-Caveat Lector-

 --------forwarded message--------
 From: Karolyn Martin <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
 Date: Thursday, December 23, 1999
 Subj: *** Israel's Shame ***     --safire--

 December 23, 1999

 ESSAY / By WILLIAM SAFIRE

 Israel's Shame
 ------------------------------------------------------------

 WASHINGTON -- Li Peng, China's hardest-line Communist leader --
 the man famed for ordering the Tiananmen massacre -- was feted
 in Israel this month.

 After a visit to the Holocaust memorial, Foreign Ministry
 officials took him to the Israeli Aircraft Industries facility
 near Ben-Gurion Airport.  He inspected a Russian-built plane,
 owned by the Chinese, on which Israel is installing an advanced
 AWACS battle-management system called the Phalcon.

 Israel is charging a quarter of a billion dollars for the
 aerial reconnaissance radar installation, and has a contract
 for three more.  It's a lucrative deal.  It may also be the
 biggest geopolitical blunder any Israeli government ever made.

 Free Chinese on Taiwan have no such high-altitude early-warning
 system.  Combined with the new long-range and surface-to-air
 missiles being installed by China in Zhangzhou, its Israeli
 purchases will give it a "qualitative edge" in any military
 confrontation in the Taiwan Strait.  That would include, of
 course, new ability for China to look down on and target any
 U.S. warships sent to discourage invasion.

 Why is Israel, a small democratic nation threatened by powerful
 neighbors, helping to menace Taiwan, another small democratic
 nation threatened by a nearby tyranny?

 Prime Minister Ehud Barak has been ducking me on this (Shimon
 Peres and Yitzhak Rabin were more courageous about facing
 embarrassing questions), but here are the reasons behind
 Israel's amoral policy:

 1. Arms exports enable Israel to improve its own defenses.
 Besides, America's Boeing and Loral have done more to build
 Beijing's military than all other nations combined.

 2. China offers a huge market for Israeli technology; moreover,
 its position on the U.N. Security Council offers big-power
 diplomatic engagement long limited to the U.S.

 3. Israel has avoided the transfer of technology it received
 from the U.S. to any third party without clearance; Phalcon
 avionics were Israeli-developed.  And the U.S. for years did
 not object to Israel's efforts to follow the U.S. into the
 Chinese arms market.

 4. China's vast network of human intelligence agents can,
 better than U.S. satellites, relay secret information to Israel
 about North Korea's sales of missiles to Iraq and Russia's
 nuclear development of Iran.

 That's the case for Israel's supply alliance with China against
 Taiwan.  Here is the case against:

 This flies directly in the face of United States security
 interests.  When China last threatened Taiwan, President Clinton
 was forced to put two U.S. aircraft carriers into the strait.
 When that happens again, American forces will be directly
 threatened by Chinese air, naval and missile forces emboldened
 by Israel's Phalcon battle management.

 That's why the Senate Foreign Relations chairman, Jesse Helms,
 long a supporter of Israel, wrote to its government privately
 on Nov. 17:  "The Pentagon has informed me that this system may
 be more advanced than the U.S. AWACS and will definitely
 enhance China's power projection capabilities. ... United States
 security will be put at risk by the Phalcon and other Israeli
 sales to Beijing."

 Though candidates for U.S. president today are fearful of
 raising this question, American supporters of Israel want to
 know:  If Israel tips the technological military balance
 against a democratic American ally in Asia, why should the U.S.
 guarantee that Israel continue to have a "qualitative edge" in
 the Middle East?

 Throughout the cold war, Israel and America were together on
 the side of freedom.  In the coming superpower rivalry in Asia,
 will Israel choose neutralism?  And when the multibillion-dollar
 bill comes in to subsidize a settlement with Syrians and
 Palestinians, will Israel's prime minister seek economic aid
 from his big new Asian customer?

 Let's talk tachlis, Yiddish for "brass tacks":  If the freedom
 of an island with 22 million souls is of no concern to Israel,
 the world will care even less about 6 million Jews getting
 pushed into the sea.  Israeli survival has one dependable
 guarantor, and the powerful U.S.-Israel alliance is nothing
 without its moral dimension.

 That's why some of us hope that after being shown around the
 Holocaust museum and the Phalcon plant, the "butcher of
 Beijing" did not get an idea for the final solution to the
 Taiwanese question.



 --------------------------------------------------------

     Copyright 1999 The New York Times Company






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