-Caveat Lector-

Also from the Cloaks and Daggers list. Unofficial analysis of an intelligence
officer in France.


I would like to preface this by saying that what follows is purely
speculation on my part, an analysis gleaned from open sources; but it
might be useful and stimulate further comments on this web site.

After researching different reports on the crash of this flight, I tend
to think it was due to a criminal act, probably of terrorist origin. It
has been well reported that suicide is against the Islamic religion
(haram) and I tend to rule it out. My reasoning is, that if he wanted to
suicide, crashing the plane, why didn't he wait until he was scheduled to
take control of the plane some two hours after he did? He would then
have been well over the middle of the Atlantic, in very deep water, out
of radar range, making it impossible to find the wreak or know what
happened. Nobody would have suspected suicide and his family would have
not been dishonored by such an act. Further, if he was at all suicidal,
I suspect he would have taken his life in a solitary way and not bring
down a plane load of innocent people including his friends.

Now, if he was acting under a terrorist contract, it would make sense to
crash the plane in an area where evidence could one day prove a
terrorist act. It is a fact that the recent trend in terrorist acts has
been to keep them nearly anonymous, so as to avoid direct retaliation
and to heighten the fear factor by being purposely murky - accenting the
fear of the unknown. Eventually, governments draw their own
conclusions on who or what organization was responsible for an attack,
but they are rendered helpless to respond due to the obscureness of the
evidence. Thereby, the terrorist group passes on their "message" by way
of this unconventional instrument of state policy, with almost total impunity.

Why Egypt Air? The timing implies a terrorist action. The height of
Egyptian tourist season is approaching, as is the millennium holiday
excursions to that ancient region. What better time to sabotage the
Egyptian state tourist industry than now? The flight also had many
Americans aboard and since we know a holy war (jihad) has been declared
against the USA by Islamic terrorist factions, it adds a motive to the supposition.

The relief co-pilot in question, Gamil al-Batouti, seems to have
deliberately taken over the controls from the co-pilot at the time of
the crash, and in a very determined manner, according to the voice
recorder. Then the pilot, Ahmed al-Habashi leaves the cockpit, leaving
Batouti in control of the aircraft. The autopilot is disconnected,
engine power reduced (not cut or it would raise the alarm). Then the
plane is deliberately put into a steep decent (producing chaos and
reducing the chance of someone regaining control). Shortly thereafter the
pilot returns and asks "What's going on?" and tries to bring the
aircraft out of the dive by pulling back on the stick, but can't because
controls are working at cross purposes. Finally, the engines are cut
off, using the cut-out switch, then the air breaks are activated - all
sure methods to provoke a crash and the very contrary reaction to
recover control.

I purposely downplay the disputable phrases Batouti pronounced many
times during
this incident, leaving that to the work to the translators and
interpreters. While it adds to the suspicion of foul play, it is not yet
essential evidence and is still under discussion, while the actual
events clearly
speak for themselves.

While Batouti does not fit the typical terrorist profile, allegedly he
was spending over his means when out of the country. And since terrorist
profiling is freely available to nearly anyone, it makes sense a
terrorist organization would chose someone who does not fit the type.
Furthermore, terrorist cells are now recruiting among the middle and
upper class. Jihad has gone not only anonymous but classless.

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spread throughout the spectrum of time and thought. That being said, CTRL
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be wary of what you read. CTRL gives no credeence to Holocaust denial and
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Let us please be civil and as always, Caveat Lector.
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