-Caveat Lector-


Begin forwarded message:

From: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Date: February 12, 2007 1:35:42 PM PST
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Cc: [EMAIL PROTECTED], [EMAIL PROTECTED], [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Subject: Remember the "WMD" Barrels in  Iraq Marked "Made in USA"?


http://agonist.org/sean_paul_kelley/20070211/ doesnt_look_like_farsi_to_me
Doesn't Look Like Farsi To Me?


Look, I admit, I don't know much about bomb-making. And I don't know much about how factories label bombs. But I do know that in Iran virtually all numbers were in the Farsi-Arabic script. They were not and do not resemble our numbers. Now, I may be wrong, but I have a feeling that the implication of this is that the round captured in this photo is bogus. Color me very skeptical. Any thoughts? Anyone want to google this and other aspects of the story? Steve has the same idea. Couple questions spring to mind first: is this pattern of numbers to be found on other similar weapons, made by other countries? This Russian 82mm has the markings etched in Russian. Are we sure that the Iranians use the 81mm round?

Just in case I really embarrass myself by asking a tremendously stupid question, let me just add this (consider it troll repellent): there are no stupid questions. The only stupid questions are those not asked. Otherwise how are we supposed to learn.

Markings on the Zelzal 2 rocket are in Farsi. On a similar note, Juan Cole crunches some numbers. Result: implausible. Looks like the Zelzal 3 has markings in Farsi too. Here's an anti-ship missile with Farsi on it.
Finally, here are Persian serial numbers etched onto a handgun.

Update: Ordnance pictured by the Telegraph is might not be from Iran, but from Pakistan. It could be from any number of countries, as one of our reader's notes at this point the proof is not definitive either way.

Sean-Paul Kelley February 11, 2007 - 6:01pm
Sean-Paul Kelley's diary | printer friendly version |
( categories: Iran )

Gulf of Tonkin - LBJ feigns evidence to escalate Vietnam
In August of 1964, LBJ used some feigned intelligence to claim multiple attacks on U.S. Destroyers in the Gulf of Tonkin, off Vietnam's coast, to support his power to escalate the Vietnam War.. A great write up here:
http://www.gwu.edu/~nsarchiv/NSAEBB/NSAEBB132/essay.htm
Some 2 years later, after LBJ's 1964 re-election, at the end of 1966, there were some 6,000 dead American soldiers.. By the end of the war, there were some 57,000.. LBJ, like our current "Emperor Chimpy" and his mentor, "Darth Cheney, seem to be stoking up the feigned intelligence propaganda machine to attack Iran. Would someone explain to me why it is not in America's best interests just to let the Theocrats of Iran isolate themselves and we leave them alone? This administration is hell-bent on warmongering. They seem to be planting a steady drip, drip, drip of "evidence" the last 2 weeks to sieze the power to attack Iran. This self described "War President" is actually mad. Sadly, the MSM is too afraid of their corporate paychecks to challenge being given a CD of "pictures" of weapons supposedly imported from Iran. Duhh! Who didn't know that the Shia of Iran were supporting the Shia of Iraq! They've only been doing this for some 1600 years.. Chimpy and Darth are acting surprised! Duhh!
- de Puesto
Puesto February 11, 2007 - 7:43pm

trick is
Will any of the press corp ask about this tomorrow. It is enough to at least pique their curiosity I would hope.
Donald Braden
www.debatablepolitics.com
debatablepolitics February 11, 2007 - 8:40pm

Took me 2 minutes
This ordnance is from Pakistan (Pakistan Ordnance Factories, to be exact):
http://www.pof.gov.pk/products/81mmhem57.htm
drobert_bfm February 11, 2007 - 8:58pm

Quick Correction
There seems to be a number of manufacturers for this class of ordnance. I found a number of places where they manufacture this type of mortar round, but NONE in Iran. Other than Pakistan, I've found manufacturers mostly in the UK, but also in the US and Canada.
drobert_bfm February 11, 2007 - 9:06pm

Another piece of evidence
Seems like Iran has provided Hizbollah in the past 81mm rounds of Chinese and Russian manufacture. Don't know why they would have done that it they were producing the weapons themselves.
drobert_bfm February 11, 2007 - 9:18pm

