-Caveat Lector-
> The New Australian
>
>
> Kosovo and Taiwan: a moral
> question for the US
>
>
> By James Henry
> No. 130, 16-22 Aug. 1999
>
> Sometime ago I wrote that if NATO succeeded in driving the Serbs
> out of Kosovo it would only plant the seeds of a future Balkan
> conflict. What would NATO do to protect an Albanian controlled
> Kosovo against a revanchist Serbia? Clinton, Blair and Schroeder
> being what they are have not given this dismal prospect any
> serious thought. But the war against Serbia raised other
> important questions that need to be answered. A very important
> one being: Who invaded whom?
>
> Put another way, how does a country deal with people from a
> different cultural and religious background who having settled
> into the host country now decide to annex part of it on the
> curious grounds that they are now a majority in that region. Like
> it or not, this is what Kosovo Albanians have done. They have
> sliced away a huge portion of Serbia. This could not have been
> done without the aid of Clinton and Blair, who certainly won't be
> around to pick up the pieces from the next Serbian-Kosovo
> conflict, not that they are picking up any pieces now.
>
> Does anyone think for one moment that if Britain's 1 million plus
> Moslem population decided to annex a portion of the UK on the
> novel grounds they are the majority in that area that Blair would
> stand for it. What if the reconquista movement did the same in
> parts of Texas or California? (Mexican President Ernesto Zedillo
> has already expressed the view "that the Mexican nation extends
> beyond the territory enclosed by its borders." He didn't say in
> which direction.) What would the Democrats do? Regardless of what
> the moral posturing Clinton and Blair might say to these
> hypthetical questions the fact remains that according to their
> words and actions over Kosovo they would have to concede to these
> demands for 'independence" or resort to violence. Readers
> probably realise that by now that what is really at stake here is
> a territorial principle. To what lengths can any state
> legitimately go in defending its national integrity?
>
> It has been forgotten, or should I say suppressed, that the
> drug-running KLA deliberately set out to alienate Serbian
> territory, which is what Kosovo is, by taking over administrative
> positions, disobeying Belgrade directives, murdering Serbian
> officials and setting up a separate administration. Naturally the
> Serbs responded in the usual Balkan way. Nevertheless, there were
> no mass killings and Serbian military activity was largely
> confined to areas where KLA guerrillas were operating.
>
> What we find, therefore, is that the KLA had formulated a plan to
> annex Kosovo. What made them think the Serbs would let them get
> away with this puzzles me. Unless they had good reason to think
> that Clinton would come to their aid. Whatever the case, the war
> is not over. A cocaine-snorting president still soils the Oval
> Office while drug-running KLA thugs are busy entrenching
> themselves in Kosovo. But this is where the problem will fester.
> Kosovo can only exist as a NATO protectorate. Does anyone really
> think that European countries are going to protect a drug-running
> KLA government whose activities will subvert their own political
> structures? And does anyone think the KLA will tolerate any
> domestic opposition that threatens its power? The inner
> contradictions of Clinton and Blair's Balkan blundering are
> already creating visible tensions, some of which have resulted in
> NATO troops open firing on KLA activists.
>
> Now if the so-called 'Clinton doctrine' had any moral substance
> (impossible given the source) then Clinton would have rushed to
> warn China against attacking Taiwan. Instead, this moral and
> physical coward betrays America's Taiwanese ally and prostrates
> himself before Beijing. (Truman must be spinning in his grave).
>
> Let us understand that, in my view, the principle of territorial
> integrity falls down when any group is oppressed or is in genuine
> danger of being tyrannized. This is why North Korea has no moral
> claim over the South. It is also crystal clear why Beijing has
> forfeited any moral claim to Taiwan. And it is because these are
> moral questions that Clinton and his cronies cannot understand
> them.
