-Caveat Lector-

Begin forwarded message:

From: Rory Winter <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
Date: August 14, 2006 11:30:09 AM PDT
To: undisclosed-recipients:;
Subject: [IPCUSA] The UK Terror plot: what's really going on?

*August 14, 2006
The UK Terror plot: what's really going on?*

I have been reading very carefully through all the Sunday newspapers to 
try and analyse the truth from all the scores of pages claiming to 
detail the so-called bomb plot. Unlike the great herd of so-called 
security experts doing the media analysis, I have the advantage of 
having had the very highest security clearances myself, having done a 
huge amount of professional intelligence analysis, and having been 
inside the spin machine.

So this, I believe, is the true story.

None of the alleged terrorists had made a bomb. None had bought a plane 
ticket. Many did not even have passports, which given the efficiency of 
the UK Passport Agency would mean they couldn't be a plane bomber for 
quite some time.

In the absence of bombs and airline tickets, and in many cases 
passports, it could be pretty difficult to convince a jury beyond 
reasonable doubt that individuals intended to go through with suicide 
bombings, whatever rash stuff they may have bragged in internet chat rooms.

What is more, many of those arrested had been under surveillance for 
over a year - like thousands of other British Muslims. And not just 
Muslims. Like me. Nothing from that surveillance had indicated the need 
for early arrests.

Then an interrogation in Pakistan revealed the details of this amazing 
plot to blow up multiple planes - which, rather extraordinarily, had not 
turned up in a year of surveillance. Of course, the interrogators of the 
Pakistani dictator have their ways of making people sing like canaries. 
As I witnessed in Uzbekistan, you can get the most extraordinary 
information this way. Trouble is it always tends to give the 
interrogators all they might want, and more, in a desperate effort to 
stop or avert torture. What it doesn't give is the truth.

The gentleman being "interrogated" had fled the UK after being wanted 
for questioning over the murder of his uncle some years ago. That might 
be felt to cast some doubt on his reliability. It might also be felt 
that factors other than political ones might be at play within these 
relationships. Much is also being made of large transfers of money 
outside the formal economy. Not in fact too unusual in the British 
Muslim community, but if this activity is criminal, there are many 
possibilities that have nothing to do with terrorism.

We then have the extraordinary question of Bush and Blair discussing the 
possible arrests over the weekend. Why? I think the answer to that is 
plain. Both in desperate domestic political trouble, they longed for 
"Another 9/11". The intelligence from Pakistan, however dodgy, gave them 
a new 9/11 they could sell to the media. The media has bought, 
wholesale, all the rubbish they have been shovelled.

We then have the appalling political propaganda of John Reid, Home 
Secretary, making a speech warning us all of the dreadful evil 
threatening us and complaining that "Some people don't get" the need to 
abandon all our traditional liberties. He then went on, according to his 
own propaganda machine, to stay up all night and minutely direct the 
arrests. There could be no clearer evidence that our Police are now just 
a political tool. Like all the best nasty regimes, the knock on the door 
came in the middle of the night, at 2.30am. Those arrested included a 
mother with a six week old baby.

For those who don't know, it is worth introducing Reid. A hardened 
Stalinist with a long term reputation for personal violence, at Stirling 
Univeristy he was the Communist Party's "Enforcer", (in days when the 
Communist Party ran Stirling University Students' Union, which it should 
not be forgotten was a business with a very substantial cash turnover). 
Reid was sent to beat up those who deviated from the Party line.

We will now never know if any of those arrested would have gone on to 
make a bomb or buy a plane ticket. Most of them do not fit the "Loner" 
profile you would expect - a tiny percentage of suicide bombers have 
happy marriages and young children. As they were all under surveillance, 
and certainly would have been on airport watch lists, there could have 
been little danger in letting them proceed closer to maturity - that is 
certainly what we would have done with the IRA.

In all of this, the one thing of which I am certain is that the timing 
is deeply political. This is more propaganda than plot. Of the over one 
thousand British Muslims arrested under anti-terrorist legislation, only 
twelve per cent are ever charged with anything. That is simply 
harrassment of Muslims on an appalling scale. Of those charged, 80% are 
acquitted. Most of the very few - just over two per cent of arrests - 
who are convicted, are not convicted of anything to do terrorism, but of 
some minor offence the Police happened upon while trawling through the 
wreck of the lives they had shattered.

Be sceptical. Be very, very sceptical.


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