-Caveat Lector-

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Diane posted the following article in the Labmaster Board

Dated  : October 14, 1999 at 17:08:32
Subject: HELLO!- Critical EQ Windows

Look what just popped into critical.  Snuck up on even me. Hint, check out
LS

 >LS-NORTH SAN FRANCISICO TO TIP OF ALUETIANS/+4.8 at S.F./100%
 >PR PR DATE CRT.DATE MAG POSSIBLE LOCATION
 300MS 9/25/94 10/14-22 10+ if off Seattle

This could ruin the plans of the World Traders meeting in Seattle, 30Nov-.
There could be NO Seattle by then.

This is the longest duration PR of any of the PRs across all areas and I
have long wondered at this.  Why should the greatest quake the world has
seen in many years be set for LS?  Will this be the time?  There are two
older LS PRs, shorter in duration and they shoud occur first.  However, they
will not be back into critical until 11/6 and 12/19 respectfully.  Still, LS
covers a lot of land mass and this makes a big difference in knowing the
magnitude.  The 10MM which matched up with the 5.0 in Bolinas could have
produced a 6.6+ in Alaska.

USGS just released a report on San Fransisico today, stating that the city
is on ground zero for a large quake, which they define as 6.7+ and that this
quake has a 70% chance of occurring within the next 30 years.  So much for
EQ prediction.  But that magnitude gives more credence to the remaining long
duration PRs.  The 60MM- could produce this quake in S.F, but not until
12/19 at least.  The 300MS, now in critical, could produce this and much,
much more in force.  At least, a 7.5 in S. F. if my calculating is anywhere
near correct.  We get pass this time and we won't have to worry about this
quake until 1/9.  Which reminds me, there won't be a single PR across all
the areas which will come into critical on 1/1.  But there will be eight PRs
in critical on the first day of the new century.  We should remember that
then.

 >TR-FAR NORTHEAST/+4.6/100%
 Out of critical until 11/19 for anything larger than 4.6.
 >RS-NORTHRIDGE TO SAN JOSE/4.4/100%
 Out of critical until 10/21 for anything greater than 4.4 in Northridge.
 >RB ARC - RIDGECREST TO N. GULF OF CAL./+4.2/50%
 Out of critical until 10/21, which as everyone knows, watching everyday, RB
seldom is.

 >C L. A. BASIN-SOUTH COAST-/+4.0/+50%
 120 3/30/94 10/11-19 +7.4 if Palos Verdes fault

 Some thoughts on this in my post below OK.

 >LB-S. CAL COAST NORTH/50%
 20MS 6/22/94 10/-14 +5.0 if off Santa Barbara

 >B- BAJA COAST/5.0/50%
 Out of critical until 11/2 for anything larger than 5.0.

 >TL-RING OF FIRE/WORLD OUTSIDE OTHER AREAS/+6.3/100%
 45MM 1/12/96 10/8-16 +7.7 if Samoa
 90MM 1/17/96 10/13-21 +8.5 if Alantic Ocean

 >TL S RANGE SPIKES IN CRITICAL: Two S- and One S

 >For my history and 7.0 hits, July, August and September hits.
 >http://www.basicso.com/~diane/index.html


We are about to go on a Journey. All Aboard
http://sites.netscape.net/gsussnzl/homepage
Bargain Books
http://bn.bfast.com/bfast/click/mid1349732?siteid=10734186&bfpage=b

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