----- Original Message -----
From: "Soren" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
To: <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
Sent: Friday, July 07, 2000 12:33 AM
Subject: (50 Years) India: IMF Urges Faster Reforms


> ECONOMY-INDIA: IMF URGES FASTER REFORMS
> By Ranjit Devraj
>
> NEW DELHI, Jul. 4 (IPS) -- The Indian government is under pressure from
the
> International Monetary Fund (IMF) to speed up economic reforms that some
> fear could seriously harm the country's small-scale industry.
>
> After consultations between Fund directors and representatives of Prime
> Minister Atal Bihari Vajpayee's Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP)-led
government,
> the IMF has demanded opening up of India's highly protected small-scale
> industry and further tariff reductions.
>
> However, economists warn that complying with the IMF's demand means that
> thousands of small-scale industrial units, sustained by government
> subsidies, would be edged out by cheap imports from countries like China.
>
> Fund directors said in their report that India could gain from the growing
> globalization of goods and capital markets only by "more rapid
deregulation
> of the industrial and agricultural sectors."
>
> According to the Fund, the present economic environment allows the
> government with a rare opportunity to press ahead with economic reforms in
> key areas.
>
> The IMF directors were optimistic that India, buoyed up by a revival of
> exports, increased industrial output and a surge in domestic demand, would
> enjoy a growth rate exceeding the 6.25 percent it forecast in May.
>
> This tallies with the seven percent growth forecast by the Asian
Development
> Bank (AsDB) which rates India as one of Asia's three fastest growing
> economies along with South Korea and China.
>
> When Fund chairman Horst Kohler visited India in June, he was optimistic
> that India could reach an eight to 10 percent annual growth rate, provided
> the reforms were accelerated.
>
> India's economic growth has been helped by its 13th successive good
monsoon
> that is expected to yield a 42 million-tonne foodgrain surplus by the end
of
> the year.
>
> In April, conforming to commitments made to the World Trade Organization
> (WTO), India lifted quantitative restrictions on 714 items, including
> consumer goods. The government also pledged removal of restrictions on
> another 815 reserved items by April 2001.
>
> The directors of the Fund, in their report also called for a drastic
> widening of the tax base by reducing exemptions and bringing the services
> sector into the tax net.
>
> Presently, less than two percent of the one billion Indians pay income
tax.
> However, widening the tax base needs considerable political will from a
> multi-party ruling coalition that depends heavily on powerful regional
> parties.
>
> The Fund also wants the federal government to tighten up lending to the
> state administrations to check a yawning budget deficit. It wants the fund
> transfers to be linked to financial performance of the states.
>
> Against a 5.75 percent federal deficit budgeted by the Vajpayee government
> in 1999-2000, the deficit grew to seven percent which, the Fund noted, was
> mainly on account of government salaries and debt servicing.
>
> Looking at the 2000-2001 budget, the Fund said despite measures to boost
tax
> receipts and reduce food and fertilizer subsidies, deficit reduction would
> be "marginal at best."
>
> As part of its bid to raise funds, the government decided, this year, to
> reduce its ownership of several "blue-chip" public sector companies,
> including the national carrier Air India and the domestic Indian Airlines.
> The disinvestment is expected to fetch $2.5 billion this year.
>
> But criticism from Left parties and the BJP's own associates that champion
> economic nationalism, have forced the government to put off disinvestment
in
> other profitable state ventures in telecom and automobiles.
>
> The proposed privatization of India's 200-odd public sector enterprises is
> also being fiercely resisted by trade unions of employees in these
> undertakings who fear lay-offs.
>
>
> Successive governments since then have been criticised for mismanagement
of
> "social safety net" funds provided by multilateral funding agencies to
help
> workers affected by the restructuring of state enterprises.
>
> When India began its reforms nine years ago, the World Bank financed a
$500
> million National Renewal Fund meant to help retrenched workers find new
> skills and placements. But most of the money was used for "golden
> handshakes."
>
>
> ===========================================================
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