-Caveat Lector-   <A HREF="http://www.ctrl.org/">
</A> -Cui Bono?-

>>Of course, all of this would have been avoided had Mr Bush (Geo Sr) kept his
promise about "no more VietNams" {note:  VN was about from 1964-73; Iraq has
been from 1990-2000; anyone got cost comparisons -- including Ops Provide
Everything?} and went ahead and won the war.  You'd'a thunk someone could
figure out one can't eliminate a disease by just treating (masking) the
symptoms; the cause has to be routed / rooted out.  We see this AGAIN in
Kosovaria.  This is analogous to any virulent strain of anything that has
developed a resistance to antibiotics ...  A<>E<>R <<
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
>From Swans.Com

Via Antiwar.Com

{{<Begin>}}

c o m m e n t a r y
Trade liberty for safety or money and you'll end up with neither. Liberty, like
a grain of salt, easily dissolves.
The power of questioning -- not simply believing -- has no friends. Yet liberty
depends on it.

"Believe nothing, no matter where you read it, or who said it, no matter if I
have said it, unless it agrees with your own reason and your common sense."
--Buddha

Note from the Editor:  SPECIAL EDITION ON IRAQ  We are privileged to bring to
you a highly researched and extensively documented analysis on the economic
sanctions against the population of Iraq, by Swans' contributor Drew Hamre.
Here is again a solid piece that the main media keep refusing to publish. To
support Hamre's analysis, I write about what those sanctions really mean in
human, emotional terms, and how they are treated by Officialdom, in From Iraq
to Serbia, Burying the News and our Humanness with it.  In this short piece I
ask that you take a moment and send Hamre's piece to your local paper and write
to your elected representatives. Please, consider doing so. In addition, I
review the deafening silence in the main media in regard to Kosovo, in
Madeleine Albright: "We Did The Right Thing."  Will the innocents, the
powerless, remain voiceless for ever, thrown into misery and oblivion for the
very few of us on Earth to enjoy a comfortable day at the Mall? Will we keep
remaining oblivious to the suffering we create over and over again? Will we
ever begin to resist and to answer the call of our humanness? I ask you.

April 2, 2000
Another Tap-Dance If You Please, Mr. Rubin
by Drew Hamre

"To appreciate nonsense requires a serious interest in life." -- G. Burgess

Last September -- shortly after UNICEF released its bone-chilling survey of
child mortality in Iraq -- the U.S. State Department launched a publicity
offensive against (can this possibly be right?) Saddam Hussein. [1]

UNICEF had estimated an excess 500,000 Iraqi children had died since economic
sanctions began, and evidence was mounting that America's policies were
complicit in this epic disaster. The UN's Humanitarian Coordinator for Iraq,
Denis Halliday, had resigned to protest an embargo he now termed "genocidal".
Other disturbing news began to register with the public. The government had,
with Dickensian timing, picked the Christmas season to threaten a Catholic
relief group with charges of "delivering toys and medicine" to the children of
Iraq. No-fly zone bombings - ostensibly to protect the populace from Saddam -
began to kill civilians with disturbing frequency. Despite this, the American
mind recoiled at the notion of a public relations duel with Saddam, the Hammer
of the Ayatollahs, the Beast of Baghdad. How unseemly! But the battle
continues. [2]

Last month -- after an additional pair of high-ranking UN officials resigned in
disgust (Halliday's successor and the head of the World Food Program), after 70
Representatives protested economic sanctions, after Democratic House Whip David
Bonior (MI) termed our Iraq policies "infanticide masquerading as policy" --
the State Department's dashing spokesman, James Rubin, again renewed the PR
offensive and tried to re-focus the spotlight on Saddam's brutal regime. Thus
turns the spin cycle in Washington, D.C. Another tap-dance if you please, Mr.
Rubin. [3]

However, as Secretary General Kofi Annan has since admitted (Star Tribune,
March 25), "We are in danger of losing the argument, or the propaganda war --
if we haven�t already lost it -- about who is responsible for this situation."
Mr. Annan is too self-serving by half. The argument has been lost, and the
propaganda war is collapsing as a consequence.

As evidence, consider the past week or so of mainstream British media, where
the BBC has twice led its 9-O�Clock Nightly News with sanctions reports, where
ITV aired John Pilger�s gut-wrenching 90-minute indictment of sanctions to 3-
million viewers, and where The Guardian, The New Statesman, and The Independent
have each delivered a stinging series of articles.

