-Caveat Lector-

-------- Original Message --------
Subject: Australia May Face Nuclear Threat From India
   Date: Thu, 19 Aug 1999 10:27:02 +0930
   From: Straykat <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>



[Image]   Thursday, August 19, 1999

 http://www.theage.com.au/daily/990819/news/news23.html

Australia may face nuclear threat

               By CHRISTOPHER KREMMER
               NEW DELHI, WEDNESDAY

               Australia could theoretically be dragged into a nuclear
               conflict involving India and the United States under
               India's draft nuclear policy released yesterday.

               The doctrine of ``retaliation only'' released by the
Hindu
               nationalist government promises that India would not be
               the first to use nuclear weapons against states that do
not
               possess such weapons. However, it does not offer such a
               pledge to countries which do have nuclear weapons or to
               nations allied to nuclear powers.

               ``India will not resort to the use or threat of use of
               nuclear weapons against states which do not possess
               nuclear weapons, or are not aligned with nuclear
               weapons powers,'' it says.

               Australia, Japan, South Korea, Germany and most
               member states of the North Atlantic Treaty Organisation
               - all of which have defence treaty obligations with the
US
               - would by implication be potential Indian targets in any

               nuclear exchange with the US. The document's release
               appears to be an attempt to revive the nuclear issue
               before Indians begin voting in national elections on 5
               September.

               The government - which conducted five nuclear blasts
               last year and declared India a nuclear weapons state -
               believes the issue is a vote winner.

               However, India's national security adviser, Mr Brajesh
               Mishra, said it was hoped the doctrine's release would
               encourage a debate on the issues.

               ``This is a draft ... it will have to wait for a new
               government.''

               A victory at the polls could be used as a green light for

               the doctrine, which analysts said envisaged a much more
               ambitious nuclear arsenal than the credible, minimum
               deterrent the government had previously said it required.

               The doctrine calls for ``sufficient, survivable and
               operationally prepared nuclear forces'' on aircraft,
mobile
               land-based missiles and at sea.

               India's forces and their command and control system
               should be organised for ``very high survivability against

               surprise attacks and for rapid punitive response''. The
               bombs would be under the control of the prime minister
               or his successor.

               An undeclared border war between India and Pakistan in
               Kashmir, and last week's shooting down of a Pakistani
               maritime surveillance plane by India, have heightened
               concerns about the subcontinent as a nuclear flashpoint.

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