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Saddam cancer fear spurs rivals

BY MICHAEL THEODOULOU AND GILES WHITTELL


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PRESIDENT Saddam Hussein of Iraq, the world's most resilient leader,
is seriously ill and thought to have cancer, according to reports
from Baghdad.
Word of his deteriorating health will intensify a power struggle
between his two sons and undermine the myth of invincibility that he
has carefully fostered during two decades of autocratic rule.

"We know Saddam is unwell and understand it may be cancer, but we
don't know how bad it is or how long he can go on for," an Iraqi
businessman in Jordan said. Other well-connected Iraqi travellers,
who are not connected to opposition groups, have made similar claims
in recent days.

Ordinary Iraqis, too, have been speculating about Saddam's health
since he made a far shorter than usual address to his countrymen last
week to mark the 32nd anniversary of the coup that brought his Baath
Party to power. He did not refer directly to his long stand-off with
the West and spoke in almost mystical terms, comparing the Baath
revolution to "the smile of a baby, the prayer of a hermit and rain
falling on parched land".

Dressed in a dark suit and tie for the televised speech, the 63-year-
old Iraqi leader appeared haggard but there were no other signs of
illness. His hair, as usual, was dyed a virile jet black.

Rumours that Saddam has cancer have circulated before but have proved
impossible to confirm, given the secrecy of his regime. The Iraqi
leader has always prided himself on a healthy lifestyle. He once
ordered Cabinet ministers to lose weight and took a well-publicised
dip in the Tigris River to demonstrate his political buoyancy during
a period of tension with the West.

The unconfirmed reports of his deteriorating health came as President
Putin welcomed Tariq Aziz, Iraq's Deputy Prime Minister, to the
Kremlin yesterday to discuss the lifting UN sanctions.

Proceeds from oil smuggling in the past ten years have ensured that
the regime remains immune from the suffering caused by sanctions.
There is little organised opposition within the country and Saddam's
Western-backed exiled opponents remain weak. Assassination attempts,
coup plots and an uprising in the wake of the 1991 Gulf War failed to
unseat him.

Any succession in the Iraqi regime is unlikely to be as smooth as
that in neighbouring Syria after the death in June of President Hafez
al-Assad. The reins of power in Damascus were passed uncontested to
his son, Bashar, a British-trained eye doctor.

The rivalry between Saddam's sons is compounded by his reluctance to
make clear which one will succeed him. Uday, 36, is portrayed by
defectors as a torturer, serial rapist and killer. The less mercurial
Qusay, 34, controls the intelligence and security apparatus.





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