The walls of silence are tumbling in our country, too. Last week, the press-
watch group FAIR took the highly unusual step of targeting a single reporter
for criticism, documenting a two-year pattern of "journalistic malpractice" by
the New York Times� Barbara Crossette. The single most influential reporter
covering Iraq, Ms. Crossette has time and again shaded her reports to obscure
the Iraqi tragedy, to deflect the blame, and to dehumanize the victims. In one
disgusting report, Ms. Crossette went so far as to imply that the grief of
Iraqi mothers was somehow synthetic, played for political effect. [4]

Given the receptivity of such reporters, it�s understandable that the State
Department�s briefings have a certain careless arrogance. The most recent
contains little news. It gallops into town crying "palace-building" and "oil
smuggling", but it rides a gimpy, beaten horse.

The pretext for Mr. Rubin�s presentation is a set of freshly declassified
satellite photos of Saddam�s palaces (and this in itself is ludicrous, as you
can download your own satellite imagery of Baghdad to 2-meter resolution from
the Internet). Mr. Rubin cites a figure of 2-billon dollars for palace
construction, forgetting that this too is old news, planted in the press as far
back as 1996 (Thomas Friedman�s article in the Times, October 13). Nor is it a
particularly impactful sum, reflecting as it does WPA-like local expenditures
in a country starved for hard currency and imported items. After all, the
palaces are built with Iraqi cement (which they used to export), and Iraqi
labor (critical to a collapsed economy where unemployment can exceed 75%). And
more to the point, they were not built with oil-for-food funds, to which Saddam
has absolutely no access. [5]

Contrast this with the more than 7-billion dollars that have been siphoned from
oil-for-food to pay compensation and administrative costs. Our State Department
feigns outrage over mid-90�s "news" of Iraqi government buildings, yet it
resists all attempts to adjust the compensation payments to large oil companies
and the Kuwaiti royals: last summer�s disbursements included $2.2 billion to
Kuwait Oil Co. and $506 million to Saudi Arabian Texaco). The Anglo-Dutch draft
of the most recent Security Council resolution sought to allow humanitarian
loans from this Compensation Fund; however, even this miserly gesture was
withdrawn at the insistence of the U.S. and isn�t in Resolution 1284. [6]

Wealth flows unevenly, sometimes justly, sometimes not. In this, there is no
surprise and certainly no indictment particular to Baghdad.

Smuggling? For years, Iraqi tanker trucks have openly waited in 18-mile queues
for entry into the Turkish frontier. For years, non-OFF traffic has flowed
unchecked between Iraq and Jordan through Trebil. That Iraqi oil is smuggled
and that Saddam benefits is hardly secret and hardly news. These particular
smuggling routes are, in fact, tacitly supported by the U.S. because they
benefit our allies (and Iraq�s historical trading partners), Jordan and Turkey.
This is a cynical exercise: Mr. Rubin stirs old, ersatz mud, intending to blind
us to the new protests, resignations, and disclosures. [7]

What is Mr. Rubin arguing? Is he arguing that Saddam is vile? The world knows
this. Is he arguing that Saddam could do more to improve the conditions in
Iraq? The world knows this. Mr. Rubin labors to state that to which Warren
Zevon danced: in times of desperation, it's connections, guns, and money that
hold the whip hand. We embargoed Iraq and the Ba'athists consolidated power as
a matter of course. What did we expect? [8]

Absurdly, we expected revolution. From inception, the sanctions have been
pitched with deliberate harshness with the intent containing Iraq and provoking
regime change. 'Make the Iraqi people sufficiently miserable', our government
thought, 'and we will contain Iraq without political risk and end the reign of
Saddam Hussein.' Evidence of our intent abounds, in the meager oil-for-food
revenue caps, the roadblocks placed before international aid workers, the
constant low-density bombing, and the disruptive import holds. The latter are
especially damaging; for example, it was reported this past winter that Iraq's
electrical supply would leap 50% if import holds were released. [9]

We held a civilian population hostage to pressure a dictator to leave office.
We punished 23-million for the crimes of 4000. And once this course was set,
our hands were bloody.

Despite this, Mr. Rubin argues that Saddam is to blame for the disaster in
Iraq. Perhaps he is unaware that the U.S.-negotiated wording of the latest
Security Council Resolution flatly states the "fundamental objective" of
sanction's proposed suspension is "improving the humanitarian situation in
Iraq". The resolution itself therefore admits to the causative link between the
sanctions and Iraq's humanitarian disaster.

