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--- Begin Message --- -Caveat Lector-Narco News: During your speech yesterday, you talked about how Plan Colombia has not reduced the production of drugs, simply caused production and capital to move to other places�
Alfredo Molano: The price of drugs has not risen. It stays constant or drops. So Plan Colombia is not really affecting crops or production. It is possible that some production is moving to Peru, and that the crops are increasing a bit there, but there are still no more than ten or twelve thousand hectares (25,000-30,000 acres) according to the latest statistics.
On the other hand, there is a problem with the aerial photographs used to claim that coca is being reduced. These photographs do not cover the entire country. They are only taken in areas where coca is still considered to be growing � basically, the provinces of Putumayo, Caquet�, Guaviare, Vichada, and a bit in Meta, and in Nari�o. Most of the coca in Putumayo has moved to Nari�o, but not all of Nari�o has been surveyed. Not all of the Pacific coast has been surveyed, and coca is moving there. Not all of the coffee-growing areas, where there is a lot of coca production as well, have been surveyed. In a very short amount of time, twenty thousand hectares (50,000 acres) have appeared in Vichada. So, in the end I don�t think these photos add up, or prove anything.
Narco News: So you think there are other ends in mind with this program.
Alfredo Molano: Yes, I believe there are other ends in mind. I think that with the path taken in Plan Colombia, with the two forces of crop fumigation and large military operations, the war in Colombia is being intensified. And this is very convenient for the United States, or at least for the hawks in government, because it could lay the way for greater U.S. intervention. Of course, I don�t mean an intervention with marines and soldiers, although there are some rumors�.
The U.S. Congress has just authorized an increase in the number of military personnel in Colombia, from four hundred to eight hundred. And they are also trying to increase the number of people allowed from these private military contractors � the same companies, like DynCorp, which are now in Iraq.
So, the level of U.S. intervention seems to me to be increasing. I think that it may have as a long-term objective � and remember, not the only objective, as these types of projects have many different objectives � to provoke a conflict with Venezuela that necessitates U.S. intervention. Not so much against the FARC (Revolutionary Armed Forces of Colombia, the country�s largest guerrilla organization) as against Ch�vez.
I also think that a regularization of the political situation in Colombia could halt the destabilization, or rather, the leftward inclination of the Andean-Amazonian region. I�m talking about Lula in Brazil, Ch�vez, and even this new Panamanian (Mart�n Torrijos). Also what is happening in Peru and Ecuador signals a possible inclination toward the left in those countries. So, these things worry the United States. Argentina worries them. These countries� foreign debt worries them. The status of free trade agreements worries them.
So, in the end, I think that giving the continent a bit of discipline is part of Plan Colombia.
http://www.narconews.com/Issue33/article1003.html
peace,
Tom
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