Will Iraq Be Clinton's 'October Surprise'?
NewsMax.com Tuesday, Aug. 22, 2000
The United Nations is preparing renewed Iraqi arms inspections,
setting the stage for President Clinton to make a dramatic
pre-election military move if he wishes.
Would the president consider such an "October surprise"?
The opportunity, if not the temptation, would be there should it
appear during the coming two months that the presidential
campaign of Vice President Al Gore, the Democratic nominee, is
failing against the Republican nominee, George W. Bush.
The Clinton-Gore administration is not unaware of the powerful
argument that an incumbent political party can make: "Don't
change horses in the middle of an international military crisis."
And a few Washington observers, possibly without foundation,
suspect Clinton is not above finding a pretext to declare an
extraordinary national emergency and perhaps even try to suspend
the November presidential election, thus continuing his occupancy
of the Oval Office, at the expense of a constitutional crisis.
Here is the background, as reported Tuesday in the New York
Times:
� Nine months after saying it would resume arms inspections in
Iraq, the U.N. Security Council is ready to put a fresh
arms-inspection team on the ground in Iraq.
� An entirely new inspection organization � officially known as
the U.N. Monitoring, Verification and Inspection Commission � is
headed by Dr. Hans Blix, a Swedish arms-control expert who was
once director general of the International Atomic Energy Agency
in Vienna.
� This new organization, with members from 19 countries, is more
accountable to U.N. Secretary General Kofi Annan, with the
inspection team staff working directly for the United Nations
rather than for their own countries as before.
� It has been more than two years since American and British
aircraft bombed Iraq after President Saddam Hussein cut off all
cooperation with a previous group of inspectors.
� Since then, Saddam has said Iraq will not cooperate with any
new inspections.
� If Saddam refuses to let the inspectors do their job, that
leaves the United Nations with two options: Continue the present
sanctions against Iraq or resort once again to military force.
� Both George W. Bush's father, President George Bush, and
Clinton have taken military action against Saddam.
� If Iraq defies the United Nations again, it could happen right
in the middle of the 2000 presidential campaign.
� The Clinton-Gore administration would then be under political
pressure to act forcefully.
� If the Iraqi leader were to yield to U.N. arms inspections,
Clinton's successor � Bush or Gore � could be confronted with the
politically difficult decision of whether to go along with a
suspension of sanctions.
� Both presidential candidates would be on the spot to take a
position during the heat of the campaign.
� One unnamed "senior administration official" refused to rule
out the possibility of an "October surprise" of American military
action at the height of the presidential campaign, "should the
Iraqis provoke it."
� In the two years since U.N. arms inspectors were in his
country, Saddam has had ample opportunity to begin rebuilding his
arsenal of weapons of mass destruction.
Earlier this month, Congress received a Central Intelligence
Agency report that Iraq has already rebuilt its missile and
chemical weapons factories since the 1998 air strikes.
That could be the basis for a dramatic surprise move against Iraq
by Clinton before Election Day.
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Kadosh, Kadosh, Kadosh, YHVH, TZEVAOT
FROM THE DESK OF: <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
*Mike Spitzer* <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
~~~~~~~~ <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
The Best Way To Destroy Enemies Is To Change Them To Friends
Shalom, A Salaam Aleikum, and to all, A Good Day.
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