Consider this: Iraq in 1990 had endured a decade of Saddam Hussein and was just
emerging from a bloody war with Iran, yet it had a standard of living
approaching that of Greece. Today, after nearly 10-years of sanctions, Iraq has
collapsed into sub-Saharan poverty. [10]

Does no one in the State Department remember the consequences of Versailles?
Sensible policy would end the economic embargo, extend the military sanctions
while encouraging regional disarmament, all the while engaging and re-
developing Iraq. But when questioned on de-linking economic and military
sanctions, Mr. Rubin could only note, as he did last August, that conditions in
UN-controlled Iraqi Kurdistan are better than in the UN-monitored, Saddam-
controlled south. He argues causality: that Saddam has manipulated conditions,
causing depredation to force an end to sanctions.

But the true story is not this simple, nor as comforting to the American
conscience. UNICEF's executive director, Carol Bellamy, explained the
differences in Iraqi mortality rates as follows: the Kurdish north has been
receiving humanitarian assistance for longer than the remainder of Iraq,
agriculture in the north is better, and evading sanctions is easier. In
addition, the north receives 22% more per capita from the Oil for Food program,
and gets about 10% of all UN-controlled assistance in currency, while the rest
of the country receives only commodities. The north also benefits from the aid
of 34 Non-Government Organizations, while in the whole rest of the country
there are only 11. [11]

Moreover, Mr. Rubin's focus on regional differences obscures a larger truth:
the situation in northern Iraq remains dire. Today's under-five mortality rate
for northern Iraq is roughly equivalent to the rate observed in the whole of
Iraq 20-years ago. The current under-five mortality rate for northern Iraq --
72 -- remains more than double the rate for most neighboring countries. For
example, the rate for Saudi Arabia is only 30; for Iran, 37; for Syria, 34; and
for Jordan, 25. [12]

These are bloodless statistics, but they mask a vast human tragedy. A single
point's increase in these rates represents an annual toll of hundreds of
children who would be hale but became ill; who visited the hospital instead of
their friends; who were buried rather than returning home. Mr. Rubin implies
these results are the intention of our policies ... that the figures for
Northern Iraq illustrate how sanctions should "work".

These words should haunt Mr. Rubin as he retires from government service, still
young and fleet of wit, a handsome man with a glamorous wife (CNN�s Christiana
Amanpour), a corrupt man who used his celebrity to quell the press and charm
them from an ugly truth.

