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Peace at any cost is a prelude to war!

US Admiral: China Unlikely to Attack Taiwan
UPI
March 8, 2000

The top United States military officer in the Pacific says despite China's
tough rhetoric on Taiwan, he does not see any preparation for a large-scale
military operation or exercise, although China does continue to deploy
missiles that could reach the independence-minded island.
Nevertheless, Adm. Dennis Blair, commander in chief of U.S. Pacific Command,
said China cannot successfully invade and control Taiwan.

"They would not be successful in taking it and holding it," Blair said
Tuesday at the Pentagon. "I think that's the military reality underlying
where we are right now, and that's what underlies the move toward a peaceful
resolution" of reunification with Taiwan.

"They are capable of doing a lot of damage to Taiwan with the several hundred
missiles that they have, with the navy and the air force that they have," he
said. "Any sort of conflict in that part of the world would cause a lot of
damage and casualties," he said.

Moreover, such a campaign is unlikely in his estimation, because it will
cause "terrific economic hardship," which would be contrary to China's goals
for economic growth.

"China's top priorities have to do with economic and technological reform and
taking care of its people, and it knows that conflict would destroy all of
the progress it is making in trying to join the world economy," he said.

Blair visited Beijing just three days after China issued its controversial
"white paper" on Taiwan, which threatened to use force if Taiwan did not
agree to a schedule to begin reunification with mainland China.

"Their statement on the white paper is something they believe. They think
force is the ultimate weapon in their tool kit, but I don't see near-term
sorts of preparation to use it," Blair said. "I think the present signs are
positive, in the near term."

-- Copyright 2000 by United Press International. All rights reserved.






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