(As Jupiter and Saturn barrel toward conjunction in May --remember
"5-5-2000"?-- marking the end of one 20-year socioeconomic cycle and the
beginning of another.)

     Says Joe Battipaglia, chief investment strategist at Gruntal & Co.,
"This particular correction has the same feel as the one in the summer and
fall of 1998, which was the bottom of the Asian financial crisis" ...
Likewise, he said, this week's decline was "not much different from the 'Big
One' in 1987 -- sharp, steep, quick ...''

     "The whole world is ready today for stocks to crash,'' said the top
trader at J.P. Morgan in New York

      Gold jumped more than 2 percent last week, the biggest gain in months.
"People are jumping out of stocks and into gold,'' said Carlos
Perez-Santalla, president of Hudson River Futures in New York.  "Gold is
being counted on as 'disaster insurance'.''

     A senior analyst at Renaissance Capital Corp.'s fund for initial public
offerings adds, despite his optimism,."[In coming days], there will be a lot
of people in pain.''


Look for `People in Pain' as US Stocks Tumble: David Wilson

Princeton, New Jersey, April 14 (Bloomberg) -- Where does it all end? Anyone
with money in U.S. stocks had plenty of reason to ask that question after
witnessing today's carnage.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average recorded its largest one-day point drop
ever, and erased most of its gains since mid-March as a result. Intel Corp.,
American Express Co. and Procter & Gamble Co. each skidded more than 8
percent.

The Nasdaq Composite Index fared worse. Its drop was not only the largest
ever in points, but also the largest since the October 1987 crash in
percentage terms. In addition, this week's decline was the biggest on record.
The index has fallen by more than a third since surpassing 5000 just five
weeks ago.

``Right now we are in a bear market,'' said Randall Roth, senior analyst at
Renaissance Capital Corp.'s fund for initial public offerings. ``There will
be a lot of people in pain.''

Investors in the Nasdaq's largest companies, as represented by the Nasdaq 100
index, certainly know the feeling. Almost half of the index's stocks fell 10
percent or more. Five of them, led by BroadVision Inc. and Applied Micro
Circuits Corp., retreated more than 20 percent apiece.

Giving Back Gains

The Dow industrials tumbled 617.78 to 10,305.77, surpassing the 554.26-point
drop in October 1997, when ``circuit breakers'' designed to limit the
market's losses went into effort for the first -- and so far the only -- time
ever.

Although the latest setback wasn't as steep in percentage terms, the
average's 5.6 percent decline ranked as the largest since August 1998. None
of its 30 stocks rose.

Intel, also a major contributor to the Nasdaq's plunge, fell 10 5/8 to 110
1/2. American Express declined 12 9/16 to 133 7/14 and Procter & Gamble lost
6 7/16 to 62 5/8.

Between March 14 and Tuesday, the average climbed a total of 1476 points.
Today's decline, coupled with losses the previous two days, erased about
two-thirds of that advance.

The Standard & Poor's 500 Index, a broader gauge, fell a bit more in the
market's latest retreat. The index declined 83.20, or 5.8 percent, to
1357.31. Only two out of its 107 industry groups, precious metals and
casinos, moved higher.

So far this year, the Dow average is down 10.3 percent and the S&P 500 is
down 7.6 percent. Neither loss quite compares with the 18.4 percent retreat
in the Nasdaq Composite, the high-flier among benchmark U.S. indexes during
the past couple of years.

This week's numbers are enough to tell the story. While the Dow and the S&P
500 both had gains earlier this week, the Nasdaq retreated day after day: 5.8
percent on Monday, 3.2 percent on Tuesday, 7.1 percent on Wednesday and 2.5
percent on Thursday.

`20 Percent Club'

The index's 9.7 percent setback today ranked second only to its 11.4 percent
plunge on Oct. 19, 1987, the day of the market's ``Black Monday'' crash.
Today's 355.49-point decline brought its losses for the week to 25 percent.
Its close of 3321.29 compared with a record 5048.62 on March 10.

BroadVision, a Redwood City, California-based producer of software for
electronic commerce, tumbled about 45 percent for the week, including a 26
percent decline today to 29 3/4. It surged as much as 24-fold in the
preceding 15 months.

Applied Micro Circuits, a maker of high-speed semiconductors for fiber-optic
equipment, had a similar reversal. The San Diego- based company, which surged
as much as 18-fold between the start of 1999 and the end of March, lost more
than half its value this week. The stock slid 22 percent to 71 1/2 in today's
trading.