Confirmed that Iran does use 81mm rounds
http://www.irandefence.net/showthread.php?t=8133
I've been trying to find pictures of the Hadid 81mm round on the net. No luck yet. If this is an Iranian round, based on what I've found so far, that would have to be it.
drobert_bfm February 11, 2007 - 9:30pm

$7755
http://www.pmulcahy.com/mortars/iranian_mortars.html
Theres some pictures here, but really have no idea if it is what you are looking for:
http://www.irandefence.net/showthread.php?t=8215
oops February 11, 2007 - 9:37pm

I landed on that page too.
But they only have pictures of the launchers, not the rounds.
drobert_bfm February 11, 2007 - 9:43pm

Since HE means "high explosive"
wouldn't one expect the abbreviation to be the equivalent thereof in Farsi?
luciftias February 11, 2007 - 9:32pm

Any one able to find pictures of Hadid 81mm rounds?
They are, based on the info at the irandefence.net link above, Iranian copies of Israeli originals, and the only 81mm round manufactured in Iran. A well-identified picture of that ordnance would clarify the issue once and for all, and I've been Googling like crazy for a while without success.
drobert_bfm February 11, 2007 - 9:42pm

Sorry, but we're all wrong.
http://www.iranmilitaryforum.com/pictures/IMF/Missiles/12_850.jpg
They DO use latin markings.
So even though the picture shows 122mm rounds, not 81mm, I think I have to at least give this picture the benefit of the doubt until we find otherwise.
drobert_bfm February 11, 2007 - 9:48pm

Give this crowd the benefit of the doubt?
no.
luciftias February 11, 2007 - 9:59pm

Benefit of the doubt
ONLY until proof is found one way or the other. I personally jumped the gun, thinking I had a match with the Pakistani ordnance. I'd rather be sure before going further.
drobert_bfm February 11, 2007 - 10:15pm

Those are not Iranian numerals
Been there, seen them, daily.
Bucksouth February 11, 2007 - 9:55pm

there are more photos of
there are more photos of serial numbers of alleged iranian armaments found in iraq here and here (both are from the LA times) maybe drobert can do his magic on them to see where they might be from.
upyernoz February 11, 2007 - 9:58pm

="http://agonist.org/sean_paul_kelley/20070211/ doesnt_look_like_farsi_to_me#comment-109006"> The only clear pictures of Iranian Ordnance I found were at iranmilitaryforum.com. They have nothing which looks like those pictures.
drobert_bfm February 11, 2007 - 10:28pm

here's a picture of the
here's a picture of the Iranian 81mm launcher - no shell though...
http://www.defencetalk.com/pictures/showphoto.php/photo/3786
billy68 February 11, 2007 - 10:02pm

Israel sold to Iran

60 mm: wt. about 2kg (0.25kg HE), max range about 1.7km;
81 mm: wt. about 3kg (0.55kg HE), max range about 5.3km;
120mm: wt. about 13kg (2.5kg HE), max range about 6km.
In the 1950s the Israeli company 'Solel-Boneh' and the Finnish firm 'Tampela' established a joint enterprise known as 'Soltam', for the production of mortars. ('Tampela' later withdrew from the 'Soltam' project, but the name remained). 'Soltam' produces 60-, 81-, 120- and 160-mm mortars, for the IDF and for export; it has also sold production licenses. Iran was among the firm's customers until the 1979 Islamic revolution. It is therefore possible that the mortars confiscated from the Karine-A are identical to those used by the IDF.
http://www.waronline.org/en/analysis/pal_weapons.htm#mortars
candy February 11, 2007 - 10:04pm

The Hadid 81mm shell is a replica of the Israeli one
Based on my research (see comments above), the Hadid is a replica of an Israeli original. That would fit your theory.
drobert_bfm February 11, 2007 - 10:16pm
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No theory,
just found it interesting that years ago they sold to Iran.
candy February 11, 2007 - 10:26pm