So again, Mr. Rubin, another pirouette if you please. But you are dancing on
the bodies of children.
===
[1] UNICEF's massive survey of 40,000 Iraqi households was released August 12,
1999; (see http://www.unicef.org/reseval/iraqr.htm.) The State Department
responded almost immediately in a press conference with Assistant Secretary
Elizabeth Jones' (see http://www.usia.gov/regional/nea/gulfsec/jones813.htm).
The major response, though, came on September 13, in a report and briefing by
State Department Spokesman James Rubin and Assistant Secretary Martin Indyk
(report: http://www.usia.gov/regional/nea/iraq/iraq99.htm; transcript:
http://www.state.gov/www/policy_remarks/1999/990913_indyk_rubin.html). The
characterization - "publicity offensive" -- was actually used by the Washington
Post: "U.S. Says Saddam Diverts Aid" by John Lancaster, September 14, 1999;
Page A19.
[2] UNICEF's 'excess death' estimate is detailed in the report section, "A note
on the estimation of under-five deaths" (see above link). Also see Ms.
Bellamy's prepared statement at http://www.unicef.org/newsline/99pr29.htm.
Assistant Secretary General Denis Halliday - a man of immense dignity and
integrity -- ended a 34-year diplomatic career to protest sanctions.
Transcripts of his speeches are available here (http://www.scn.org/ccpi/, here
http://welcome.to/casi/, and here http://www.leb.net/iac/denis.html. Voices in
the Wilderness has organized repeated trips to Iraq; they were threatened with
fines totaling well into six-figures on December 27, 1998
http://www.nonviolence.org/vitw/hearthevoices.html. AFP estimates the no-fly
zone bombing have claimed 156 lives since the end of Desert Fox... roughly
equivalent to the toll for the Oklahoma City Bombing (168).
[3] The Campbell/Conyers protest letter and the signatories are available at
http://www.adc.org. The UN resignations were of Count Hans Von Sponeck (the UN
Humanitarian Coordinator for Iraq) and Jutta Burghardt (head of the World Food
Program in Iraq). Count Von Sponeck�s resignation ended a 32-year diplomatic
career. Bonior's quote was reported by both the BBC and the Washington Post
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/WPlate/2000-02/25/097l-022500-idx.html.
Rubin's briefing occurred February 29, and is available here (transcript:
http://secretary.state.gov/www/briefings/0002/000229db.html) and here, as an
update to the earlier report, "Saddam Hussein's Iraq"
http://www.usia.gov/regional/nea/iraq/iraq99.htm.
[4] FAIR�s report is here: http://www.fair.org/extra/0003/crossette-iraq.html.
Ms. Crossette�s imputation of synthetic grief came in her summary of the UNICEF
report (�"Children's Death Rates Rising in Iraqi Lands, Unicef Reports" by
Barbara Crossette, August 13, 1999).
[5] The satellite photos are available from http://www.terraserver.com/ (just
plug Baghdad into the 'Find' box). The 2-billion figure appeared in a Thomas
Friedman article in the New York Times on October 13, 1996, Page E-13 (see
Footnote 90 here: http://www.ndu.edu/ndu/inss/books/sanctions/chapter1.html).
[6] The latest oil-for-food financials are available on the UN�s �Office of the
Iraq Programme� site (http://www.un/org/depts/oip/). The disbursements were
listed in an AP story dated July 13, 1999: �UN Awards $2.8 Billion to Oil Cos.�
The Anglo-Dutch draft and an analysis of SCR1284 are available on CASI�s site:
http://www.welcome.to/casi/.
[7] The 18-mile traffic jams at the Turkish border were reported by The
Economist (February 12th-18th, 2000) in the article, "One man's joy in Iraq".
The unchecked crossing at Trebil was recounted in an interview with Hans Von
Sponeck (http://www.scn.org/ccpi/vonsponeck.html).
[8] It is, of course, actually "Lawyers, Guns, and Money" by Zevon.
[9] Contract holds on imported goods have been a repeated source of friction
between UN officials and the U.S. Refer to the numerous reports of the Office
of the Iraq Programme, online at http://www.un.org/depts/oip/. The remark about
Iraq's electrical supply was made by the head of the program, Benon Sevan, in
the '180 Day Report' released in November, 1999.
[10] SCR-1284 appears here: http://www.un.org/Depts/oip/scrs/scr1284-99.htm.
The statement of causality occures in Section D, Paragraph 33. The Security
Council commissioned a special panel to report on the humanitarian effect of
sanctions, and their report (published March 30, 1999) contains exhaustive
comparisons of Iraq prior to the Gulf War versus today. See
http://www.un.org/Depts/oip/panelrep.htm)
[11] Ms. Bellamy's comments were reported by the Associated Press, August 12,
1999. The remaining information is per personal communication with Professor
Richard Garfield of Coumbia University. Garfield is an epidemiologist who
studies the health effects of sanctions; he can be reached at [garfier@cuson-
sph.cpmc.columbia.edu]; his office phone is 212-305-3248.
[12] Mr.Rubin's briefing for August 12, 1999
(http://secretary.state.gov/www/briefings/9908/990812db.html): "It is our view
that the fact that in Northern Iraq, the infant morality rate is improving with
the same sanctions regime under the rest of Iraq shows that in places where
Saddam Hussein isn't manipulating the medicines and the supplies, that this
works." Data for Iraq's north and center/south are from UNICEF's recent
surveys, available online at http://www.unicef.org/reseval/iraqr.htm. From each
region's respective report, data are pulled from "Table 3" on page 10. Under-
five mortality rates are as follows:
   Iraq's Center/South        Northern Iraq
1994-99       131                     72
1989-94        92                      90
1984-89        56                      80
1979-84        67                     104
Non-Iraq statistics are from http://www.unicef.org/statis/index.html. As a further 
frame of reference, the USA's U5 mortality rate is 8; the UK's, 7.
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
Drew Hamre is a peace activist from Minnesota. He can be reached at 
[EMAIL PROTECTED]

This Week's Other articles
>From Iraq to Serbia,
Burying the News and our Humanness with it - by Gilles d'Aymery
Madeleine Albright: "We Did The Right Thing." - by Gilles d'Aymery

Resources on the War in Yugoslavia and its Aftermath

Articles Published on Swans Regarding the War in Yugoslavia and its Aftermath


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