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-------- Original Message --------
Subject: Ex-IMF Head Confesses Russian Disaster
Date: Sat, 11 Mar 2000 23:26:38 -0600 (CST)
From: Michael Eisenscher <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
Organization: ?
To: undisclosed-recipients:;

"Russia's transition to a market economy wasn't
anywhere near as successful as was thought. Output
today is 50 perecnt of what it was at the start of the
transition. Poverty has increased dramtically....The
strategy of focusing on privatization and not focusing
on inequality has made the principles of democracy far
weaker...."
_______________________________________________________

   BUSINESS NEWS

Western Lending To Russia Fails To Foster Reforms

NEW YORK, Mar 9, 2000 -- (Reuters) Western lending to
Russia has failed to foster desired reforms and
international financial institutions should consider
curbing what looks like a long-term dependency on
foreign aid, the World Bank's former chief economist
said on Wednesday.

Joseph Stiglitz, speaking at a forum on aid to Russia,
said he backed some of the ideas in a congressional
commission's report, released earlier in the day, that
said the International Monetary Fund should stop
long-term lending and focus on short-term emergency
financing.

"I think the recommendations ought to be taken quite
seriously that the IMF should not be involved in what
has turned out to be a long-term lending situation,"
said Stiglitz, who resigned from the bank last year
saying he wanted to speak his mind.

"Russia's transition to a market economy wasn't
anywhere near as successful as it was thought. Output
today is 50 percent of what it was at the start of the
transition. Poverty has increased dramatically.

"The strategy of focusing on privatization and not
focusing on inequality has made the principles of
democracy far weaker than they might have been," he
said.

WEST NEEDS TO STAY INVOLVED

But the deputy head of the IMF department dealing with
Russia, Gerard Belanger, argued the IMF had achieved
success as well as failure in Russia, and said the
West needed to remain involved in Russia's move to a
market economy.

"Should the IMF remain engaged with Russia? That
question is asked only by those who see things in two
colors, black and white," said Belanger, another
panelist at the forum. "But there are many shades of
gray."

He said Russia had achieved improvements in fiscal
revenues, authorities were beefing up tax collection,
strengthening oil prices had buoyed revenue from
exports and the IMF was able to influence policies
during negotiations on loan programs.

But Belanger said the economic plans of Vladimir
Putin, likely successor to former President Boris
Yeltsin, remained "a question mark".

"(Putin) praised direction of policies over the last
two years as being suitable for the Russian model, so
maybe the government will continue the economic
reforms already in place but without a comprehensive
program in mind," Belanger said.

RUSSIAN REVIVAL BEGINS

The IMF and World Bank have pumped tens of billions of
dollars into the Russian economy in the eight years
since the Soviet Union fell apart.

But economic output is only just beginning to revive
from a long and painful slump and millions of Russians
live below the poverty line.

The most spectacular failure came in the summer of
1998 when, weeks after winning a multi-billion dollar
rescue deal, Russia defaulted on some debt and
devalued its ruble currency.

A year later the IMF resumed lending to Russia but
this money was to settle old Russian debts to the Fund
and payments were halted again last year because
Russia was not meeting the program's structural
conditions.

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