> The New Australian
> <Picture>Looking Out
>
> Peter Zhang's
> Column
>
> Clinton's to
> blame for
> Taiwan crisis
>
> No. 130, 16-22 Aug. 1999
>
> There is no doubt in Asia that Clinton is solely responsible for
> the Taiwan crisis. That an American president could be so
> incredibly stupid in his dealings with Beijing leaves Asian
> leaders both stunned and filled with contempt for the Oval
> Office. I have tried to stress that the Clinton's administration
> is a foreign policy disaster. And its most disastrous failures
> have been in China. Instead of working to strengthen China's
> reformist trends it has acted to strengthen its militaristic
> tendencies by rewarding bad behaviour. The more Chinese
> militarists behaved badly the more the Clinton administration did
> everything within its power to minimise their threat to American
> security.
>
> The administration deliberately, and criminally, ignored
> Beijing's acquisition of weapons of mass destruction, its rapid
> attempts to try and modernise its armed services, the mischievous
> role it has played in nuclear proliferation, its application of
> US high-tech imports to military uses. As I said elsewhere, the
> effect of brushing aside China's reformists in favour of
> appeasing Chinese militarists is to strengthen them at the
> expense of US security. Rewarding bad behaviour guarantees more
> of the same. This is why China is now engaged in a fierce sabre
> rattling exercise over Taiwan.
>
> As usual, most Western commentators have missed the vital point.
> China's aggressive noises are warnings to the rest of Asia and
> are signalling how much the regime holds the US in contempt. How
> the US reacts to these signals could have political and military
> repercussions for many years to come. Already the signs are bad.
> I pointed out last week that Admiral Dennis Blair's irresponsible
> comment that the US should not defend Taiwan would encourage
> Beijing to become even more bellicose. And that is precisely what
> happened. No wonder the rest of Asia is appalled by White House
> stupidity.
>
> Does this mean an invasion of Taiwan? Not in my opinion. Two
> fundamentals must be borne in mind. The first is the fact that
> for sometime China has been working to undermine American
> influence in the region. By showing that America is a "paper
> tiger", "an ally without courage", as one official put it to me,
> Beijing hopes to weaken the regional powers' faith in America's
> willingness to stand by its allies by standing up to Chinese
> threats. At the moment it appears it will definitely have some
> success, thanks to White House cowardice over Taiwan. In other
> words, the sabre rattling is part of Beijing's political war
> against the US.
>
> I have stated before that it is Beijing's prime long term aim to
> drive America out of Asia and then virtually out of the Pacific,
> at least as far back as the Hawaiian islands. As I wrote two
> months ago the consensus among China's political elite is that
> America is in a state of terminal moral and political decline1,
> and that this will eventually be reflected in American political
> power shrinking in absolute terms. It is believed that this
> decline will be preceded by an increasing inability to project
> military power. This is why Beijing believes time is on its side.
> (Ironically, Clinton's election wins only succeeded in
> reinforcing this dismal political prognosis, as has the insane
> process of 'feminising' the US military). Unfortunately, Clinton
> and his coterie of '60s misfits are literally incapable of truly
> understanding any of this. It simply does not fit their 'liberal'
> mindset.
>
> So why should China ruin its long term plans by attacking Taiwan
> and thus bring the wrath of the US Congress down on its head? And
> it is Congress, not Clinton, that it fears. It knows that though
> Clinton is a coward an angry Congress could force him to act.
> Regardless of the damage Clinton and his appointees have done to
> the American military, Beijing still has a lot of respect for
> what's left. This brings us to the other fundamental � the true
> state of the PLA.
>
> A PLA general claimed that they could "roll up Taiwan in 10
> days." This is pure bravado and he knows it. Though China has
> about 2.5 million troops, its equipment is largely obsolete.
> Compare this with Taiwan's 400,000 troops, highly trained and
> motivated, equipped with the latest hardware and backed up by a
> huge reserve of trained personnel. Any attempt to cross the
> Taiwan Strait would therefore inflict the kind of massive losses
> on China's armed services that no government could survive. As a
> token military gesture the PLA could try and invade one of the
> outlying islands, Kinmen perhaps. But though success would be
> guaranteed the losses would probably be politically unacceptable
> and certainly militarily embarrassing.
