-Caveat Lector-

>From TheHerald (UK)(probably Scotland)
http://www.theherald.co.uk/news/archive/19-4-1999-0-9-58.html
Serbs used CIA phone to call in convoy raid
IAN BRUCE, Geopolitics Editor

THE refugees targeted by mistake in the Nato raid involving the US Air Force
last Wednesday died because a Central Intelligence Agency undercover
operation involving the Kosovo Liberation Army went drastically wrong.

More than 70 fleeing men, women and children were killed as bombs straddled
their convoy of tractors and trailers on the Prizren to Djakovica road in
Kosovo, producing a propaganda disaster for Nato and triggering a furious
behind-the-scenes row between the Pentagon and the US intelligence
community.

The Herald can now reveal that the fatal strike was called in by the Serbs
using a mobile phone and security identification codes supplied to a KLA
"spotter" by the CIA. The man is believed to have been captured early last
week and tortured into telling what he knew. He was then executed.

Intelligence sources said last night that a joint CIA-US special forces
group operating out of the eastern Bosnian town of Tuzla is running a group
of KLA agents inside Kosovo. These men are tasked with reporting the
location and movements of all Serb troops and police units via mobile
phones.

The KLA spotters are being trained by the US equivalent of Britain's SAS -
Delta Force - in camps set up in Albania. They are taught to map read and
transmit exact co-ordinates of mobile Serb teams responsible for the ethnic
cleansing offensive inside the province.

The co-ordinates are then passed to allied air operations at Aviano air base
in Italy and fighter-bombers vectored in to attack with what was hoped would
be pinpoint precision.

The KLA fighters have individual identification codes for their CIA
handlers. Armed with those codes, the Serbs are understood to have called in
five different air strikes last Wednesday in the hope of luring Nato into
bombing refugees. Two involved RAF Harrier teams.

On those two occasions, the RAF pilots went below their "safe flight
ceiling" of 15,000ft to obtain visual confirmation of their targets when
they felt that something was not quite right. On both occasions, they
aborted the bombing runs.

However, on two other occasions, US pilots dropped bombs. One of these
incidents, when an F16 pilot hit the lead tractor in a three-vehicle convoy,
was admitted last week after 19 hours of frantic examination of cockpit
video footage and at least two fumbled explanations of events.

But the main incident, near Djakovica, remained a mystery until last night.
The Pentagon and Nato headquarters, furious at what one officer described as
"a typical CIA-sponsored spook screw-up", have been fielding awkward
questions for four days without being able to tell the truth or clear their
military reputation. Alliance politicians, including Tony Blair and Robin
Cook , have tried unsuccessfully to spin the intelligence shambles into
pinning the blame on Yugoslav President Slobodan Milosevic for provoking the
conflict in the first place.

Part of this cover-up stems from the fact that the UK and the United States
both see a Western-trained and armed KLA as the proxy ground arm of their
campaign and a means of avoiding the commitment of Nato ground troops and
inevitable heavy casualties.

There are 40,000 Serb troops, police and paramilitary volunteer units inside
Kosovo, supported by an estimated 500 surviving armoured vehicles, including
main battle tanks and artillery, in small groups and well camouflaged.

The SAS is understood to have about 70 men guiding in allied jets and
illuminating targets with laser designators. But they are thin on the ground
and the province consists of more than 11,000 square miles of heavily-wooded
hills and mountains. The KLA has perhaps 25,000 men under arms, scattered in
small groups in the hills.

The Serbs move in platoon-sized units of between 30 and 50 men, careful to
hide their vehicles when they halt. Barns, monasteries and mosques have all
been used to conceal the marauding armour from Nato pilots.

An intelligence source said: "Milosevic must have laughed himself sick.
Using CIA-supplied mobile phones to lure US pilots into doing a bit of final
ethnic cleansing for him is a neat trick and a major intelligence coup.

