-Caveat Lector-

By GREG MYRE

MOSCOW (July 29, 1999 6:38 a.m. EDT http://www.nandotimes.com) - Awaiting the
arrival of a loan from the International Monetary Fund, Russian officials on
Thursday expressed hopes that more foreign debt assistance would follow soon
and that the anemic economy would receive a boost.

By itself, the new IMF loan won't revive Russia's economy, which has been in
deep recession most of this decade and is continuing to shrink this year.

The IMF's $4.5 billion financial package, with the first disbursement planned
within days, is just enough to cover Russia's existing debts to the fund this
year and next. The money will simply be shifted from one IMF account to
another in Washington, and none of it will actually reach Russia.

Still, the IMF's decision Wednesday to approve the loan was a rare piece of
encouraging financial news for Russia.

It's Russia's first large loan since the country's financial markets imploded
last August, and other international lenders, including the World Bank and
Japan, are expected to release funds now that the IMF has demonstrated its
willingness to resume credits to Moscow.

"This will give Russia a breather," said Alexander Livshits, Russia's envoy
to the G-8, which includes the world's leading industrialized democracies and
Russia.

Russia has defaulted on a series of foreign debts in recent months, and says
it simply can't afford the roughly $150 billion in foreign debt payments that
fall due over the next several years.

The IMF loan should lead foreign lenders to restructure Russia's debts, said
Finance Minister Mikhail Kasyanov, who was to meet Thursday with members of
the Paris Club of creditors, which holds about $40 billion of Russian debt
dating to the Soviet era.

"Now that a program is ready and backed by the IMF and World Bank, creditors
have formal grounds to hold official talks with us on restructuring debts,"
Kasyanov told the ITAR-Tass news agency in the French capital.

Russia grew hugely dependent on foreign loans as its economy withered this
decade during the messy transition to a market economy. However,
international lending ground to a halt after Russia defaulted on debts and
devalued its currency last August.

The country has repaid some debts and defended the currency by drawing from
its Central Bank reserves, which have been steadily dwindling.

Central Bank reserves fell from $11.5 billion to $11 billion during the week
ending July 23, the bank announced Thursday.

No reason was given for the decline, but foreign currency traders said the
bank has been intervening regularly to prop up the Russian currency, which is
holding steady at 24 to the U.S. dollar.

The IMF's first loan installment to Russia will be for $640 million. The fund
said it intends to closely monitor Russia's economy, and subsequent
disbursements "will depend on completion of quarterly reviews."

Russia owes $18 billion to the IMF, making it the fund's largest debtor.

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