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--- Begin Message ----Caveat Lector------------------------- Yahoo! Groups Sponsor --------------------~--> <FONT COLOR="#000099">Make a clean sweep of pop-up ads. Yahoo! Companion Toolbar. Now with Pop-Up Blocker. Get it for free! </FONT><A HREF="http://us.click.yahoo.com/L5YrjA/eSIIAA/yQLSAA/WfTolB/TM";><B>Click Here!</B></A> --------------------------------------------------------------------~-> Bank's Chief Economist Worries Dollar May Fall by Another 15% By Philip Thornton The Independent, London Friday, November 26, 2004 http://news.independent.co.uk/business/news/story.jsp?story=586869 The dollar could slump by another 15 percent, creating a potential headache for the Bank of England, its chief economist warned last night. Charlie Bean said the implications for the UK economy depended "critically" on the knock-on effect on the pound and demand for UK exports. He said so far sterling's rise against the dollar had been offset by a fall against the euro, leaving UK competitiveness intact. "But there can be no guarantee that this pattern of 'sterling-in-the-middle' will continue," he told regional business leaders in East Anglia. Mr Bean said economic imbalances in the US meant the dollar would have to fall further to avoid a major slump. The last time the dollar fell to eliminate current account and trade deficits it crashed by 30 percent. "To date it has only fallen 15 percent since its peak so a further -- possibly substantial -- decline may accompany closure of the current account deficit," he said. "The timing and nature of this adjustment are very hard to predict and the implications for UK prospects depend critically on what then happens to demand in our major export markets and the impact on sterling." Mr Bean's comments came as the euro surged through the $1.32 barrier to push the dollar to a record low for the fourth day in a row. The pound inched higher versus the euro, pulling further off an 11-month low set on Monday. Were the pound to continue to rise against the euro, that would deliver a double blow to exporters and put pressure on the Bank to cut interest rates, economists believe. On the other hand economists warn that the UK's housing bubble and trade deficit could trigger a similar fall in sterling that could drive up inflation. HSBC is forecasting a 10 percent drop in the pound/euro rate by 2006. Mr Bean also reiterated the Bank's concern that house prices may fall more severely than they expect and trigger a larger decline in consumer spending -- which would also open the way to a rate cut. He echoed the warning in this month's Inflation report that the low levels of inflation on the high street and in the labour market might reverse, possibly prompting the need for a rate rise. Meanwhile the CBI warned that Gordon Brown would have to raise taxes or cut spending in a third Labour term, as it slashed its forecasts for growth and tax revenues next year. The country's largest employers' organisation said rises in interest rates and oil prices and the slowdown in global growth would put the brakes on growth in the UK. It cut its forecasts for this year and 2005 by 0.3 of a percentage point to 3.1 and 2.5 per cent respectively and for the first time pencilled in growth of 2.6 percent in 2006. It is the second time in three months the CBI has cut its forecasts. ---------------------------------------------------- To subscribe to GATA's dispatches, send an e-mail to: [EMAIL PROTECTED] To unsubscribe, send an e-mail to: [EMAIL PROTECTED] ---------------------------------------------------- RECOMMENDED INTERNET SITES FOR DAILY MONITORING OF GOLD AND PRECIOUS METALS NEWS AND ANALYSIS Free sites: http://www.jsmineset.com http://www.cbs.marketwatch.com http://www.mineweb.com/ http://www.gold-eagle.com/ http://www.kitco.com/ http://www.usagold.com/ http://www.GoldSeek.com/ http://www.GoldReview.com/ http://www.capitalupdates.com/ http://www.DailyReckoning.com http://www.goldenbar.com/ http://www.silver-investor.com http://www.thebulliondesk.com/ http://www.sharelynx.com/ http://www.mininglife.com/ http://www.financialsense.com http://www.goldensextant.com http://www.goldismoney.info/index.html http://www.howestreet.com http://www.depression2.tv http://www.moneyfiles.org/ http://www.howestreet.com� http://www.minersmanual.com/minernews.html http://www.a1-guide-to-gold-investments.com/euro-vs-dollar.html http://www.goldcolony.com