-Caveat Lector-
>From The Times (UK)
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Wednesday November 10 1999 OPINION
Previous: Anthony Howard | Other links | Next: The Times Diary From their own
correspondent
Chamsoudin Mamaev in Kommersant Vlast Caucasus belli Links
In the Northern Caucasus, it is not Islamic extremists who direct or finance
the rebels. There are other forces, much more influential and much more
respectable, who have no interest in introducing Islamic law.
Dagestan was condemned to war two years ago when two world powers entered into
pitiless competition. The Caucasus became their battleground. In August 1997,
the CIA had a secret meeting with Madeleine Albright on the subject of Caspian
oil. After listening to them, Madeleine Albright decreed that taking charge of
the future of this region would be "one of our most exciting tasks".
A few days later, Bill Clinton honoured with his presence the signing ceremony
of a petrol deal between the President of Azerbaijan and the oil company Amoco.
President Aliev returned home happy and the US decreed the Caucasus to be a
zone of strategic American interests.
Between a southern route for the oil pipeline, from Baku to Ceyhan on the
Mediterranean coast of Turkey, and a northern one to Novorosisk via Grozny, it
was the former which was chosen. In parallel, however, an opposite system was
being set up, launched by oil-producing Arab countries.
They struck at the weakest part of the American operation, the pipeline
project. Washington's project from Baku to Ceyhan via Tbilisi is the least
profitable of all possible choices. The only reason why the Americans preferred
it is that they want to ensure that the West has a supply of energy which is
independent from Russia and from the Moslim world, especially from the Arab
countries and Opec.
Shortly after the pipeline was opened from Baku to Soupsa on March 23, Opec
decided to cut its production. Chechnya was the first to apply the resolution:
it closed the taps on March 30. Russia started to transport petrol through
Dagestan: the rebels appeared soon afterwards.
When one thinks that in the meantime the price of petrol has doubled, this
means of stopping oil production is worth millions of dollars. But what does
Allah have to do with all that?
Copyright 1998 Times Newspapers Ltd.
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