-Caveat Lector-

Begin forwarded message:

From: "Tom Bratland" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
Date: July 14, 2005 12:16:27 AM PDT
To: "Bratland, Tom" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
Subject: Fw: Probability of 7/7 Drill and Attack Coinciding


 
----- Original Message -----
Sent: Wednesday, July 13, 2005 2:02 PM
Subject: Probability of 7/7 Drill and Attack Coinciding

Remember this folks:
 
 
Yes, it's one of those stories that only gets reported once....


 Probability of 7/7 Drill and Attack Coinciding  
  
 LU Stations274 Probability of one attack by hour (5yr mean): One chance in9,474,920
 Open Hours per Day19 Probability of 3 station terror hit (5yr mean):One chance in850,602,500,906,920,000,000
 Open Days a Year364  
 Mean Sample frequent (yrs)5 Probability of one attack by hour (10yr mean)One chance in18,949,840
 Mean Sample frequent (yrs)10 Probability of 3 station terror hit (10yr mean):One chance in6,804,820,007,255,360,000,000
     
 Same Time3  
     
  
 LU Stations274 Probability of drill on 1 stations per hourOne chance in817,342
 Open Hours per Day19 Probability of drill on 3 stations per hourOne chance in546,023,643,432,766,000
 Open Days a Year157  
     
 Same Time3  
  
 PROBABILITY OF DRILL AND TERROR ATTACK COINCIDING BY CHANCE (10yr mean)One chance in3,715,592,613,265,750,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000
   
 Estimate of Grains of sand in the whole world (http://www.miamisci.org/tripod/whysand.html) 7,500,000,000,000,000,000
  
 In context: If I go to a beach, or a desert, or under the sea and pick a single grain of sand.   
 What chance is there of you going to the same part of the world by chance and picking up the same grain?  
 You are trillions of times more likely to do this that the London drill coinciding with this attack at that hour 
   
 I wonder why the media aren't reporting the drill??  
       
 
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