"We were probably lucky it only worked twice. It's a pity that 70-plus
refugees who must have thought they were within touching distance of safety
had to pay with their lives for a breach of security which could and should
have been foreseen. Perhaps the CIA should realise this is not Nicaragua,
where blunders could be buried without coming under the spotlight of the
world's media." - April 19


>From IrishTimes
Monday, April 19, 1999

Allies prepare for riots
ambushes and war

----------------------------------------------------------------------------
----
By Patsy McGarry in Skopje
High in the hills at Petrovec, overlooking Macedonia's international airport
and near its capital, Skopje, Capt Michale Melchionna, of the Italian
Brigadata Garibaldi company, explained his troops were doing riotcontrol
exercises so they would be prepared were there a request from the Macedonia
government for support in case of civil disturbances.

Macedonia has been the most reluctant of the three Balkan countries
(including Montenegro) which border Kosovo to accept the staggering burden
of thousands of refugees who arrive with nothing but the clothes they wear.
At one stage in the early days of NATO's Operation Allied Force, the
Macedonian government closed the border and said it feared that its own
delicate ethnic balance would be upset by the influx of Albanians. Since
then it has relented, but has still been enthusiastic for the refugees to be
airlifted to other European countries.

Yesterday France took its first batch of more than 300 Kosovans, who flew to
Lyons from Stankovac camp on the outskirts of Skopje.

Yesterday, above the airport, some of Capt Melchionna's troops had lined up
in a phalanx holding transparent shields and wearing helmets and visors
while others threw stones and rushed them. Behind the frontline of shield
bearers further troops armed with batons formed a second line. With their
front-line colleagues under pressure these emerged and attacked the
"rioters" from both sides before dispersing the "crowd".

Cap Melchionna said the soldiers would not use weapons against rioters
throwing stones or Molotov cocktails, but if they had guns then the soldiers
would be armed and would have permission to use them.

He emphasised that NATO's role in Macedonia was purely defensive, and that
now, as the soldiers left the refugee camps where humanitarian work was
being taken over by international agencies, they were once again setting
about preparation to enter Kosovo to implement whatever agreed settlement
may arise from the present conflict.

His company of soldiers occupies a prime vantage point in the area, with a
360 degree view of surrounding plains. Below, cattle and sheep graze, while
two helicopters fly in the distance. British soldiers at another NATO camp
played football while some of their colleagues did running exericises along
a distant road. There are many villages and towns in the area, including
Idrizovo, where the country's largest jails and its police training college
are located.

Capt Melchionna's men have blended tanks , tents and sandbag bunkers into
the hills, using camouflage netting covered in false green leaves. He
explained it was easiest to guard the site during daylight hours. At that
time the largest number of men were on duty, when they used infra-red to
scan the surrounding countryside constantly. Each tank also had infrared
sights, he said.

Preparations ranged from such sophistication to lines of trip wire along the
hillside with cans and tins hanging from them. His men, he said, passed the
day doing training exercises such as the one we had just watched on riot
control. They also did weapons and close combat training as well as
anti-tank and anti-aircraft exercises, and simulated an ambush in "mined"
terrain.

Capt Melchionna, who has served in Sarajevo as well as other parts of
Bosnia, and Albania, said that normally his company would be in such a
location for four to six months at a time. "That is usual for NATO," he
said. He was unable to say how long they might at Preschevo.

NATO has 12,531 troops in Macedonia currently, with 1,800 UK troops en route
and as many French. It is unclear what the alliance's numbers plan is for
countries in the region. But Col Konrad Freytag, spokesman for NATO's
supreme commander in Europe, Gen Wesley Clark, said in Skopje on Saturday
that up to 28,000 NATO troops had been planned to help implement the
Rambouillet accord in Kosovo, had it been endorsed by all parties. Most of
those would have been located in Macedonia and Albania.

