from:
http://www.economist.com/editorial/freeforall/current/index_ld9728.html
Click Here: <A
HREF="http://www.economist.com/editorial/freeforall/current/index_ld9728.html"
>The Economist</A>
-----
LEADERS

Euroshambles

  THE echoes from the 1970s and 1980s are becoming oppressive. Oil crises,
fuel shortages, street blockades and protests, currency woes, paralysed
governments, excessive taxes: to many observers, both within and beyond
Europe, it must seem as if the old continent is once again locked in the grip
of its old disease, eurosclerosis, which first struck a quarter of a century
ago, just after the 1973 oil shock. Was all the promise of Europe�s single
market and its new currency, coupled with the oft talked-of spread of
Thatcherite supply-side reforms across the continent, just an illusion?

The answer is no. And yet the past few weeks have rightly shaken confidence
in the new Europe. France�s government must take a good part of the blame for
the dramatic spread of fuel-price protests to other countries, because of the
concessions that it promptly and cravenly offered to the fishermen, farmers
and truck drivers who took to the streets at the end of August (see article).
But other governments have been clumsy and indecisive in their response�most
recently Britain�s, which experienced the most crippling protests this week
(see article).

The immediate row in many European countries has concerned fuel prices, and
in particular the taxes that are keeping them so much higher in Europe than
in America. So far, other European governments have wisely resisted following
the French example of promising, under duress, to cut or rebate their fuel
taxes. But none has made any fist at all of justifying their level.

Yet the argument for having high taxes on fuel, on both environmental and
energy-policy grounds, is strong. Indeed, a far more convincing economic case
can be made that America taxes its petrol too lightly than that Europe taxes
it too heavily. The burden on consumers is hardly excessive, either: even in
Britain, which has the highest fuel taxes in Europe, the real cost of
motoring has stayed more or less unchanged over the past 25 years.

By conceding that the proper focus for discussion should be the level of fuel
taxes, Europe�s governments have also allowed the bigger villains of the
piece, the OPEC oil cartel, to escape censure�with the big oil companies
sheltering behind OPEC (see article). The irony is that one reason for having
high fuel taxes in the first place was to reduce petrol consumption and
encourage conservation, so as to lessen dependence on the cartel.

European governments may have reached the politically acceptable ceiling on
fuel taxes; but they should be far more robust than they have been in
rebutting the arguments for cutting them. If anything, indeed, the case
against a cut should now be much stronger because it is being pressed not in
democratic debate but through illegal street protests. As Europe has learnt
so often and so painfully in the past, to cave in to such behaviour serves
only to encourage it.

A similar failure to communicate and tendency to dither under pressure have
marked the attitudes of Europe�s politicians to the weakness of their single
currency, the euro. Early this week, as the fuel-price protests spread, the
euro plumbed new depths against the dollar. Many voices are now proclaiming
that the single currency has �failed� and that Europe�s sickly economies are
doomed to be left behind by a resurgent America�and they do not come only
from hardened British Eurosceptics. Recent polls suggest that support for the
euro has sunk to new lows in Germany, and the Danish referendum that is being
held later this month on whether to join the euro now rests on a knife-edge.

Yet the facts argue against the euro pessimists. For one thing, the
currency�s weakness is overstated. But more important, it is wrong to assess
its success or failure only by reference to its level against the dollar. The
capital markets have taken to the euro with a vengeance: it is now the
currency of choice for many international-bond issues, for example. Its
decline against the dollar has yet to wreak any significant economic damage.
On the contrary, it has helped to boost Europe�s economies, which are growing
more lustily than they have for many years. Indeed, they now look more likely
to outpace than to lose further ground to the United States over the decade
to come (see article).

The blame game  Europe�s politicians like to blame the media or the markets,
but they should in fact be largely blaming themselves for creating the notion
of a currency, and a continent, in crisis. At the outset, far too many touted
the misconceived idea that a main justification for the euro was that it
would be so strong as to challenge or even to topple the overweening American
currency. This error has since been compounded by the politicians� failure to
speak with one voice (or, perhaps better still, not to speak at all) about
the currency�s value. Yet the real argument for the euro was that it would
boost economic growth by unleashing new forces of competition across Europe
that would foster more structural reforms to the continent�s inefficient
labour and product markets. This is precisely what has been happening, albeit
slowly and with little fanfare. Even tax reforms and tax cuts, hitherto
largely taboo because they may threaten Europe�s much-vaunted social model,
have started. But far from making a virtue of these structural reforms,
Europe�s political leaders have preferred to pretend that they are not
happening at all�even though it will be thanks to them that the single
currency is most likely to recover its zip.

The fault does not, in short, lie in Europe�s economies, which are doing
well; nor in its businesses, which are looking more competitive than they
have for many years past; nor in its workers, whose productivity performance
is poised to catch up with America�s. It lies mainly with the politicians,
who have proved unable to explain their (broadly sensible) policies to
voters, and unwilling to deal effectively with the intimidation of street
protesters. On reflection, it is no surprise that confidence in Europe has
been so shaky.



-----
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