The New York Times
October 3, 2003
http://www.nytimes.com/2003/10/03/national/03POLL.html?pagewanted=print&position=

The public's confidence in President Bush's ability to
deal wisely with an international crisis has slid
sharply over the past five months, the latest New York
Times/CBS News Poll has found. And a clear majority are
also uneasy about his ability to make the right
decisions on the nation's economy.

I don't feel George W. Bush has a grasp on what the
public is really interested in. I wasn't happy about
the invasion in Iraq. We shouldn't have attacked before
anything was proven. There seem to be no nuclear
weapons. Right now he is trying to rally everyone
around to the cause and give money to rebuild Iraq. But
why should other countries kick in cash when he didn't
wait until the U.N. said we're behind you? The other
countries don't believe he has the leadership skills he
should have.

Mary Preble, 46, a registered nurse and a Texas
Republican Over all, the poll found, Americans are for
the first time more critical than not of Mr. Bush's
ability to handle both foreign and domestic problems,
and a majority say the president does not share their
priorities. Thirteen months before the 2004 election, a
solid majority of Americans say the country is
seriously on the wrong track, a classic danger sign for
incumbents, and only about half of Americans approve of
Mr. Bush's overall job performance. That is roughly the
same as when Mr. Bush took office after the razor-close
2000 election.

But more than 6 in 10 Americans still say the president
has strong qualities of leadership, more than 5 in 10
say he has more honesty and integrity than most people
in public life and 6 in 10 credit him with making the
country safer from terrorist attack.

By contrast, the Democratic presidential contenders
remain largely unknown, and nearly half of Americans --
and a like number of registered voters -- say the
Democrats have no clear plan of their own for the
country.

A summer of continuing attacks on American soldiers in
Iraq, the failure so far to find weapons of mass
destruction there and Mr. Bush's recent request for $87
billion to pay for military operations and
reconstruction in Iraq and Afghanistan have taken a
toll on public support for his administration's Iraq
policy and on views of his ability to handle such
issues in general.

The poll found that just 45 percent of Americans now
have confidence in Mr. Bush's ability to deal wisely
with an international crisis, down sharply from 66
percent in April, and half now say they are uneasy
about his approach. Nearly 9 in 10 Americans say the
war in Iraq is still going on, and 6 in 10 say the
United States should not spend as much on the effort as
Mr. Bush has sought. Three-quarters of Americans,
including a majority of Republicans, say the
administration has yet to clearly explain how long
American troops will have to stay in Iraq, or how much
it will cost to rebuild the country.

"I am very uneasy because of the war," said Joyce
Austin, 69, a retired nurse's aide in Readstown, Wis.,
who was reinterviewed after the poll was conducted. "I
don't think the Bush administration had a good plan for
ending the war, and for what was going to happen
afterward. I don't think they realized how much it was
going to cost." Mrs. Austin paused and added, "Maybe
they knew and just didn't tell us."

The nationwide telephone poll of 981 adults has a
margin of sampling error of plus or minus three
percentage points. The poll, taken Sunday through
Wednesday, was in progress when the Justice Department
announced that it would investigate accusations that
someone in the White House may have leaked the name of
an undercover C.I.A. officer.

As the week progressed and news coverage of the
investigation intensified, respondents were somewhat
less likely to credit the Bush administration with
bringing heightened honesty and integrity to the
workings of the White House, compared with past
administrations. In the end, just over one-third of the
respondents said the administration had brought more
honesty and integrity, while 18 percent said it had
brought less and 43 percent said it was about the same
as other administrations.

For months, Americans have been critical of Mr. Bush's
handling of the national economy, and they remain so,
with just one in five saying the administration's
policies have made their taxes go down and a near-
majority saying the policies have had no effect on them
personally. Half of the respondents said the federal
tax cuts enacted since 2001 had not made much
difference in the economy, and the rest were about
evenly divided on whether the tax cuts were bad or
good. Just 40 percent of voters expressed confidence in
Mr. Bush's ability to make the right decisions about
the economy, down from half in April, while 56 percent
said they were uneasy, up from 42 percent in April.

During Mr. Bush's tenure, a majority of Americans say,
jobs have been lost and not created, there has been no
easing of the high cost of prescription drugs and
schools have not improved. Six in 10 Americans -- and 4
in 10 Republicans -- say the economy is worse than it
was when Mr. Bush took office. Four in 10 of those
polled were worried that someone in their household
would lose his job in the next year.