To give an estimate of what might be required now would be "speculative" he
said. Gen Clark was in Macedonia to meet President Kiro Gligorov and the
Prime Minister, Mr Lupchko Georgievski. He did not speak to the media and
went from there to Tirana to meet the Albanian leadership. Meanwhile, on
Saturday night an estimated 3,000 people gathered at a rock concert in
Skopje's Macedonia Square to protest against NATO's continued bombing of
Serbia. Many wore the mock "target" strips which have been so popular across
the border in Yugoslavia. Some carried the US star and stripes, with the
stars replaced by small white swastikas, and placards compared Bill Clinton
to Adolf Hitler. There were no disturbances. - (Additional reporting PA)
Reuters adds from Washington:US First Lady Ms Hillary Rodham Clinton is
considering travelling to Albania for a first-hand look at humanitarian
relief operations for Kosovo refugees, her spokeswoman said yesterday.

"Clearly she's very interested in what we can do to alleviate the refugee
situation," her spokeswoman, Ms Marsha Berry, said. Ms Berry said Mrs
Clinton will meet in New York today with the Pew foundation and other
charitable groups to discuss the humanitarian needs of the hundreds of
thousands of ethnic Albanians forced out of Kosovo since the NATO air war
against Yugoslavia began on March 24th.

A trip to Albania would be in keeping with Ms Clinton's emphasis on
humanitarian issues related to the campaign against Yugoslavia.

On Tuesday, she met two prominent ethnic Albanian women who said they were
forced to leave Kosovo by Serb authorities, and who told her of atrocities
being carried out by Serb forces.



>From IrishTimes
Monday, April 19, 1999

Peace depends on integration
of Balkans into Europe

----------------------------------------------------------------------------
----
By Jonathan Eyal

Planning the future of the Balkans now makes sense, but change in Western
thinking is needed, writes Jonathan Eyal

The war in Kosovo shows no signs of ending; almost regardless of the
strategy which NATO adopts, the confrontation is guaranteed to last for many
more months. Yet, as the generals continue their campaign with their
traditional claims of daily "victories", diplomats in all European and North
American capitals are now working behind the scenes on a set of proposals
intended to bring stability to the Balkans once the war is over.

The emergency summit of EU heads of government last week discussed a plan
put forward by the German presidency for a "stability pact" in the area, and
the NATO summit which takes place this week in Washington is guaranteed to
come forward with similar co-operation ideas. The air in Europe is therefore
filled not only with bombs, but with various reconstruction schemes as well.
Unfortunately, the Balkans are the graveyard of many previous plans,
announced with great flourish and good intentions, and then abandoned at
leisure.

Discussing the reconstruction of the Balkans at this stage makes perfect
sense. Kosovo will require military protection and economic support for
decades. Meanwhile, the people of Yugoslavia must be persuaded that, if they
are finally rid of their despicable leader, they may look forward to a
better future.

The other neighbouring countries which have kept out of the war and have
behaved responsibly also need reassurance. And it is better to discuss such
arrangements now in order to avoid the unsightly rows over burden-sharing
between the EU and the US which accompanied the imposition of peace in
Bosnia earlier this decade. Like it or not, both the EU and NATO are already
pledged to the Balkans; Greece is a member of both organisations, NATO has
its biggest military commitment there and Slovenia is about to open its
membership negotiations with the EU in the coming months. If a bigger
involvement is inevitable - and it is - it is better to sort out priorities
now, rather than create policy on the hoof. The credentials of the current
reconstruction policies are, therefore, impeccable. However, both the EU and
NATO are likely to encounter huge problems, both at the conceptual and the
practical stages. What is required is not only a change of minds in the
Balkans, but also a change of psychology in the West. Both sides of the old
ideological divide in Europe will need to be transformed if the current
proposals are to work.

EU leaders are now fond of talking about a "second Marshall Plan" for the
Balkans, copying the massive reconstruction effort at the end of the second
World War. Such talk produces good headlines in the media, but is
misconceived. The Marshall Plan came after the aims of the war were
accomplished. In the current crisis, however, there is no agreement what the
war aims should be. The war started in order to avert ethnic cleansing in
Kosovo. It then shifted to reversing the result of the ethnic cleansing
which NATO failed to avert. A month ago the aim of the operation was to
force Slobodan Milosevic to sign a peace deal; this weekend, President
Clinton has claimed that Milosevic's removal from office is the ultimate
goal. And nobody knows what the fate of Kosovo will be.

