-Caveat Lector-
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Date sent: Wed, 11 Oct 2000 16:32:21 -0400 (EDT)
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Subject: ACTION ITEM: Wallop Gallup
From: Libertarian Party Announcements <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
Send reply to: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
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URGENT ACTION ITEM!
FROM THE LIBERTARIAN PARTY
===============================================
Watergate Office Building
2600 Virginia Avenue, NW, Suite 100
Washington DC 20037
Website: www.LP.org
Email: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
For information about the party: (800) ELECT-US
===============================================
October 11, 2000
===============================================
Would you like to see Harry Browne included in the Gallup/USA
Today daily tracking poll? Then please read this message and TAKE
ACTION!
During this election year we have made tremendous headway in
getting pollsters to include Harry Browne's name in their surveys. And
that's crucial, because polls lead to news stories, which lead to votes
on Election Day.
Several major polls are already including Browne, most notably
Zogby/Reuters/MSNBC and Rasmussen's Portrait of America. That's a major
step forward, since this is the first election in which our presidential
candidate has been included in *any* of the major national polls.
For example, an Oct. 9 Reuters article, based on the latest
Zogby/Reuters/MSNBC tracking poll, noted: "Reform Party candidate Pat
Buchanan and Libertarian Party candidate Harry Browne each garnered 1
percent in the poll."
The day before, the same poll showed Browne *beating* Buchanan,
1 percent to zero percent. (That's right; Buchanan earned a big fat
zero!)
Yet the third major polling company -- Gallup -- refuses to
include Browne, even though it continues to include Buchanan. Why?
Can Gallup be excluding Browne in order to ensure "accuracy?"
Well, no. Both Rasmussen and Zogby have a better record of
accuracy than Gallup. In fact, Rasmussen was the most accurate in
projecting election outcomes during the presidential primary season,
with Gallup trailing behind both Rasmussen and Zogby.
Can Gallup be excluding Browne because he's not scoring high
enough?
No, because that wouldn't explain why Gallup continues to
include Buchanan.
Regardless of the reason, Gallup's continued refusal is bad
news for the Libertarian Party. Like it or not, Gallup is one of the
nation's most respected polling companies.
In fact, its presidential tracking poll is published every day
in the nation's largest newspaper, USA Today.
Now brace yourself, and read this question from the on-line
version of the USA Today-Gallup poll, which can be found at
www.usatoday.com/news/poll001.htm
"If the presidential election were held today and included Al
Gore and Joe Lieberman as the Democratic candidates, George W. Bush and
Dick Cheney as the Republican candidates, Pat Buchanan and Ezola Foster
as the Reform Party candidates, and Ralph Nader and Winona LaDuke as
the Green Party candidates, for whom would you vote?"
That's right: Buchanan and Nader are both mentioned, along with
their running mates, but not Harry Browne.
But it gets worse: Even though Buchanan has sunk to below 1
percent in Gallup's own poll -- so low that his total is denoted by an
asterisk! -- his name is still being mentioned by Gallup.
What the "experts" at Gallup seem to be telling Libertarians
and the rest of the country is that no matter how high Harry Browne
climbs, or how low Buchanan falls, Buchanan is in; Browne is out.
That needs to change.
As a first step, LP Press Secretary George Getz phoned Frank
Newport, a vice president at Gallup, and asked why Browne was being
excluded. Newport replied:
"We make our decisions about whom to include based on many
factors, such as the name recognition of the candidate; how they
perform in trial heats; and finally the editorial judgment of the
people in charge, like me. For further details I would refer you to our
website."
"But," Getz asked, "As far as name recognition goes, Buchanan
has far more of it -- yet he's scoring below Browne in the polls.
Wouldn't that indicate that Browne actually has enough support to merit
inclusion?" Newport's response?
"We make our decisions about who to include based on many
factors, such as the name recognition of the candidate; how they
perform in trial heats; and also the editorial judgment of the people
in charge, like me. For details I would refer you to our website."
"Are you at least including Browne's name in the trial heats?"
Getz asked.
"Not at this time," Newport said. "We are simply including
Bush, Gore, Nader and Buchanan as the choices. For details I would
refer you to our website."
"But how can your respondents possibly choose Browne if he's
not included on the list?" Getz asked.