Other members of the Nasdaq 100's ``20 percent club'' were CMGI Inc., an
Internet investment company, which declined 14 3/16 to 52 1/16; Qlogic Corp.,
a maker of semiconductor products, which retreated 16 1/2 to 62 1/2; and
Atmel Corp., a maker of chips for computers and telecommunications equipment,
which dropped 10 1/8 to 39 5/8.

When it came to falling stocks on the Nasdaq, though, few compared with
Emulex Inc. Shares of the Costa Mesa, California- based maker of networking
equipment lost almost half their value as analysts expressed concern about
slowing sales growth and increasing competition. They tumbled 41 1/4 to 41
11/16.

Where DOES it all end, anyway? And just how much pain will investors have to
take?

Apr/14/2000   17:26
(C) Copyright 2000 Bloomberg L.P.



US Treasuries erase CPI losses as Nasdaq nosedives

By Andrew Priest

NEW YORK, April 14 (Reuters) - U.S. Treasuries prices ricocheted on Friday,
first plunging on stronger-than-expected inflation data, then moving higher
as the technology-stocks roller-coaster threatened to come off the rails.

``You're seeing reallocation out of equities into Treasuries which together
with the prospect of more (government debt) buybacks is supporting Treasuries
despite the fact that the Fed is probably going to continue to tighten,''
said Bill Kirby, co-head of government trading at Prudential Securities.

Treasuries initially blanched at a robust March Consumer Price Index reading,
which showed a 0.4 percent gain in core prices, which exclude volatile energy
and food prices, and an overall 0.7 percent rise.

Government issues then pared most of their post-data losses as a fresh plunge
in technology shares again boosted the appeal of Treasuries. By midday the
Nasdaq was down 8.2 percent.

``The world is ready for stocks to crash today, so there are no shorts left
in the market and there are people left with some stuff to sell,'' said Tom
Connor, head trader at J.P. Morgan in New York, explaining why Treasury bonds
were still in negative territory despite stocks being far lower.

Thirty-year bonds were 5/32 lower at 106-7/32, pushing their yield up to 5.81
percent. Two-year notes, most sensitive to the interest rate outlook but also
the major beneficiaries of short-term flows from weak stocks, were up 3/32 at
100-11/32 to yield 6.30 percent.

Ten-year notes were down 6/32 at 104-12/32, yielding 5.91 percent. Five-year
notes were up 4/32 at 98-27/32 to yield 6.17 percent.

``We expect the Treasury buybacks to begin again next week which makes people
nervous about being short. Being short in the Treasury market has not been a
good way to make money recently and weakness in equity markets just makes
people nervous,'' said Hamilton Davis, a director of government trading at
First Union Securities.

In the past few weeks, fixed-income markets have traded in inverse fashion to
stocks, with money flowing into the safe haven of government securities as
equity markets fell.

Major U.S. stock market indicators including the Dow Jones industrial
average, the S&P 500 and the broader Wilshire 5000, are now lower than their
levels at the end of last year.

On top of that, the tech-heavy Nasdaq was down for the fifth straight session
in early trade, with the Dow 30 testing lower levels.

``Equities, equities, equities,'' said Michael Pianin, a Treasuries trader at
Fuji Securities, referring to the major focus of government bond markets this
morning.

Economists polled by Reuters had forecast a 0.5 percent gain in CPI in March,
the same increase as in February. They expected the core rate would nudge up
0.2 percent.

Separately, March U.S. industrial production rose 0.3 percent versus a
consensus forecast by economists of a 0.2 gain.

Despite rising output, capacity utilization levels were at 81.4 percent of
maximum levels, slightly lower than the 81.5 percent reading in February and
indicating that no bottlenecks were emerging which could generate inflation
down the road.

The most recent batch of economic data, released just a day after
stronger-than-expected sales by retailers, will keep investors focused on the
likelihood of a stream of additional interest rate hikes by the Federal
Reserve in coming months.

Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan said on Thursday that market interest
rates, particularly long-term corporate bond yields, were moving in the right
direction, an indication that the Fed's current cycle of tightening is having
an impact.

Greenspan made his remarks in testimony on the future of the securities
markets before the Senate Banking Committee. The Fed chief was scheduled to
speak again on Friday on the subject of ``Technology and Financial Services''
at noon (1600 GMT).

Bill rates were unchanged.

13:10 04-14-00



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