WJPBR Email News List [EMAIL PROTECTED] Peace at any cost is a Prelude to War! Global warming or arctic freeze? David Montgomery and Richard Sadler GLOBAL warming, rather than making the weather milder and wetter, could plunge Britain into a mini ice-age "within a few decades", according to new scientific evidence. Research using ice cores in Greenland suggests that climate change in Britain and north-west Europe could happen far more quickly than in other parts of the world - and that the British climate could start changing rapidly. Contrary to the generally accepted notion that Britain will gradually become warmer as the planet heats up, the results of the study suggest that temperatures are more likely to plunge into an arctic freeze. In the worst-case scenario, the North Sea will freeze over during the winter and icebergs will drift as far south as Portugal - the kind of conditions experienced during the last big freeze 12,700 years ago. The western Highlands will be covered by an ice cap similar to the one covering Iceland, glaciers will appear in the Lakes District, Wales and the Pennines and the rest of England will be covered by permafrost. The findings, announced yesterday at the British Association Festival of Science in London by Professor John Lowe, of London University, open up the prospect of potentially catastrophic climate change within a human lifetime. Prof Lowe, the leader of a multinational team of scientists studying past climate changes just returning from Greenland, described the latest evidence as "startling". "The danger for the UK and parts of north-west Europe is that there’s an assumption that the climate is somehow going to get warmer as the world warms up," he said. "But some of these models suggest that north-west Europe will experience a rapidly alternating climate and my personal opinion is that there’s going to be a period of great instability which will be difficult for insurance companies and governments to respond to." Evidence gathered by Prof Lowe’s team from past climate patterns suggests that after a "false dawn" of warmer weather across the world, the massive Greenland ice sheet will melt, the polar ice front will move south-eastwards and Britain will be plunged into freezing conditions. The researchers extracted cores of ice from the Greenland ice sheet to a depth of 3,000 metres. Each contained perfectly-preserved layers of frozen ice representing snow falls from the past 1,500-2,000 years. These give vital information about the nature of past climate variations which Prof Lowe’s team has matched with data from seabed sediments. "It wasn’t until the publication of the first ice core records in the early 1990s that we began to realise just how quickly things could change," said Prof Lowe, a geologist at London University. "Now we’re making progress in the way we can pin this down - for the first time, we can get a better handle on the way the world has operated during previous climatic changes. "I don’t believe that within ten years we’re going to be wiped out or that we’ll all be in dire straits, but I do think that in 30 to 40 years we’re going to see a big difference. "You only need a small change of a degree or so to have a serious effect and obviously there is the potential for major disruption to agriculture and the economy." It is not clear why northern Europe should cool down, while the rest of the world heats up, but an important factor is thought to be the effect of ice melting from the Greenland ice sheet and other ice sheets in Iceland and Norway. The movement of billions of tonnes of melted fresh water on the surface of the north-east Atlantic could contribute to a sudden drop in temperatures. This in turn could abruptly bring a halt to the Gulf Stream, the warm water from the Caribbean which has kept the British climate relatively warm for the past 10,000 years. The government’s Natural Environment Research Council will shortly announce an initiative to study the ice core data so future climate change can be predicted more accurately. *COPYRIGHT NOTICE** In accordance with Title 17 U. S. C. Section 107, any copyrighted work in this message is distributed under fair use without profit or payment to those who have expressed a prior interest in receiving the included information for nonprofit research and educational purposes only.[Ref. http://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/17/107.shtml ] Want to be on our lists? 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