-Caveat Lector-

Fearing China, Manila Turns to U.S.

By GEORGE GEDDA
.c The Associated Press


WASHINGTON (AP) - Eight years after the Philippines ordered a shutdown of
American military bases on its soil, Filipino concern over Chinese actions in
the South China Sea is leading to a partial revitalization of
U.S.-Philippines military ties.

At issue is Chinese construction on Mischief Reef, about 150 miles from
Philippine territory and 800 miles from China. Manila is worried that Chinese
construction there could be used to assist military operations.

Neither the United States nor the Philippines is talking about reviving the
sprawling U.S. bases that were once the centerpiece of a military
relationship that reached a high point in 1944 when U.S. forces helped
liberate the islands from Japan. Since 1951, the two countries have been
bound together by a defense treaty.

Nowadays, a more modest - and more politically sustainable - arrangement is
contemplated, involving joint military exercises and periodic visits to
Filipino ports by large U.S. military vessels. American officials declined to
speculate about the possibility that the evolving relationship with the
Philippines could one day bring the United States into a conflict with China.

In any case, the shift in sentiment in the Philippines toward its one-time
colonizer has been dramatic. In 1991, when the Philippines Senate rejected a
proposed treaty governing the U.S. bases, then-Senators Joseph Estrada and
Orlando Mercado were among those voting against it. Months later, the U.S.
military abandoned the bases.

Today, Estrada is president and Mercado is defense secretary. Both are
enthusiastic proponents of renewed military ties with the United States. In
late May, the Philippines Senate voted 23-5 to approve a so-called Visiting
Forces Agreement, which lays the legal groundwork for the return of American
servicemen. Plans are under way for joint exercises early next year.

In rejecting church and Communist opposition to the proposal, Mercado said,
``Our country is weak, is extremely vulnerable to external threats and needs
this alliance (with the United States) in order to protect our national
interest.''

Just how far the United States will be willing to go to defend its ally is a
matter of debate. Outgoing Filipino Ambassador Raul Rabe said in an interview
that the United States pledged before the May vote to extend its defense
perimeter into the South China Sea.

U.S. officials say the administration has merely reaffirmed long-standing
policy of pledging to consult with the Philippines if either party's
territory is attacked - consistent with the defense treaty's language.

The officials, who asked not to be identified, also seemed intent on not
raising the rhetorical temperature - perhaps with a view toward someday
mediating the territorial dispute between the Philippines and China, a role
it could not play if it aligns itself too closely with the Filipino position.
The South China Sea is but one of many territorial disputes in the region.

``We're not going to give them (the Philippines) a blank check,'' one
official said. He also noted the United States has made clear its neutrality
in the South China Sea dispute and he cited approvingly China's assertion
that it will not interfere with freedom of navigation there. No significant
U.S. weapons sales to the Philippines are contemplated, he added.

If China is alarmed by the resurrection of the U.S.-Philippines military
ties, it is not saying so publicly. China's ambassador to Manila, Fu Ying,
told the Far Eastern Economic Review: ``We see the proposed Visiting Forces
Agreement as a matter between the Philippines and the U.S.''

Rep. Dana Rohrabacher, R-Calif., a member of the House International
Relations Committee, is alarmed by what he calls ``a massive military
buildup'' by China in the region.

China, he said, ``is claiming the entire area of the South China Sea.... This
is a blueprint for war on the part of Beijing.''

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