-Caveat Lector-
Washington's warlord Leader Wednesday October 8, 2003 The Guardian Signs abound that Donald Rumsfeld's
star is waning. One year ago, the abrasive US defence secretary was a formidable
political force. Buoyed by the overthrow of the Taliban, masterminding the
military build-up against Iraq and regularly outflanking the state department's
Colin Powell in Washington power games, the Pentagon chief dominated
policy-making to a remarkable degree. His brusque manner and sharp suits made
him a media celebrity and an unlikely pin-up. Mr Rumsfeld had become the
unchallenged warlord of George Bush's "war on terror".
What a difference a year makes, as Geoff Hoon might say. Mr Bush's decision,
announced this week, to take overall executive control of political,
counter-terrorism and reconstruction policy in Iraq and Afghanistan out of the
Pentagon's hands amounts to a vote of no confidence in Mr Rumsfeld. Officials
insist that is not the case. But that is how it will certainly be seen as power
shifts to a newly expanded national security council led by Mr Bush's close
confidant, Condoleezza Rice. This is damage control at it most dramatic, for
never before has the NSC been afforded an overt operational role.
And yet the reasons for it are plain enough. US soldiers are dying; the
financial cost grows ruinous, even for America's deep pockets. Other countries
are still mostly refusing to help out; there is diplomatic stalemate at the UN.
Afghanistan may be turning sour, too. And all this amid an alarming
deterioration in overall Middle East security. With the war now widely
discredited, Iraq is fast becoming a millstone around Mr Bush's neck. All the
polls show it. The White House fears it. For much of this, Mr Rumsfeld bears
frontline responsibility. When once he took the credit, now he increasingly
takes the blame.
This is only fair. Mr Rumsfeld's Iraq campaign plan was fatally flawed from
the start. He underestimated the number of troops required and was unable to
halt Iraq's descent into post-Saddam, post-sanctions chaos. His appointment of
Jay Garner as Iraq's overseer was a disaster, symptomatic of a deeper,
astonishing failure to grasp the sheer scale of the reconstruction challenge.
In a way, Mr Rumsfeld misled himself. His shadowy Office of Special Plans
bypassed the CIA and the Pentagon's own Defence Intelligence Agency in peddling
sexed-up or plain inaccurate WMD "intelligence" that boosted the neo-con cause.
He and deputies Paul Wolfowitz and Douglas Feith, ignoring wiser heads, gave far
too much credence to the claims of self-interested Iraqi exiles, some of whom it
has since installed in power. Allegations of crony capitalism continue to swirl
around the awarding of postwar contracts.
Meanwhile, ordinary Iraqis (and America's poor bloody infantry) are
struggling to overcome a series of blunders by Gen Garner's successor, Paul
Bremer, another Rumsfeld appointee. These range from the disbanding of Iraq's
army to reluctance to countenance a swift return to self-governance. Mr Rumsfeld
blames diehard Ba'athists, al-Qaida terrorists, Syria, Iran, the French, the UN,
anybody, for Iraq's current woes. But if he wants to nail one of the main
culprits, he need only look in the mirror.
The Pentagon has long been a notoriously badly run agency. It cannot even
lock people up in Guantanamo Bay without making a mess of it. It wastes
taxpayers' dollars on an epic scale. It buys pork-barrel weapons systems nobody
needs; it often simply cannot account for its spending; it hands out
jobs-for-the-boys to people like Iran-Contra's John Poindexter. Now it emerges
that it has been blithely selling surplus biological weapons equipment on the
internet. Why anybody ever imagined that the Pentagon, of all organisations, was
competent to manage Iraq is a great mystery of our time. Why Mr Rumsfeld is
still US defence secretary is an even bigger one.
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Title: Guardian | Washington's warlord