Even worse news for the president was that Americans
have also become critical of his handling of foreign
policy, which had been been seen as his strength for
most of his presidency. The latest survey found that 44
percent of those polled approved of Mr. Bush's overall
handling of foreign policy, down from 52 percent in
July, and that 47 percent approved of his handling of
the situation in Iraq, down from 58 percent in July.

Polls last winter showed that public support for the
president's decision to go to war in Iraq was sharply
divided along partisan lines, with broad indications of
reluctance. Now there are growing doubts about whether
the results were worth the loss of life and other costs
involved. Only 41 percent said it was, while 53 percent
said it was not. When the question was asked using
Saddam Hussein's name, the results were almost
reversed, with about half those surveyed le saying it
was worth removing him from power, and 41 percent
saying it was not.

Over all, 51 percent of the respondents approved of Mr.
Bush's performance. That is down from the high 80's
after the Sept. 11 attacks, and from the high 60's at
the beginning of the Iraq war. Just over 4 in 10 voters
now have a favorable opinion of the president, compared
with more than 6 in 10 in mid-2002, and just over 3 in
10 now have an unfavorable opinion compared with 2 in
10 in July 2002.

Nearly half said they believed that removing Mr.
Hussein from power was the main reason for taking
military action in Iraq. About a quarter said the main
reason was to protect the oil supply, and one-fifth
said the goal was to stop Iraq from manufacturing
weapons. But only about 4 in 10 said they now believed
that Mr. Hussein was personally involved in the Sept.
11 attacks, compared with about 5 in 10 who said so in
April.

More than half of Americans said relations between the
United States and its European allies were worse than
when Mr. Bush took office, and fewer than half said
leaders of other countries around the world had respect
for Mr. Bush.

Mary Preble, 46, a registered nurse and a Republican in
Sugar Land, Tex., said: "I don't feel George W. Bush
has a grasp on what the public is really interested
in." She added: "I wasn't happy about the invasion in
Iraq. We shouldn't have attacked before anything was
proven. There seem to be no nuclear weapons.

"Right now he is trying to rally everyone around to the
cause and give money to rebuild Iraq. But why should
other countries kick in cash when he didn't wait until
the U.N. said we're behind you? The other countries
don't believe he has the leadership skills he should
have."

The poll showed an electorate that remains narrowly
divided. When all registered voters were asked whom
they would vote for next year, 44 percent said Mr. Bush
and 44 percent said the Democratic candidate. But
regardless of how they intend to vote, half of
registered voters said they expected Mr. Bush to win.

While Mr. Bush's standing has fallen, the poll showed
that the Democratic presidential contenders are still
largely unknown, and a majority of those who are
planning to vote in their states' Democratic primaries
or caucus next year have not formed opinions of the
candidates.

Opinions of Democratic primary voters are so unformed
that the mere mention of a person's title changes the
dynamic. When voters were asked which candidate they
would choose, without mention of titles, 17 percent
said Gen. Wesley K. Clark, 11 percent said
Representative Richard A. Gephardt of Missouri and 10
percent said Senator Joseph I. Lieberman of
Connecticut. The other candidates were all in single
digits.

"I think the Democrats have a plan, but I'm not sure
what it is," Laurel Halsey, 34, a personnel manager in
Oakland, Calif, said. "The Democrats' plan is never as
clear as the Republicans' because the Republicans focus
on the very narrow goal of laissez-faire government and
capitalism. The Democrats try to incorporate a broader
base of social issues."

Copyright 2003 The New York Times Company



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www.ctrl.org
DECLARATION & DISCLAIMER
==========
CTRL is a discussion & informational exchange list. Proselytizing propagandic
screeds are unwelcomed. Substance—not soap-boxing—please!   These are
sordid matters and 'conspiracy theory'—with its many half-truths, mis-
directions and outright frauds—is used politically by different groups with
major and minor effects spread throughout the spectrum of time and thought.
That being said, CTRLgives no endorsement to the validity of posts, and
always suggests to readers; be wary of what you read. CTRL gives no
credence to Holocaust denial and nazi's need not apply.

Let us please be civil and as always, Caveat Lector.
========================================================================
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