The current reconstruction plans are therefore discussed in a strategic
void. Instead of seeking to consolidate the eventual end of a Balkans war,
they are offered as a substitute for the absence of war aims. It is
difficult to decide what to reconstruct until one is clear what needs to be
destroyed. The answer in the Europe of 1945 was clear; the reply in the
Balkans at the end of this century remains as elusive as ever.

Furthermore, the original Marshall Plan was intended to support vulnerable
democracies, who had their own relatively efficient administrations. In the
case of the former Yugoslav republics, however, offering cash is often part
of the problem, rather than a solution. Billions of euros were poured into
Bosnia since 1995 to no great effect; the country remains divided, and the
black marketeers are the main net beneficiaries. Montenegro, a component
part of Yugoslavia, is now ruled by a proWestern politician, but also a man
who played a leading role in the war against the Bosnian Muslims and ran
many of the Yugoslav sanction-busting smuggling activities.

Franjo Tudjman, the Croat leader and another Western darling, presides over
a mixture of nepotism, fear and corruption. In Bulgaria and Romania, where
democratically elected administrations are in the hands of wellmeaning
politicians, there is a huge lack of expertise. Even if one ignores the
faintly ridiculous sight of the European Commission proposing to train
Balkan administrations in how to eliminate waste and corruption, one
conclusion is inescapable: the effort will take years and will have to be
undertaken often against the wishes of the local leaders. Finally, there is
the question of the resources available. Both the EU and NATO are suggesting
that, while plans are put together for the area, the Balkan states should be
encouraged to co-operate with each other. Such co-operation makes sense, and
should not come at the expense of a wider European integration. Correct, but
only up to a point. A great deal is already being done, and many of these
activities do not require government co-ordination.

Greek investors dominate markets in Serbia and Macedonia, and the
remittances of Albanian workers in Greece are just about the only source of
foreign revenue in Albania. Turkish construction and transport firms, as
well as Turkish bakeries, predominate in Romania. But there are also great
limitations on how far this process can go.

All the region's states suffer from similar problems: relatively large
agricultural sectors, redundant industrial capacity, a surplus of labour and
a decaying infrastructure. Not only do they have little to offer each other,
but they actually compete with each other for the same Western capital
resources. Secondly, Greece will always be in a different position from the
rest of the region: as an EU member, it is bound by certain tariff
restrictions and trade practices which do not apply to others. Furthermore,
if the West as a whole proved unable to solve the Greek-Turkish dispute, the
Balkan states cannot be expected to do better. Very often, their solution is
to skirt carefully around the dispute altogether, in the hope of avoiding
any new tensions.

And, ultimately, the obstacle to regional co-operation is psychological:
although everyone assures the Balkan states that they have nothing to fear,
the area's leaders instinctively regard regional cooperation as inferior to
European integration and suspect that the more they succeed in co-operating
regionally, the less they will be considered as serious candidates in either
the EU or NATO. And this is where a transformation needs to take place in
Western thinking. For over a century the Balkans were considered partly a
geographic area, and partly a disease which needs to be quarantined. Romania
fought hard to be admitted as a NATO member, but its application was
ultimately turned down in favour of Central European countries which were
less in need of this security reassurance.

The EU is expanding but, yet again, not to the Balkans. Unless there is a
realisation that Europe will not be peaceful without fully integrating the
Balkans into its institutions, most of the regional reconstruction projects
will fail. The real Marshall Plan, therefore, has to be for Western Europe's
minds and hearts. If this is successful, the Kosovo disaster will go down in
history as the last war of European integration. And that, surely, is an aim
worth both fighting and paying for.




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