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http://www.acronym.org.uk/19nukes.htm

Ongoing Speculation about missing Russian 'Suitcase Nukes'

Disarmament Diplomacy -- Issue No 19

In late September, Alexander Lebed, Russia's former chief of national
security, repeated his assertion, first made earlier in the month, that
Russia may have 'lost' up to
100 1-kiloton 'suitcase-sized' nuclear bombs. Speaking in Tokyo on 22
September, Lebed said that despite unequivocal denials of his claim by
the authorities, "the
problem still exists." "Unfortunately," he added, "some people chose to
protect their name or laugh off the issue." He repeated his view of the
gravity of the situation:
"These are ideal weapons to conduct nuclear terrorism... We must
seriously look for them or else humankind cannot rest in peace."

Lebed revealed that he was investigating the matter when he was
dismissed by President Yeltsin (October 1996). This was corroborated by
another former official,
Vladimir Denisov, who told the Interfax news agency on 22 September that
he had headed an investigation team. According to Denisov, no missing
weapons had
been reported, but the investigation was incomplete - in particular, not
having yet covered the Baltic States, Ukraine or Georgia - when it was
terminated.

Also on 22 September, Alexander Yablokov, former advisor to the
President on environmental issues, made clear that the weapons Lebed
referred to had been
produced - though he did not say he agreed that some might be missing.
Speaking on the NTV television channel, Yablokov stated: "I talked to
those who did those
bombs. And I know that they exist." Yablokov had earlier made this claim
in a letter, dated 9 September, in the weekly newspaper Novaya Gazeta:
"The statement
by Alexander Lebed concerning suitcases with nuclear bombs is definitely
not groundless."

In Washington on 3 October, Yaklokov again insisted that the
suitcase-sized bombs did exist. Addressing the US House of
Representatives' Military Research and
Development Subcommittee, Yaklokov referred to the weapons as "atomic
demolition munitions" (see below). "I am absolutely sure that they have
been made," he
said. He went on to make the startling claim that they had been
developed not by the Defence Ministry but by the KGB - and that their
development was kept secret
from the Defence Ministry: "It was the KGB, not the Ministry of Defence,
that ordered it [the production]. They were never included in the
official list of Soviet
stockpiles."

Yaklokov's testimony was curtly dismissed by State Department
spokesperson James Rubin (3 October): "there is no evidence other than
hearsay to support such
claims; therefore, we give such claims little credibility... We have no
information or evidence suggesting that nuclear weapons were ever
developed for or put under
the control of the KGB." Rubin added:

"[Russia] continues to assure us that it retains adequate command and
control [of nuclear weapons] and that appropriate physical security
arrangements exist for
these weapons and facilities... We have no reason or evidence to doubt
these assurances."

Russian officials were indeed kept busy refuting the allegations. On 23
September, a government spokesperson, Igor Shabdurasulov, stated: "All
speculation about
the existence of such devices does not correspond with reality." The
same day, Defence Minister Igor Sergeyev told NTV television: "Nuclear
weapons are under
constant control. And today I, as a Defence Minister, have no fears."

On 26 September, Igor Valynkin, a senior Defence Ministry official,
averred that "nuclear suitcases have never been produced and are not now
being produced."
However, on 2 October, US Department of Defense spokesperson Captain
Mike Doubleday observed: "I think we are aware that the Russian nuclear
arsenal
contained atomic demolition munitions which some people define or
characterize as suitcase bombs. They are not really suitcase bombs since
it requires two people
to carry them, and they are not flat, so that they don't fit in
suitcases." Doubleday added: "We had munitions that were small like
that, also. They were tactical nuclear
weapons."

Reports: Ecologist - Russia had suitcase bomb, Associated Press, 22
September; Lebed insists nuclear bombs are missing, Reuters, 22
September; Russia
may have 'lost' nuclear bombs, Reuters, 22 September; Expert - Russia
may have lost suitcase nukes, Reuters, 23 September; Moscow denies
suitcase
bombs, Associated Press, 23 September; Official - Russia has no atom
briefcase bombs, Reuters, 24 September; Russia says it never produced
nuclear
suitcases, Reuters, 26 September; Department of Defense Briefing, 2
October; US sees no KGB role in Russia's nuclear arms, Reuters, 3
October; State
Department Briefing, 3 October; Russian scientist backs claim of
'suitcase nukes,' Reuters, 3 October.

� 1998 The Acronym Institute.
http://www.acronym.org.uk/19nukes.htm

Bard
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