-Caveat Lector-

[I guess that if a threat is vague, then it's OK to go ahead and
lower your guard.]


http://www.freerepublic.com/forum/a39e7e6d643be.htm


U.S. Officials Tell of Getting Warning Last Month, but Say It Was Too Vague

By STEVEN LEE MYERS



WASHINGTON, Oct. 13 � The United States received a general
warning of a possible attack on an American warship last month,
senior defense officials said here today, but the warning lacked
detail and did not specify the country in which to expect the
attack.

"It was a question of how directly you could tie it to a certain
place," one of the officials said. Since the warning, reported by
an intelligence source in the Arab world, was not specific
enough, "it got put on the shelf."

Nor was it clear that the warning could have stopped what
officials described today as a sophisticated suicide bombing.
While the Cole's crew had extensive training in repelling an
overt attack by a small boat and even had extra sailors on watch
on Thursday, the attack was so meticulously disguised and carried
out that the officials said there was little the crew could have
done to stop it.

But as new details emerged on the attack today, the developing
American investigation focused on the Yemeni contractor hired to
refuel American warships at the port in Aden, and on
unsubstantiated claims of responsibility by two Islamic
organizations, officials here said. At this point, they said, it
is premature to speculate on who may have been responsible,
noting that there were many suspects.

As the first teams of criminal investigators and experts arrived
in Yemen, the officials said the contractor, whom they declined
to identify, was the immediate focus because the harbor boat that
exploded beside the Cole on Thursday, killing 17 sailors, had
been taking part in routine refueling operations at the port.

It was not clear what, if any, security procedures were in place
to screen the contractor, and officials attributed responsibility
variously to military commanders in the region, the Pentagon's
logistics agency and the American Embassy in Sana, the Yemeni
capital. Officials declined to discuss the matter, saying it was
being investigated.

A group called the Islamic Army of Aden claimed responsibility
for the bombing, and officials said that while they had not yet
confirmed the authenticity of the claim, they took it seriously.
The group has been linked to terrorist attacks including the
bombing of a hotel in Aden and the kidnapping of tourists, the
officials said. A senior defense official said the claim was
"sort of elliptical," but another official who attended a
classified briefing on Capitol Hill on Thursday night, said it
appeared credible. "It passes the straight-face test," the
official said. "This wasn't just a guy with a Web site."

The Pentagon spokesman, Kenneth H. Bacon, said today that
officials had ordered a review of security procedures for
refueling stops like the Cole's. In addition to the installation
in Aden, American ships also regularly stop at a port outside
Djibouti, officials said.

"Every tragedy like this provokes a period of reflection, and
there will certainly be review and reflection after this one,"
Mr. Bacon said.

Agents from the Federal Bureau of Investigation began arriving in
Yemen today, the first of them from the bureau's office in Cairo,
and more were expected to pour in over the weekend. Officials
said forensic examination of the damage, which will identify the
type of explosives used, had already begun. Other agents were
concentrating on who might have had access to the harbor boat, as
well as on information about the Cole's brief stop in Aden.

Adm. Vern Clark, the chief of naval operations, said the Yemeni
government had been notified of the visit 10 to 12 days in
advance. A defense official said that by Wednesday, the day
before the Cole arrived, it would have been widely expected in
port.

"If you want fresh fruit or vegetables you have to tell people
when to be on the pier," the official, who is involved in
security operations overseas, said. "If you want fuel, you have
to tell people to be there."

Navy weapons experts, along with divers examining the Cole's
ravaged port side, determined that the explosion had torn into
the ship with significant, apparently concentrated, force,
underscoring the sophistication of the attack.

After an underwater inspection of the hull, officials said the
damage had been more extensive than first reported. A defense
official said the hole measured nearly 40 feet by 40 feet, much
of it beneath the surface. One explosives expert said the blast
had probably been caused by several hundred pounds of high
explosives.

Christopher Ronay, a former F.B.I. explosives expert, said it was
unlikely that the bomb makers had used the homemade chemistry of
ammonium nitrate and fuel oil employed at the World Trade Center
in New York in 1993 or at the Federal Building in Oklahoma City
in 1995. That is because the dry chemicals used in such
explosives absorb water � a factor that might preclude their use
around water.

He said the bomb's composition was more likely to have been
several hundred pounds of high explosives like PETN or TNT, or a
combination of such compounds, which have been found in terrorist
bombs exploded in the Middle East dating back to the attacks on
the American Embassy and a military barracks in Beirut, Lebanon,
in the early 1980's.

Still, the officials said they had not ruled out any one of
several other known terrorist groups, including followers of
Osama bin Laden, the Saudi exile whom American officials blamed
for the bombings of the American Embassies in Kenya and Tanzania
in August 1998.


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