-Caveat Lector-

The imbalance of power by J.R.Nyquist

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+AKk- 1999 WorldNetDaily.com

The United States has tremendous military power. But this power has been
compromised in recent years. In 1985, under President Reagan, the United
States Army had 27 divisions. Today, we have 10 divisions. In 1985, we had
37 Air Force wings. Today, we are down to 13 wings. In 1985, we had 546
ships in the United States Navy. Today, we have 339.
How does America's current strength match up with Russia's?

Despite its supposed dilapidation, Russia itself has large ground, air, and
naval forces. Since the crisis in the Balkans erupted on March 24, Russian
troop strength has increased significantly. Over 169,000 Russians were
recruited in a special call-up in April. In the last twelve weeks close to
100,000 Russians have volunteered for military service. Add this to the
normal Russian draft, which inducts half a million annually. We also know
that Russia called up marine and naval reservists, who engaged in huge naval
amphibious exercises in the Pacific and Black Seas. If this were not enough
for a dramatic reappraisal of Russia's existing strength, it should be noted
that Moscow often extends enlistments, retaining large numbers of soldiers
who would otherwise be demobilized. As everyone knows, the crisis in Kosovo
was the perfect pretext for such extensions.

What is most fascinating, in this context, is something Col. Stanislav Lunev
told me last August. Lunev is the highest-ranking defector from the Main
Intelligence Directorate of the Russian General Staff. Lunev told me that
Russia retains the same number of generals as during the Cold War, even
though the troop numbers are smaller. Lunev stated that it only takes eight
weeks to make a soldier, but two years to make a division commander. Even
more time was required to train corps commanders, army commanders, and
military district commanders.

Why did Russia retain so many generals? Lunev thought the Russian generals
were being kept so that Russia could put its Soviet-era armed forces back
together in a matter of weeks, while the United States would take years to
rebuild its divisions, air wings, and fleets. Thinking back on Lunev's
statements of last August, and now looking at the huge Russian recruitments
of 1999, Lunev's concerns have been justified. Russia may be on the way to
reestablishing its once formidable conventional military strength.

Given the fact that U.S. intelligence underestimated the size of Serb forces
in Kosovo, and U.S. forces mistook hundreds of dummy tanks for real tanks,
Russian strength is not going to be easy to estimate. In fact, Serb forces
escaped destruction during the recent NATO air campaign by using Russian
concealment techniques.

But more significant than the increased or hidden Russian conventional
strength is the unprecedented strength of the Chinese People's Liberation
Army, which gives every indication of being allied to the Russian military.

The Chinese armed forces have approximately 4.5 million men. This is the
world's largest military establishment. In recent days the Chinese held
remarkable war exercises in Tibet, involving large numbers of paratroops and
motorized hang glider units. These troops are said to have remarkable
qualities. They can cross impassable mountain terrain, making attacks far
behind enemy lines. They can strike at isolated mountain bases, or bypass
strong points.

In addition to the Chinese conventional threat, there is the North Korean
army. Approximately one million strong, the North Korean People's Army is
currently poised to attack American and South Korean units. Add to this the
armies of other rogue states and it quickly becomes evident that America's
10 divisions and 13 air wings are overextended.

Conventional forces, however, are only one measure of the balance of power.
Weapons of mass destruction are another measure. According to official
sources, the United States and the Russian Federation each have
approximately 7,000 strategic nuclear weapons. But this estimate of Russia's
nuclear strength assumes that American spy satellites can keep an accurate
count.

Giving U.S. intelligence the benefit of the doubt, strategic nuclear weapons
may be too large to hide. But tactical nuclear weapons are another matter
altogether. According to intelligence sources, the United States cannot
track Russian tactical nuclear weapons. Various means exist for masking the
distinctive radioactive signature of these weapons. For example, tactical
nuclear weapons can be stored near nuclear waste disposal areas, nuclear
power plants, or near stockpiles of plutonium or uranium. This masks them
from detection. There are other, more sophisticated techniques for
concealing such weapons.

