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Dimona Photographic Interpretation Report New high-resolution satellite imagery
provides important new insights into Israel's nuclear weapons capabilities. The
imagery of the Dimona nuclear reactor was acquired by Space Imaging
Corporation's IKONOS satellite on July 4th 2000 on behalf of the Public Eye
Project of the Federation of American Scientists. These new revelations,
coincide with a debate in Israel over nuclear weapons policy, prompted by the
June 2000 publication in Hebrew in Israel of Avner Cohen's book Israel and the
Bomb. Israel is by now the only nuclear weapons state that does not acknowledge
the fact that it possesses nuclear weapons.

The most significant finding derived from the new imagery is that Israel's
nuclear weapons stockpile probably consists of between 100 and 200 nuclear
weapons. Some previously published estimates had suggested that Israel might
possess as many as 400 nuclear weapons. We do not believe this is the case.
The Dimona nuclear reactor, in operation since early 1965, is the source of
plutonium for Israeli nuclear weapons. The number of nuclear weapons that could
have been produced by Israel can be estimated on the basis of the power level
of this reactor. Information made public in 1986 by Mordechai Vanunu, Frank
Barnaby and other analysts suggested that the reactor might have a power level
of at least 150 megawatts, about twice the power level at which is was believed
to be operating around 1970. To accommodate this higher power level, analysts
had suggested that Israel had constructed an enlarged cooling system.

An alternative interpretation of the information supplied by Vanunu was that
the reactor's power level had remained at about 70 megawatts,as French sources
had maintain (e.g. Pierre Pean), and that the production rate of plutonium in
the early 1980s reflected a backlog of previously generated material.

The cooling towers associated with the Dimona reactor are clearly visible and
identifiable in satellite imagery. Comparison of IKONOS imagery acquired in
July 2000 with declassified American CORONA reconnaissance satellite imagery
taken in the 1960's indicates that no new cooling towers were constructed in
the years between 1971 and 2000. This strongly suggests that the reactor's
power level has not been increased significantly during this period. Based on
plausible upper and lower bounds of the operating practices at the reactor,
Israel could have thus produced enough plutonium for at least 100 nuclear
weapons, but probably not significantly more than 200 weapons.

The new satellite imagery also provides insights into other aspects of Israel's
nuclear weapons capabilities. Israel could also use highly enriched uranium to
build nuclear weapons, or to increase the yield of nuclear weapons using
plutonium. Published reports suggest that beginning in the 1980's Israel began
work on at least two different techniques for production of uranium for nuclear
weapons; gas centrifuge and laser separation. Evaluation of several satellite
images provides probable indication of which buildings at Dimona may be
associated with such activities. The size of these buildings suggests, but
cannot prove, that Israeli uranium enrichment activities remain at a relatively
small scale. Israel does not appear to have built industrial-scale uranium
enrichment at Dimona facility. Existing pilot-scale facilities would not appear
to have the potential to substantially increase the total size of the Israeli
nuclear weapons stockpile.

A number of other structures and areas are visible in the new imagery, though
their functions are not entirely apparent. A probable nuclear waste disposal
area is visible about a kilometer from the main facility, as suggested by
previously published reports. It has long been reported that Dimona is defended
from aerial attack by a battery of Hawk anti-aircraft missiles, and a complex
possibly associated with such defenses is evident in the satellite imagery.

A rather larger nearby complex, constructed sometime between 1986 and 2000, may
possibly be associated with new defenses for Dimona, and may represent the
future site of either a Patriot or Arrow anti-missile battery. As many as four
Scud-derived missiles were fired towards the vicinity of Dimona by Iraq during
the 1991 Gulf War.

Click on the small image to view a larger version
CORONA IMAGERY
29 September 1971
Dimona - Overview

Dimona - Overview Click on the small image to view a larger version
SPOT IMAGERY
09 June 1986
Dimona - Overview

Dimona - Overview Click on the small image to view a larger version
IKONOS IMAGERY
04 July 2000
Dimona - Overview

Dimona - Overview
Facility Overview Click on the small image to view a larger version CORONA
IMAGERY
29 September 1971
IKONOS IMAGERY
04 July 2000
IKONOS IMAGERY
04 July 2000

Dimona-Facility Overview

Dimona-Facility Overview

Facility Expansion Overview
An examination of CORONA, SPOT and IKONOS imagery of the central part of the
Dimona complex reveals only modest change over the past 30 years. Although
dozens of smaller building have been build between 1971 and 2000, only two
medium size buildings measuring 26,500 and 30,100 square feet, have been added
since 1971. A larger 84,000 square foot building has been expanded to 103,700
feet as well. Click on the small image to view a larger version
CORONA IMAGERY
09 29 September 1971
IKONOS IMAGERY
04 July 2000

Reactor Detail

Reactor Detail
The cooling towers associated with the Dimona reactor are clearly visible and
identifiable in satellite imagery. Comparison of IKONOS imagery acquired in
July 2000 with declassified American CORONA reconnaissance satellite imagery
taken in the 1960's indicates that no new cooling towers were constructed in
the years between 1971 and 2000. This strongly suggests that the reactor's
power level has not been increased significantly during this period.
The Big Dig Click on the small image to view a larger version
CORONA IMAGERY
25 August 1963
CORONA IMAGERY
10 December 1965

1963 Excavation

1965 Excavation
Corona Imagery from 1963 and 1965 reveal a large excavation measuring 100 x 100
meters could have contained a large underground facility - possibly the Machon
2 reprocessing facility. The Israelis removed an estimated 66,000 to 81,000
cubic yards of soil.
IKONOS IMAGERY
04 July 2000

2000 - Excavation filled in
Later imagery shows Israeli efforts to fill and landscape the terrain where the
excavation took place. According to published reports the Israelis have taken
numerous camouflage, concealment, and deception measures at Dimona. This
excavation is consistent with this type of activity.
<
Click on the small image to view a larger version IKONOS IMAGERY
04 July 2000
Security Perimeter
IKONOS IMAGERY
04 July 2000
Low Level Waste Burial
IKONOS IMAGERY
04 July 2000

Security Perimeter Dimona is surrounded by three security perimeters covering
14 square miles (36 square kilometers), and over 22 miles (36 kilometers)of
fenceline. Each perimeter has an inner and outer patrol road. The inner most
perimeter has two security fences with a 40 foot (12 meter) exclusion zone
between.
There are at least three Entry Control Points (ECPs). The first is 300 meters
south of the Highway 29, the second is one Kilometer from the facility, and the
third at the edge of the inner perimeter.

Low Level Waste Burial
For years, Israel has reportedly buried low level radioactive waste at Dimona.
The waste is mixed with tar and encased in 200 liter barrels and buried a site
about one kilometer from Dimona.

Unidentified Areas
There are several interesting terrain features and building groupings at
Dimona. As of this writing, their purpose remains unclear.
Sources and Methods

FAS | Nuke | Guide | Israel | Facility | Dimona ||||
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http://www.fas.org/nuke/guide/israel/facility/dimona_pir.htm
Maintained by John Pike
Updated Friday, August 18, 2000 2:00:00 AM


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