http://www.miningstocks.com http://www.mineralstox.com http://www.freemarketnews.com http://www.321gold.com http://www.SilverSeek.com http://www.investmentrarities.com http://www.kuik.com/KH/KH.html � (Korelin Business Report -- audio) http://www.plata.com.mx/plata/home.htm � (In Spanish) http://www.plata.com.mx/plata/plata/english.htm � (In English) http://www.resourceinvestor.com/ http://www.miningmx.com Subscription sites: http://www.lemetropolecafe.com/ http://www.goldinsider.com/ http://www.hsletter.com http://www.interventionalanalysis.com http://www.investmentindicators.com/ Eagle Ranch discussion site: http://os2eagle.net/checksum.htm Ted Butler silver commentary archive: http://www.investmentrarities.com/ ---------------------------------------------------- COIN AND PRECIOUS METALS DEALERS WHO HAVE SUPPORTED GATA AND BEEN RECOMMENDED BY OUR MEMBERS Blanchard & Co. Inc. 909 Poydras St., Suite 1900 New Orleans, Louisiana 70112 888-413-4653 http://www.blanchardonline.com Centennial Precious Metals 3033 East 1st Ave., Suite 403 Denver, Colorado 80206 www.USAGold.com Michael Kosares, Proprietor US (800) 869-5115 Canada 1-800-294-9462 European Union 00-800-2760-2760 Australia 0011-800-2760-2760 [EMAIL PROTECTED] Colorado Gold 222 South 5th St. Montrose, Colorado 81401 www.ColoradoGold.com Don Stott, Proprietor 1-888-786-8822 [EMAIL PROTECTED] El Dorado Discount Gold Box 11296 Glendale, Arizona 85316 http://www.eldoradogold.net Harvey Gordin,� President Office: 623-434-3322 Mobile: 602-228-8203 [EMAIL PROTECTED] Investment Rarities Inc. 7850 Metro Parkway Minneapolis, Minnesota 55425 http://www.gloomdoom.com Greg Westgaard, Sales Manager 1-800-328-1860, Ext. 8889 [EMAIL PROTECTED] Kitco 178 West Service Road Champlain, N.Y. 12919 Toll Free:1-877-775-4826 Fax: 518-298-3457 � and 620 Cathcart, Suite 900 Montreal, Quebec H3B 1M1 Canada Toll-free:1-800-363-7053 Fax: 514-875-6484 http://www.kitco.com Lee Certified Coins P.O. Box 1045 454 Daniel Webster Highway Merrimack, New Hampshire 03054 www.certifiedcoins.com Ed Lee, Proprietor 1-800-835-6000 [EMAIL PROTECTED] Miles Franklin Ltd. 3015 Ottawa Ave. South St. Louis Park, Minn. 55416 1-800-822-8080 / 952-929-1129 fax: 952-925-0143 http://www.milesfranklin.com Contacts: David Schectman, Andy Schectman, and Bob Sichel Missouri Coin Co. 11742 Manchester Road St. Louis, MO 63131-4614 [EMAIL PROTECTED] 314-965-9797 1-800-280-9797 http://www.mocoin.com Resource Consultants Inc. 6139 South Rural Road Suite 103 Tempe, Arizona 85283-2929 Pat Gorman, Proprietor 1-800-494-4149, 480-820-5877 [EMAIL PROTECTED] Swiss America Trading Corp. 15018 North Tatum Blvd. Phoenix, Arizona 85032 http://www.swissamerica.com Dr. Fred I. Goldstein, Senior Broker 1-800-BUY-COIN [EMAIL PROTECTED] ---------------------------------------------------- HOW TO HELP GATA If you benefit from GATA's dispatches, please consider making a financial contribution to GATA. We welcome contributions as follows. By check: Gold Anti-Trust Action Committee Inc. c/o Chris Powell, Secretary/Treasurer 7 Villa Louisa Road Manchester, CT 06043-7541 USA By credit card (MasterCard, Visa, and Discover) over the Internet: http://www.gata.org/creditcard.html By GoldMoney: http://www.GoldMoney.com Gold Anti-Trust Action Committee Inc. Holding number 50-08-58-L Donors of $750 or more will, upon request, be sent a print of Alain Despert's colorful painting symbolizing our cause, titled "GATA." GATA is a civil rights and educational organization under the U.S. Internal Revenue Code and contributions to it are tax-deductible in the United States. -END- Yahoo! Groups Links <*> To visit your group on the web, go to: http://groups.yahoo.com/group/gata/ <*> To unsubscribe from this group, send an email to: [EMAIL PROTECTED] <*> Your use of Yahoo! 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Let us please be civil and as always, Caveat Lector. ======================================================================== Archives Available at: http://www.mail-archive.com/[email protected]/ <A HREF="http://www.mail-archive.com/[email protected]/";>ctrl</A> ======================================================================== To subscribe to Conspiracy Theory Research List[CTRL] send email: SUBSCRIBE CTRL [to:] [EMAIL PROTECTED] To UNsubscribe to Conspiracy Theory Research List[CTRL] send email: SIGNOFF CTRL [to:] [EMAIL PROTECTED] Om
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