>
> There will be no invasion of Taiwan. But America will, thanks to
> Clinton, have suffered another political defeat in the region,
> which brings us to the Democrats. This is the party that Beijing
> wants to see control both Houses and the Oval Office. And why?
> Because it considers it to be, putting it politely, the party of
> appeasement. So I strongly suggest that Americans should ask
> themselves this question: Why does Beijing want to see Al Gore in
> the Oval Office?
>
> 1China's Balkan lesson for the Pacific.
> China's Balkan lesson
> for the Pacific
>
>
> By Peter Zhang
> No. 123, 14-20 June 1999
>
> Any military man will tell you that no matter how well-equipped
> an army is what ultimately matters is the Will. Without this
> technology becomes expensive accouterments. What has struck
> Beijing is not the fact that it was social democrats who ordered
> the attack on Serbia (the same people who never condemned a
> communist regime) but their lack of will revealed by their fear
> of suffering casualties. Many people have been deceived into
> thinking that because Clinton and Blair forced NATO into
> attacking Serbia this exhibited courage and determination on
> their part. Beijing sees it differently. Moreover, it was not
> impressed with the aerial bombardment. To be able to plaster from
> a short distance a small target like Serbia does nothing to
> intimidate Beijing. And as far as she is concerned, these are
> weapons she will soon command herself, including
> counter-measures.
>
> Its long term strategic objective is to drive American bases and
> influence out of the Pacific region and to exercise hegemony over
> it. Now this does not mean another Pearl Harbour but it does mean
> that unless China's nationalists are kept in check, if not
> actually subdued, there will be a great deal of tension in the
> future between Washington and Beijing. I have written before that
> the Chinese leadership knows its history. It knows that powers
> rise and fall. It is coming to the conclusion, if it hasn't
> already, that America is in a state of terminal moral decline. To
> China's ruling elite the reelection of Clinton; his popular
> support; the refusal of the American people to evict him from the
> White House, despite his contempt for them; his treason and
> gutting of America's military and the refusal of America's
> so-called intellectual elites to abandon him are symptoms of a
> country that has lost its spirit and rejected its heritage and
> destiny. Nevertheless, keenly aware of the country's weaknesses
> Beijing will move with caution.
>
> Now this interpretation of the American mood and its moral
> character could lead to Beijing taking a more aggressive stand in
> the near future against American policy and interests, even if it
> means uttering threats and demanding demeaning apologies. This
> will be done to undermine Asian countries faith in American
> resolve. By convincing Asian countries that America is straw man,
> an ally whose word cannot be counted on, it would hop to detonate
> a chain reaction that would result in these countries deciding to
> throw their lot in with Beijing.
>
> I doubt if Americans will ever fully learn the dreadful role
> Clinton has played in fuelling and strengthening the PLA's
> ambitions. By selling it the key to America's military secrets
> and aiding the PLA in modernising it military it has brought
> closer the time when it can intimidate its neighbours. This is
> what most American observers have overlooked. To drive America
> out of most of the Pacific China does not have to threaten the
> nuclear destruction of American cities; she only has to apply
> subtle, and perhaps not so-subtle, threats against the rest of
> Asia. This is not so far fetched as many might think once one
> realises that Beijing seeks domination and not occupation.
>
> The danger, I think, is that the Chinese nationalists tend to
> view America as Rome viewed Carthage. If this idea should take
> hold the consequences could indeed be fearful. It is the same
> kind of idea that took hold among pre-war Japanese nationalists.
> But I view America in another light. To me she is not suffering a
> moral decline but sliding into a moral malaise. The common values
> that held it together are constantly under attack: ridiculed and
> scorned by its own intellectuals. Its history and traditions
> mocked and denigrated. Its moral standing in the world battered.
> This continuous assault has created confusion and uncertainty
> among the mass of its citizens.
>
> If America is going to ever again face down genuine threats to
> its existence it must first win the war at home. If the so-called
> values of the likes of Clinton should finally prevail America
> will be in mortal danger. Its sheer size and reputation for
> revitalising itself pose dangers that tyrants cannot afford to
> tolerate.
>
> The New Australian
A<>E<>R
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