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-------- Original Message --------
Subject: OIL: Hints of Supply Hikes Fail to Drive Down Prices
Date: Mon, 13 Mar 2000 21:40:31 -0600 (CST)
From: IGC News Desk <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
Organization: ?
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       Copyright 2000 InterPress Service, all rights reserved.
          Worldwide distribution via the APC networks.

                      *** 10-Mar-0* ***

Title: OIL: Hints of Supply Hikes Fail to Drive Down Prices

By Luis C�rdova

CARACAS, Mar 10 (IPS) - Venezuela's Energy Ministry reported
Friday a more than one dollar rise in oil prices this week, which
indicated the market's apparent indifference to signals from the
Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) of
willingness to begin to ease production caps.

OPEC will make its final decision on production quotas on Mar
27 in Vienna, at a meeting anxiously awaited by traders in a
market that has posted the highest prices seen since the 1990 Gulf
War.

The price of the US benchmark West Texas Intermediate (WTI) has
held steady above 30 dollars a barrel since late February,
followed closely by Brent, which also shot above the 30-dollar
mark earlier this month.

Several OPEC members like Saudi Arabia, Venezuela and Kuwait
have expressed interest in achieving a stable market, and thus
agree that production should be gradually increased in order to
meet demand and reduce the pressure driving up prices.

Even Iran, which initially wanted to extend the production
cutbacks for a few more months, has apparently come round to the
idea of boosting supply, according to reports in Caracas.

Mexico, which a year ago agreed with OPEC on the need for
cutbacks to shore up slumping prices, has recently expressed its
support for the idea of lifting the strategy of production quotas.

Several OPEC spokespersons have said they would be satisfied
with a price of 20 to 25 dollars a barrel.

But prices are currently far above that level, as indicated by
a weekly bulletin on price developments issued by Venezuela's
Energy Ministry, which put this week's average WTI price at an
average of 32.30 dollars per barrel, five dollars higher than
January's average of 27.15 dollars.

In March 1999, when the strategy of cutbacks by OPEC and non-
OPEC members began to be applied, the price of WTI stood at 10 to
12 dollars a barrel - which means its price has risen threefold in
the past 12 months.

Brent, meanwhile, sold this week at an average of 30.34 dollars
a barrel, compared to 29.21 dollars last week and 25.26 dollars in
January.

The OPEC reference basket stood at 29.21 dollars this week,
1.30 dollars above last week's price, while it sold for 24.58
dollars a barrel in January.

Venezuela's basket of crudes fetched 28.90 dollars this week,
1.17 dollars above last week's price, and sold in January for
23.37 dollars - a far cry from the March 1999 price of seven
dollars a barrel.

But the success of the strategy designed to drive up prices has
caused serious problems for consumer countries, which have
insisted on the need for production hikes in order to bring prices
down to a more moderate level.

US Energy Secretary Bill Richardson met with his counterparts
from oil-producing nations, including several OPEC members, to
discuss agreements on production increases in order to meet the
deficit in supplies, today estimated at two million barrels per
day.

But while the signals of willingness to increase production did
not drive prices down, they did heighten expectations regarding
the decisive meeting OPEC will hold towards the end of the month.

OPEC countries that have already announced their support for
increasing production have clarified that a final decision by the
cartel will not be reached until the Vienna meeting.

Others, like Algeria and Libya, have backed the idea of
extending the strategy until the middle of the year, a period when
prices tend to fall.

At a meeting on oil in Miami, Venezuelan Energy Minister Al�
Rodr�guez commented Thursday that he also expected demand to fall
by 2.5 million barrels, a factor that could weigh heavily when it
comes to increasing supplies. (END/IPS/tra-so/lc/dm/sw/00)

Origin: Montevideo/OIL/
                              ----

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