Is English the international language
of bomb makers?
Just wondering...
"Death before being dishonored any more." - Col. Ted Westhusing
Jimbo92107 February 12, 2007 - 12:20am

Depends which kind of bombs really doesn't it
If we are talking about the kind of bombs that get dropped by planes then I would say yes, English it is. If we are talking about bombs disguised as cars or trucks then the answer is probably no. Both cause the same thing. I think now would be a good time for those who know how, to start looking back on those stories of arms dumps being looted back at the beginning of this smeg up.
Carib
Caribdude February 12, 2007 - 1:47am
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Courtesy of John leCarre in "Absolute Friends" -
"I am a terrorist - I have a bomb, but no airplane".
Escher Sketch February 12, 2007 - 1:54am

Psst.

http://img278.imageshack.us/img278/6980/mor81highkb4.jpg
Found the pointer from this page.
Looks to my eye like the round is an exact match.
(You'll note that diomil.ir is the web address for the Iranian Defence Industry Organization) I'm trying to hit their site, but it's slower than malass, molassus, mola - it's really, really slow. "Political Islam is a dream or a nightmare, but not a sociological reality." - Olivier Roy, Globalized Islam: The Search for a New Ummah
JustPlainDave February 12, 2007 - 7:50am


Dave, from your link
Video: What is that thing? Something about an Iranian Mi-17 firing a Noor/C-802. (whatever a Noor/C802 is?) It looks a lot nastier than anything Saddam had!
Would US carriers be able to shoot it down before it hit them?
canuck February 12, 2007 - 11:21am

Wiki -
C-802

Range of the C-802 is thought to be 120 km, which essentially includes most of the Persian Gulf from the Iranian shore, even if their missile boats and subs stayed near their docks. This is their back porch. The Yingji-82 or YJ-82 (Chinese: 鹰击-82, literally "Eagle Strike"; NATO reporting name: CSS-N-8 Saccade) is a Chinese anti- ship missile first unveiled in 1989 by the China Haiying Electro- Mechanical Technology Academy (CHETA), also known as the Third Academy. Since the Yingji-82 missile has a small radar reflectivity and is only about five to seven meters above the sea surface when it attacks the target, and since its guidance equipment has strong anti-jamming capability, target ships have a very low success rate in intercepting the missile. The hit probability of the Yingji-82 is estimated to be as high as 98 percent. The Yingji-82 can be launched from airplanes, surface ships, submarines and land-based vehicles, and has been considered along with the US Harpoon missile as among the best anti-ship missiles of its generation.[1] Its export name is the C-802.
Escher Sketch February 12, 2007 - 11:29am

Thanks
given that the Iranians have that kind of firepower, wouldn't it make sense to sit down with them and come to an agreement before someone lights a match and the Middle East goes up in smoke? I.e. doesn't their possession turn Iran into a formidable foe, unlike Iraq and Afghanistan who have mostly conventional arms?
canuck February 12, 2007 - 11:42am


The C-802 is the missile type that...
...allegedly struck and seriously damaged the Israeli missile boat during the conflict with Hezbollah earlier this summer. There's a whole lot of variables associated with the use of these things. In general US ships could shoot them down before they hit them - the question is whether they could in the numbers that are likely to be launched. Typically what one does as the attacker is try to saturate the defenders ability to intercept the missiles by launching a lot of them at once (as well as launching from unexpected directions, with surprise, etc. etc.).
JustPlainDave February 12, 2007 - 11:41am


It beggars belief
that America intentionally has a fleet in the Persian Gulf right now as these tensions are ramping up - trapped in a bathtub with a tiny drain, the only exit along an Iranian coast bristling with missiles with an unknown, potentially devastating ability to overwhelm American antimissile capabilities. There are only a couple of explanations that make sense to me strategically. The ugliest and most likely one seems to me to be "sacrificing a rook". Some ruthless bastard thinks they need American ships on the floor of the Persian Gulf to politically justify the next step. A few thousand dead Americans would give the hawks a free hand. I think someone wants - needs - to lose ships, and I think they're calculating they aren't going to lose many, and I also think they're wrong.
Escher Sketch February 12, 2007 - 11:56am

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