-Caveat Lector-
>From The New australian
www.newaus.com.au
> Return to The New Australian
>
>
> Have we got a climate
> catastrophe just for you!
>
>
> By *John L. Daly
> No. 134, 20-26 September 1999
>
> No matter where you live in the world, the Greenhouse Industry modellers have
> tailored the impacts of the global warming theory to provide everyone with their
> own custom-made climate catastrophe.
>
> For Australians, warming alone would be enough to get us worried as we are warm
> enough already. Some extra rain would be nice, and the warming scenario does
> suggest increased rainfall globally — but, you guessed it — not for Australia.
> The modellers have decreed that we will have more frequent and severe El Ninos,
> the harbinger of droughts. So while the rest of the world might get more
> rainfall, Australia will miss out. How convenient.
>
> How about Canadians, northern Europeans, and Russians? The Industry have a very
> special deal for you too. Your primary fear is not warming (you are too cold for
> that), but that of cooling. The prospect of climatic cooling freezes the heart
> of any Siberian peasant or Canadian farmer. But, sure enough, these very lands
> are now tipped to suffer an ice age! It took a bit of jigging of the models to
> do it, but using the prospect of a failure of thermohaline ocean circulation in
> the North Atlantic, they claim that warmer waters in the Gulf Stream will cease
> to sink at the poles, causing the Gulf Stream to veer south and leave the whole
> North Atlantic in the grip of a frigid cold. A convoluted theory, but one which
> gets the desired result — a climate catastrophe designer-built just for those
> places which fear cooling much more than warming. That should very neatly remove
> any vested interest such people may have toward having a warmer world.
>
> For coastal communities who may be indifferent to warming or cooling, the
> Industry has them targeted too — sea levels rising to swamp them. Little matter
> that there is no convincing evidence of any general sea level rise this century,
> the modellers have built this into their models anyway, and threaten coastal low
> lying countries with Noah's flood if they don't toe the green Kyoto line.
>
> Then we have those ancient cradles of civilisations — the vast river basin
> communities, like the Ganges basin in India, the Yangtze basin in China, the
> Indus basin of Pakistan etc., home to hundreds of millions of people dependent
> on sustained river flows for irrigation and occasional (and preferably modest)
> floods to fertilize the land. Also home to countries who have expressed little
> or no interest in Kyoto. As special punishment, the Industry mandarins have
> recently devised a special double feature, just for them. The glaciers in the
> Himalayas will melt, they say, and this melting will cause catastrophic floods
> to descend upon those hapless millions. But that's not all. Once the floods have
> subsided with the glaciers gone, these people are still not off the hook. Floods
> will be followed by droughts as the rivers suffer reduced flows, turning these
> fertile basins into arid land. Nobody ever said the modellers were not creative.
>
>
> And the U.S.A.? If you are American, ask yourself what climate catastrophe you
> dread the most, and sure enough, that is exactly the one which the Industry has
> in store for you. Bigger and deadlier tornadoes for you mid-westerners, bigger
> and deadlier hurricanes for you coastal dwellers, bigger floods for you farmers
> in the Mississippi/Missouri basins, even (God forbid) grey skies for the genteel
> folk of Los Angeles.
>
> And what of the British, whose climate gurus are more responsible than anyone
> for this hysteria? The British climate is so miserable, that any change must be
> for the better. But even here, the British psyche works against them as they are
> forever talking about the weather. And the modellers have now given them plenty
> to talk about — and thus plenty to fret about.
>
> The customised disaster scenarios do not just stop with changes to local
> climates. There are also those dreaded `impacts', so beloved of the fringe
> elements of the Greenhouse Industry. For example, tropical diseases like Malaria
> have scourged millions of people since the dawn of time. With warming, will
> these diseases spread beyond the tropics? Yes, say the doomsayers. What of
> deserts? They will expand of course. Of course. Quite how diseases from the wet
> tropics can be expected to spread into the drying climates of expanding deserts
> is not explained. But then, consistency was never one of the Industry's strong
> points.
>
> There is however one shining bright spot with carbon dioxide (CO2), the trace
> gas at the centre of the whole scare. CO2 is a natural fertilizer to all plants,
> and its enhancement in the atmosphere will inevitably lead to greater biological
> productivity throughout the biological world. That's a hard one for the Industry
> spin doctors to contradict, but be assured they are working on it. The last
> thing they want is for a benefit, any benefit, to be seen to flow from CO2
> enhancement of the atmosphere.
>
> In summary, the Greenhouse industry has taken the climatic and related anxieties
> of every significant society in the world and structured the warming theory to
> deliver to each what they fear the most. Wherever you live, ask yourself what
> worries you most about the impact of climate and/or climate change on your life,
> and likely as not, that is exactly what the Greenhouse industry has painted for
> you.
>
> Once you have been scared enough, the magic snake-oil cure is at hand — by
> embracing Kyoto and the economic decline which would follow in its wake. Then we
> can all walk with shining eyes into the sunset of our liberty, entering the
> brave new world of Green bureaucratic control of every aspect of our personal
> lives.
>
> Return to The New Australian
Excerpts from the same source, different pages:
> Climate-change: bring on
> the Geoscientists, Part 1
>
>
> By *Bob Foster
> No. 133, 13-19 September 1999
>
> Our climate is a series of nested cycles, ranging from the Glacial/Interglacial
> at 100,000-year periodicity down to El Nino warm events with irregular
> occurrence at intervals of less than a decade. A feature of many such
> fluctuations, at least in the regions of their greatest influence, is the often
> abrupt change between climate states. Although much is still unknown about the
> ultimate cause of such variations, at the scale of millennia and centuries
> climate is driven by ice, oceans and atmosphere acting in concert, and not by
> the atmosphere alone.
And:
> Climate-change: bring on
> the Geoscientists, Part 2
>
>
> By *Bob Foster
> No. 134, 20-26 September 1999
>
> A look at the near term
>
> A reasonably-comprehensive system of climate-related surface observation has
> been in place, at least on land in the Northern Hemisphere, since the middle of
> the 19th century. It was only in the late 1950s that comprehensive temperature
> measurements in the atmosphere began, using thermometers borne on weather
> balloons. Even here, both coverage and frequency were biased toward the land
> areas of the Northern Hemisphere.
A<>E<>R
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