-Caveat Lector- http://www.portraitofamerica.com/html/poll-804.html PORTRAIT OF AMERICA November 3, 2000 Presidential Tracking Poll With four days remaining in the campaign, Rasmussen Research surveys for Portrait of America (POA) find Texas Governor George W. Bush leads Vice President Al Gore, 46% to 43%. This is the smallest lead for Bush since the first Presidential Debate. Much like polling data released the morning after the Debates, these results do not reflect any impact of the breaking news story about George W. Bush�s 1976 arrest for driving under the influence of alcohol. These numbers do not reflect a general tightening of the race. In the Electoral College, Portrait of America's survey shows Bush leading in states with 231 Electoral Votes. Gore is leading in states with 168 Electoral Votes. Bush needs to win just 39 of the 139 toss-up votes to reach the magic number of 270. Al Gore needs to win 102 of those 139 toss-up votes. Gore's gains in our tracking poll are the result of a very strong night for the Vice President on Tuesday night. Our last two nights of polling (Wednesday and Thursday) show Governor Bush leading 47.4% to 41.8%. That 5.6% margin in favor of Bush is virtually identical to the 5.5% margin in our six day tracking average. Rasmussen Research�s assessment of the race remains unchanged. At least through Thursday night, Bush held a solid lead in the race for the White House. This is true in both the popular vote and the Electoral College. Barring something dramatic to shake up the race, Bush will be elected President next Tuesday. At this point, it is too early to tell whether or not the allegations about Bush's arrest for will be significant enough to make Al Gore the next President. While virtually every political junkie in the nation has an opinion about this, Rasmussen Research won't really know the public reaction until more telephone surveys are completed. Rasmussen Research will be conducting a special Friday night Portrait of America telephone survey to give an early indication on the impact or lack of impact generated by the story about Bush�s 24-year old DUI arrest. These results from Friday night will be clues, rather than definitive answers because Friday nights are not considered optimum polling times, and because it may take several days before the full impact of this story is known. Results of the Friday night survey will be posted on the Portrait of America web site. POA demographic data shows 50% of government employees support Al Gore, while only 39% in the private sector support him. George W. Bush is supported by 50% of private sector workers, only 38% of government employees support Bush. Rasmussen Research will begin tracking the approval rating and key political issues of the new administration as soon as the elections are over. The next President will be the first in history to have public reaction to his policies and popularity polled every day he is in office. Rasmussen Research has been collecting daily information on the attitudes of investors, consumers, and the workforce about the economy and financial markets. As soon as the elections are over, this data will be available on the Portrait of America website. The telephone survey of 3,000 likely voters was conducted on Tuesday, Wednesday and Thursday, October 31, November 1, and 2, 2000. The survey�s margin of sampling error is +/- 1.8 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Presidential Tracking Poll Survey Dates Bush Gore October 31, Nov 1, 2 46 43 October 30, 31, Nov 1 47 42 October 29, 30, 31 47 41 October 28, 29, 30 47 40 October 26, 28, 29 47 41 October 25, 26, 28 46 42 October 24, 25, 26 46 42 October 23, 24, 25 47 40 October 22, 23, 24 47 41 October 21, 22, 23 47 41 October 19, 21, 22 47 41 October 18, 19, 21 46 41 October 17, 18, 19 46 41 October 16, 17, 18 45 41 October 15, 16, 17 47 40 ================================================================= Kadosh, Kadosh, Kadosh, YHVH, TZEVAOT FROM THE DESK OF: *Michael Spitzer* <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ The Best Way To Destroy Enemies Is To Change Them To Friends ================================================================= <A HREF="http://www.ctrl.org/">www.ctrl.org</A> DECLARATION & DISCLAIMER ========== CTRL is a discussion & informational exchange list. Proselytizing propagandic screeds are unwelcomed. Substance�not soap-boxing�please! 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