"Gallup does periodically give new people a chance to get on
the list by asking an open-ended question," Newport said. "For example,
we might ask, 'Do you support Bush, Gore, Nader, Buchanan -- or some
other candidate?' If a given name starts showing up at a certain level,
we start including that name on our list as well. Or if a name drops
below a certain level we may exclude it."
"And what is the level for including a new candidate, or
excluding a current one?" Getz asked. "Because I noticed that
Buchanan's support is now denoted by an asterisk."
Pause.
"We make our decisions about who to include based on many
factors, such as the name recognition of the candidate. . . . "
"I know," Getz interrupted. "But as far as asking the open-
ended question goes, do you sometimes leave out the name of Buchanan or
Nader, and rotate in the names of other candidates, just to be fair?
For example, you might ask: 'Do you support Bush, Gore, Browne, Hagelin
- -- or some other candidate'? That way you can let them volunteer
Buchanan's name instead of Browne's, and see how the two compare?"
Pause.
"No, we do not. We make our decisions about who to include
based on many factors, such as the name recognition of the candidate;
how they perform in trial heats; and also the editorial judgment of the
people in charge, like me. For details I would refer you to our
website."
Getz continued: "Is it possible that your reason for mentioning
Buchanan and not Browne falls under the rubric of 'editorial judgment'?
And if so, can you give us some idea about what that entails?"
"Yes, that would fall under editorial judgment," Newport said.
"For details I would refer you to our website."
"Is it also possible," Getz asked, "that certain pollsters and
reporters reflexively mention Buchanan, regardless of how he's doing,
simply because they are fixated on celebrity rather than substance?"
Pause.
"And are you aware that if Browne shows up ahead of Buchanan on
Election day, you might be rather embarrassed?" Getz asked.
Newport: "We make our decisions about who to include based on
many factors, such as the name recognition of the candidate; how they
perform in trial heats; and also the editorial judgment of the people
in charge, like me. For details I would refer you to our website."
"Are you also aware that Rasmussen, who predicted most
accurately the results of the presidential primaries, includes the name
of all third party candidates? For details I would refer you to THEIR
website."
Longer pause.
"Perhaps you should congratulate Rasmussen," Newport said. "Our
decision is unlikely to change. But I can tell you that it is based on
many factors . . . "
Well, you get the idea.
With the presidential election just 27 days away, it's vital
that Browne be included in as many major national polls as possible.
Especially the influential Gallup/USA Today poll.
That's where you can help. If you think Harry Browne deserves
to be treated the same as Pat Buchanan, please call Gallup and tell
them so. Mr. Newport's phone number and e-mail address are listed
below.
If you want Gallup to know how you feel, phone calls will get
the most attention. Emails will also be powerful. You may want to use
both. (Just in case Mr. Newport's in-box gets full, you might want to
cc your message to his deputy, David Moore, a senior editor at Gallup.)
Let's all do our best to get Harry Browne included in the
Gallup poll!
And in the event that you speak with Mr. Newport on the phone
and he seems unfamiliar with the Libertarian Party, feel free to refer
him to OUR website.
Sincerely,
Steve Dasbach
National Director
Libertarian Party
Contact information:
Frank Newport, Vice President, Gallup
Phone: (609) 924-9600 ext. 241
E-mail: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
David Moore, Senior Editor, Gallup
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
Phone: (609) 924-9600 ext. 234
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In accordance with Title 17 U.S.C. section 107, this material
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The only real voyage of discovery consists not in seeking
new landscapes but in having new eyes. -Marcel Proust
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
The libertarian therefore considers one of his prime educational
tasks is to spread the demystification and desanctification of the
State among its hapless subjects. His task is to demonstrate
repeatedly and in depth that not only the emperor but even the
"democratic" State has no clothes; that all governments subsist
by exploitive rule over the public; and that such rule is the reverse
of objective necessity. He strives to show that the existence of
taxation and the State necessarily sets up a class division between
the exploiting rulers and the exploited ruled. He seeks to show that
the task of the court intellectuals who have always supported the State
has ever been to weave mystification in order to induce the public to
accept State rule and that these intellectuals obtain, in return, a
share in the power and pelf extracted by the rulers from their deluded
subjects.
[[For a New Liberty: The Libertarian Manifesto, Murray N. Rothbard,
Fox & Wilkes, 1973, 1978, p. 25]]
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