In this context, I had the opportunity to talk to an American strategic
missile expert. He told me that the Russians had developed the ability to
pack large numbers of tactical nuclear warheads onto intercontinental
ballistic missiles. Sixty tactical warheads might be packed into one
missile. Using special technology, these warheads would break apart shortly
before reaching an urban target area and explode at set distances from one
another, blanketing a sizable area with small nuclear explosions. This, he
explained, was more destructive than an attack with several large nuclear
weapons. Sixty tactical nukes, he said, were more effective than 10 larger
bombs. They could deliver greater destruction to a wider area at less cost.

Since the Russians do not allow arms control inspectors to visit key sites
inside Russia (like Yamantau Mountain, a deep underground military facility
the size of metropolitan Washington), there is reason to believe they have
something to hide. Russian treaty violations are common. Often the Russians
simply state that they are unable to comply with treaties they have signed.

The greatest Russian treaty-breaking has been in the area of chemical and
biological weapons. According to Yevgenia Albats, the courageous Russian
journalist, Russia diverted Western aid to build a chemical weapons plant.
This plant was a clear violation of a chemical warfare agreement made with
the United States. It was also discovered, in 1996, that Russia was
developing a new binary chemical weapon. +ACI-Binary+ACI- means that the weapon
consists of two elements which are harmless until brought together in a
warhead. Stored in separate locations, these +ACI-harmless+ACI- materials can be
passed off as industrial chemicals or fertilizers. This is the ideal type of
weapon for concealment.

Between 1988 and 1992, Dr. Ken Alibek was first deputy chief of Biopreparat,
the Russian state pharmaceutical agency responsible for developing and
manufacturing Russia's biological weapons. Biopreparat is described by
Alibek as a +ACI-clandestine empire of research, testing, and manufacturing ...
spread out over more than 40 sites in Russia and Kazakhstan.+ACI-

In 1992, after Yeltsin came to power in Russia, Alibek defected. He told the
U.S. that Russia had been stockpiling hundreds of tons of anthrax, dozens of
tons of plague and smallpox. The ultimate target of these illicit arms?

The United States of America.

+ACI-If I had stayed in Russia,+ACI- wrote Alibek last week, +ACI-I would have been a
major general by now and you would never have heard my name.+ACI-

Biopreparat was created about the same time Moscow signed the Biological
Weapons Convention of 1972. The Russians agreed to stop making biological
weapons. But, as Alibek's testimony shows, Russia was determined to develop
a devastating biological warfare capability.

The Czechoslovak Communist defector Jan Sejna, who was familiar with Soviet
bloc strategy, said that Kremlin leaders always emphasized that as the arms
control process developed nuclear weapons would be reduced. In that event
Russia would rely on secret stockpiles of biological material as a
substitute for nuclear weapons.

Reading Alibek's work, I believe he is mistaken when he assumes that
Russia's biological warfare program was abandoned at the time of his
defection in 1992. As it turns out, the Russians merely moved shop, created
a new cover, and kept making newer and better biological weapons.

Two years after Alibek defected to the West, The Sunday Times of London
reported that Russia had developed a new germ-warfare agent. The article
said that 440 pounds of this material could kill half a million people, and
the West had no antidote for it.

Although Alibek thought the Russians had terminated their secret biological
warfare project, The Sunday Times stated that Russia maintained such a
project in total secrecy. This secret was compromised when two Russians
associated with the project defected to England.

Russia's deceptiveness -- especially during Yeltsin's presidency -- is well
documented. Russia is way ahead of America in lethal biological and chemical
weapons.

In terms of the overall balance of power, Russia purposefully depicts itself
as weak and helpless. But the reality is very different. America's military
superiority ought to be questioned. We are without lethal biological
weapons. We have closed down our chemical weapons plants. Our nuclear
stockpiles are seriously diminished, and we no longer manufacture the
tritium that our nuclear weapons need to maintain their full explosive
potential.

I fear that the balance of power is no longer in balance.



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J.R. Nyquist is a WorldNetDaily contributing editor and author of 'Origins
of the Fourth World War.'

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