-Caveat Lector-
http://www.engr.utexas.edu/cofe/governance/r_part05.html
Global Warming
The idea of global warming entered the
world in 1896 when Svante Arrhenius, a
Swedish scientist, postulated that the
elevation of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere
would eventually result in global warming.
The scientific communitypaid little attention.
In the 1970s, Dr. Stephen Schneider and
others postulated that elevated carbon
dioxide in the atmosphere was causing global
cooling, and articles appeared that warned of
a coming ice age. In 1971, Paul Ehrlich stated:
"The continued rapid cooling of the earth
since World War II is also in accord with
the increased global air pollution
associated with industrialization,
mechanization, urbanization, and an
exploding population, added to a
renewal of volcanic activity . . . ."49
Science magazine's March 1, 1975, issue said:
"According to the Academy [National
Academy of Sciences] report on climate,
we may be approaching the end of a
major interglacial cycle, with the
approach of a full-blown 10,000-year ice
age a real possibility . . . with ice packs
building up relatively quickly from local
snowfall that ceases to melt from winter
to winter."50
In the 1980s, global warming again became
the rage. The United Nations Environment
Program (UNEP) held a conference in
Toronto and then created the
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
(IPCC). Then-Senator Al Gore convened a
hearing at which James Hansen testified that
he believed the current heat wave was the
first sign of anthropogenic (human-induced)
global warming. In 1990, then-Senator
Timothy Wirth (now Undersecretary of State
for Global Affairs) said: "We've got to ride
the global warming issue. Even if the theory
of global warming is wrong, we will be doing
the right thing, in terms of economic policy
and environmental policy."51 Richard
Benedick, an employee of the State
Department, said: "A global climate treaty
must be implemented even if there is no
scientific evidence to back the green house
effect,"52 And Dr. Stephen Schneider told a
group of scientists, "We have to offer up
scary scenarios, make simplified, dramatic
statements, and make little mention of any
doubts we may have. Each of us has to decide
what the right balance is between being
effective and being honest."53
There is little or no reliable scientific data to
support the global warming theory. The
theory is based on computer models which
the IPCC has revised downward three times
since 1990. In November, 1995
world-renowned climatologists and other
scientists met in Leipzig, Germany. The
conference document they adopted, known as
the Leipzig Declaration, says " . . . most
scientists now accept the fact that actual
observations from earth satellites show no
climate warming whatsoever. Based on the
evidence available to us, we cannot subscribe
to the so-called "scientific consensus" that
envisages climate catastrophes . . . ."54
The NRPE literature sent to the churches
makes a strong case for political action based
on the global warming scare. A chart
measuring the century-long increase of
carbon dioxide in the atmosphere is
dramatically presented as the basis for the
computer projections of global warming.55
The publication failed to print, however, a
diagram showing the actual global
temperature during the same period. Those
diagrams are readily available from a variety
of legitimate scientific sources. They all
reveal that the actual global temperature
declined during the second half of the
century, during the period of sharpest
increases of carbon dioxide. Where the actual
science fails to support the "enlightenment",
the science is ignored.
The UN Framework Convention on Climate
Change is an example of public policy that
has been adopted on the basis of
"enlightenment" rather than on the basis of
scientific evidence. It appears that the
paradigm shift has moved away from the
anthropocentric, and close enough to the
biocentric world view, that the 1992 United
Nations Conference on Environment and
Development (UNCED) actually adopted the
following principle as a part of the Rio
Declaration:
"Principle 15: In order to protect the
environment, the precautionary approach
shall be widely applied by States
according to their capabilities. Where
there are threats of serious or irreversible
damage, lack of full scientific certainty
shall not be used as a reason for
postponing cost-effective measures to
prevent environmental degradation."56
As written and adopted, �threats� do not have
to be verified or confirmed, simply declared.
Global warming has been declared to be a
"threat" by Al Gore and Timothy Wirth, both
of whom were instrumental in organizing the
NRPE, andby the United Nations
organizations, on the basis of what can best
be described as "biocentric enlightenment."
19 April 1999
Murchison Chair of Free Enterprise
College of Engineering at UT Austin
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