-Caveat Lector-

Markets: Energy
Email This Story Print This Story

Crude Rises on Overseas Jitters

By Kristina Shevory
TheStreet.com Staff Reporter
3/3/2006 4:11 PM EST

Updated from 12:28 p.m EST

Oil prices erased early losses and closed higher Friday on concerns that a
nuclear standoff with Iran will cut world crude supplies.

Light, sweet crude for April delivery closed at a fresh three-week high of
$63.67 a barrel, up 31 cents on the Nymex. Front-month crude has risen in
five of the last six sessions, bolstered by concerns that several overseas
political dramas will be bad news for the currently bountiful U.S.
inventory picture.



The Most Read Stories From TheStreet.com
1. Cisco, Juniper Find New Foe
2. Google Tempers Growth Worry
3. Today's Tech Winners and Losers
4. The Five Dumbest Things on Wall Street This Week
5. Elan Stung by Research Report

Sign Up Free

"The bulls are asserting control as it is more apparent that oil traders
view the current oversupply as a necessary cushion against the risk of
disruptions and the prospect of increasing demand," said Phil Flynn, an
energy analyst at Alaron Trading in Chicago.

Unleaded gasoline added 5 cents to settle at $1.74 a gallon, while heating
oil tacked on 1 cent to $1.81 a gallon.

E.U. and Iranian diplomats met on Friday to discuss Tehran's nuclear
program, but failed to come to an agreement. Iran requested the session
before the International Atomic Energy Agency's board meets next week to
weigh the country's actions. Although the IAEA reported Iran to the U.N.
Security Council for possible punitive actions, the group asked that
nothing be done until its meeting on Monday.

Iran restarted small-scale uranium enrichment last month in defiance of
Western threats, which included a possible trade embargo. Tehran contends
that it needs nuclear power to generate electricity, but the West suspects
the move is a ruse to build atomic weapons.

Traders have been following the Iranian standoff because the country is
OPEC's second-largest producer of crude with 4 million barrels per day. As
pressure heats over the nuclear impasse with Iran, traders are worried
Iran will retaliate and slash its petroleum exports. Should economic
sanctions be imposed against the country, there would not be enough crude
to make up for the deficit and oil prices would inevitably rise. Even
before any actions are taken against Iran, that country could retaliate
with

Another area of worry for the energy markets was Nigeria, where daily oil
production is down by 20%. Rebels have kidnapped oil workers and attacked
pipelines, platforms, and processing facilities to gain a share of the
country's oil wealth. Nigeria produces 2.6 million barrels of oil per day
and is the fifth-largest oil supplier to the U.S.

Militant attacks, though, are nothing new for the country, and are
generally considered part of doing business there, analysts say. The
attacks are more vicious than usual because rebels want to weaken the
national government, which derives the bulk of its funding from oil
revenues, ahead of elections next year.

The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries, which pumps 40% of
the world's crude, meets March 8 and will decide whether to keep
production at 25-year highs. The group of 11 oil-producing countries has
maintained high output levels to help the U.S. get back on its feet from
hurricane damage in the Gulf of Mexico and high winter heating demands. If
OPEC trims production, prices could also rise next week.

Crude's rebound prompted buying across the energy sector, with ExxonMobil
(XOM:NYSE - commentary - research - Cramer's Take), BP (BP:NYSE -
commentary - research - Cramer's Take), and Shell rising in trading
Friday. Exxon tacked on 21 cents, or 0.4%, to $61.06 after Friedman
Billings Ramsay upgraded its rating on the stock from market perform to
outperform. BP added 19 cents, or 0.3%, to $67.10, and Shell rose 15
cents, or 0.2%, to $61.89.

Natural gas added 3 cents to close at $6.79 per million British thermal
units in defiance of the cold weather blanketing the Northeast, the
country's largest user of heating fuels. When temperatures fall, consumers
and companies use more natural gas for heating.

Warmer-than-normal weather has cut natural gas prices and compelled
investment bank J.P. Morgan Chase to cut their projections by 19% this
year to an average of $7.32, according to a report released late Thursday.

Still, an abnormally large amount of natural gas, which is also used to
generate electricity, was helping drive down prices. There is 21% more
natural gas in storage than last year, and 48% more than the five-year
average.

High natural gas supplies are canceling out any effects of cold weather.
While temperatures are projected to be in the teens to low thirties across
the Northeast, according to AccuWeather.com of State College, Pa., they
won't be cold enough to draw down stockpiles that much. The Mid West and
Northeast should enjoy above-normal temperatures through mid-March,
according to the National Weather Service's 6-10-day outlook.

"Whatever the weather for the remainder of the season brings, we will end
the year with record storage levels," said James Williams, an energy
economist at WTRG Economics in London, Ark. "It is not in question that
they will be high but rather how high."







Remember:More people have died in Ted Kennedy's car than have died in
United States Commercial Nuclear Power plant operations
 visit my web site at
http://www.info-quest.org
Visit my energy page at  http://www.info-quest.org/Energy.html
Check out the latest on the anwr drilling project http://www.anwr.org
visit my blog at
http://info-spectrum.blogspot.com
 My ICQ# is 79071904
See the Pledge of alleginace to the flag that the 9th circuit court of
appeals doesn't want you to say.
for a precise list of the powers of the Federal Government linkto:
http://www.info-quest.org/Enumerated.html

www.ctrl.org
DECLARATION & DISCLAIMER
==========
CTRL is a discussion & informational exchange list. Proselytizing propagandic
screeds are unwelcomed. Substance—not soap-boxing—please!   These are
sordid matters and 'conspiracy theory'—with its many half-truths, mis-
directions and outright frauds—is used politically by different groups with
major and minor effects spread throughout the spectrum of time and thought.
That being said, CTRLgives no endorsement to the validity of posts, and
always suggests to readers; be wary of what you read. CTRL gives no
credence to Holocaust denial and nazi's need not apply.

Let us please be civil and as always, Caveat Lector.
========================================================================
Archives Available at:

http://www.mail-archive.com/[email protected]/
<A HREF="http://www.mail-archive.com/[email protected]/";>ctrl</A>
========================================================================
To subscribe to Conspiracy Theory Research List[CTRL] send email:
SUBSCRIBE CTRL [to:] [EMAIL PROTECTED]

To UNsubscribe to Conspiracy Theory Research List[CTRL] send email:
SIGNOFF CTRL [to:] [EMAIL PROTECTED]

Om

Reply via email to