-Caveat Lector-

Mainstream media now covering Navy Y2K report.  Note last sentence of this
Washington Post/AP report.....Geri & Alfred, Vancouver, BC

>
>
>                                 Navy Predicts Widespread Y2K Failure
> [www.intellectualcapital.com]
> [Partners:]                     By Ted Bridis
>                                 Associated Press Writer
>                                 Thursday, August 19, 1999; 7:27 p.m. EDT
>
>                                 WASHINGTON (AP) -- A Navy report predicts
>                                 ``probable'' or ``likely'' failures in
> [Coolfont]                      electrical and water systems for many
>                                 cities because of the Year 2000
>                                 technology problem -- an assessment more
> [Piedmont Winery & Vineyard]    dire than any other made by the
>                                 government.
>
>                                 President Clinton's top Y2K adviser, John
>                                 Koskinen, called the Navy's conclusions
>                                 overly cautious, saying they assumed that
>                                 major utilities would fail unless proved
>                                 otherwise.
>
>                                 The most recent version of the study,
>                                 updated less than two weeks ago,
>                                 predicted ``probable'' or ``likely''
>                                 partial failures in electric utilities
>                                 that serve nearly 60 of roughly 400 Navy
>                                 and Marine Corps facilities.
>
>                                 The study predicted ``likely'' partial
>                                 electrical failures, for example, at
>                                 facilities in Orlando, Fla.; Gulfport,
>                                 Miss.; Fort Lauderdale, Fla.; and nine
>                                 other small- to mid-size cities.
>
>                                 It also predicted ``probable'' partial
>                                 water system failures in Dallas;
>                                 Nashville, Tenn.; Houston; Baton Rouge,
>                                 La.; Montgomery, Ala; Tulsa, Okla.; and
>                                 59 other cities.
>
>                                 The study forecast likely partial natural
>                                 gas failures -- in the middle of winter
>                                 -- in Albany, N.Y.; Fort Worth, Texas;
>                                 Pensacola, Fla.; Charleston, S.C.;
>                                 Columbus, Ohio; and Nashville.
>
>                                 The military report contrasts sharply
>                                 with predictions from the White House,
>                                 which weeks ago said in a report that
>                                 national electrical failures are ``highly
>                                 unlikely.'' The White House report also
>                                 said disruptions in water service from
>                                 the date rollover are ``increasingly
>                                 unlikely.''
>
>                                 Koskinen, who vouched for the
>                                 authenticity of the Navy report, noted
>                                 that all its worst-case predictions for
>                                 failures were marked as ``interim'' or
>                                 ``partial'' assessments.
>
>                                 ``It's not nearly as interesting as the
>                                 world coming to an end,'' said Koskinen.
>                                 ``The way they worked was, until you have
>                                 information for contingency planning
>                                 purposes, you ought to assume there was a
>                                 problem.''
>
>                                 The Year 2000 problem occurs because some
>                                 computer programs, especially older ones,
>                                 might fail when the date changes to 2000.
>                                 Because the programs were written to
>                                 recognize only the last two digits of a
>                                 year, such programs could read the digits
>                                 ``00'' as 1900 instead of 2000,
>                                 potentially causing problems with
>                                 financial transactions, airline schedules
>                                 and electrical grids.
>
>                                 The Navy report was first summarized on
>                                 an Internet site run by Jim Lord, a Y2K
>                                 author, who said he obtained it ``from a
>                                 confidential source of the highest
>                                 reliability and integrity.''
>
>                                 ``The military has to work from the worst
>                                 case, but so do we,'' Lord told The
>                                 Associated Press on Thursday. ``It's
>                                 reprehensible for them to know this and
>                                 keep it from us.''
>
>                                 Koskinen said the Navy wasn't withholding
>                                 information from anyone, noting that the
>                                 continually updated report was available
>                                 until recently on a Web site maintained
>                                 by the Defense Department.
>
>                                 ``The last people in the world the
>                                 department is going to keep information
>                                 from is their own people,'' Koskinen
>                                 said. ``In fact, the whole purpose of the
>                                 exercise is to make sure they can provide
>                                 appropriate information to servicemen on
>                                 their bases and their families.
>
>                                 The report was pulled off the Web site
>                                 two weeks, Koskinen said. Neither he nor
>                                 Defense Department officials offered any
>                                 reason why.
>
>                                   � Copyright 1999 The Associated Press
>
>

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